Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO' TAS ENSO' PSL El Nino' La Nina' AMV' LP PDV' NAO' PNA' SAM' SST sigma' PR sigma' Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (10%) 0.67/0.62 0.82/1.02 0.92/0.42 0.87/0.46 0.09/0.58 0.89/0.07 0.89/0.62 0.95/0.34 0.87/1.42 0.77/0.10 0.83/0.21 0.86/0.58 CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (Avg) 0.72/0.68 0.85/1.22 0.93/0.54 0.90/0.53 0.40/0.83 0.90/0.09 0.92/0.73 0.96/0.50 0.89/1.50 0.78/0.11 0.84/0.21 0.87/0.64 CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (90%) 0.74/0.75 0.88/1.37 0.94/0.62 0.91/0.58 0.54/1.10 0.91/0.10 0.94/0.84 0.97/0.56 0.90/1.57 0.79/0.12 0.84/0.22 0.88/0.67 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (10%) 0.72/0.59 0.82/1.03 0.93/0.43 0.86/0.44 0.25/0.58 0.84/0.08 0.87/0.55 0.95/0.42 0.87/1.40 0.77/0.10 0.83/0.20 0.85/0.54 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (Avg) 0.75/0.62 0.86/1.15 0.93/0.51 0.91/0.51 0.52/0.73 0.89/0.09 0.92/0.78 0.96/0.55 0.89/1.49 0.78/0.11 0.84/0.21 0.87/0.61 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (90%) 0.78/0.64 0.87/1.25 0.95/0.61 0.92/0.60 0.62/0.87 0.92/0.10 0.94/0.89 0.97/0.70 0.91/1.56 0.79/0.12 0.84/0.21 0.88/0.67 CESM1-LENS (10%) 0.55/0.66 0.75/1.22 0.91/0.37 0.87/0.32 0.11/0.74 0.86/0.08 0.85/0.71 0.91/0.52 0.86/1.44 0.72/0.10 0.76/0.21 0.81/0.60 CESM1-LENS (Avg) 0.60/0.80 0.80/1.47 0.92/0.46 0.90/0.43 0.23/0.93 0.88/0.10 0.88/0.89 0.92/0.70 0.89/1.52 0.73/0.11 0.76/0.22 0.82/0.67 CESM1-LENS (90%) 0.66/0.85 0.82/1.68 0.93/0.52 0.91/0.49 0.36/1.02 0.89/0.11 0.91/0.99 0.93/0.78 0.91/1.56 0.74/0.11 0.76/0.22 0.83/0.70