Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 piControl A 0.62/0.92 0.67/1.89 0.92/0.62 0.85/0.71 0.44/2.62 0.81/0.15 0.83/1.19 0.82/0.97 0.95/1.15 0.82/0.15 0.90/0.23 0.82/0.64 CESM2 piControl B 0.71/0.84 0.69/1.85 0.88/0.58 0.72/0.67 -0.12/3.02 0.85/0.14 0.77/1.27 0.88/0.78 0.96/0.96 0.82/0.15 0.91/0.22 0.80/0.62 CESM2 piControl C 0.66/0.98 0.61/2.14 0.88/0.66 0.80/0.43 0.22/2.82 0.86/0.13 0.74/1.50 0.88/0.80 0.97/0.94 0.83/0.15 0.90/0.21 0.82/0.63 CESM2 piControl D 0.68/0.88 0.72/1.77 0.91/0.71 0.61/0.73 -0.20/3.03 0.83/0.15 0.80/1.46 0.87/0.82 0.98/0.74 0.82/0.15 0.89/0.23 0.81/0.65 CESM2 piControl E 0.70/0.90 0.70/1.85 0.90/0.64 0.63/0.74 0.30/2.43 0.80/0.16 0.76/1.43 0.92/0.67 0.98/0.70 0.80/0.16 0.89/0.23 0.82/0.61 CESM2 piControl F 0.75/0.86 0.72/2.11 0.88/0.81 0.70/0.59 0.43/2.13 0.83/0.15 0.77/1.49 0.85/1.00 0.96/0.72 0.80/0.14 0.90/0.26 0.81/0.63 CESM2 piControl G 0.72/0.87 0.74/1.99 0.83/0.88 0.62/0.72 0.63/2.50 0.84/0.14 0.76/1.45 0.86/0.89 0.95/0.82 0.82/0.14 0.89/0.24 0.81/0.65 CESM2 piControl H 0.69/0.90 0.70/1.89 0.90/0.61 0.76/0.63 0.52/2.05 0.81/0.15 0.79/1.38 0.87/0.90 0.95/1.18 0.83/0.14 0.91/0.21 0.82/0.61 CESM2 piControl I 0.73/0.86 0.64/1.98 0.85/0.99 0.89/0.38 -0.03/2.50 0.84/0.15 0.80/1.36 0.86/0.82 0.96/0.77 0.81/0.15 0.91/0.21 0.81/0.62 CESM2 piControl J 0.70/1.11 0.54/3.22 0.84/1.04 0.81/0.96 0.23/2.27 0.81/0.15 0.80/1.41 0.83/1.06 0.95/0.85 0.82/0.16 0.89/0.23 0.79/0.75 CESM2 piControl K 0.69/0.90 0.65/2.10 0.86/1.00 0.87/0.76 0.06/2.78 0.81/0.16 0.78/1.66 0.84/1.17 0.95/0.98 0.83/0.16 0.89/0.23 0.80/0.72 CESM2 piControl L 0.76/0.81 0.78/1.63 0.86/0.87 0.79/0.80 -0.07/3.10 -0.27/0.35 0.72/1.82 0.83/1.12 0.97/1.00 0.82/0.15 0.90/0.24 0.76/0.78 CESM2 piControl M 0.73/0.80 0.76/1.60 0.84/0.92 0.73/0.61 -0.20/2.83 0.79/0.16 0.81/1.39 0.82/1.07 0.97/1.07 0.79/0.16 0.90/0.22 0.79/0.66 CESM2 piControl N 0.64/0.94 0.71/1.73 0.89/0.58 0.68/0.65 0.25/2.27 0.77/0.16 0.87/1.07 0.90/0.77 0.97/0.90 0.80/0.16 0.91/0.21 0.82/0.58 CESM2 piControl O 0.60/1.02 0.52/2.29 0.90/0.77 0.60/0.80 -0.18/3.72 0.72/0.18 0.79/1.17 0.86/0.89 0.95/0.96 0.81/0.15 0.91/0.21 0.76/0.71 CESM2 piControl P 0.65/0.92 0.50/2.32 0.93/0.90 0.72/0.83 0.54/2.09 0.87/0.13 0.81/1.15 0.81/1.02 0.97/0.92 0.84/0.16 0.90/0.21 0.82/0.64 CESM2 piControl Q 0.68/0.89 0.45/2.35 0.92/0.87 0.81/0.73 0.60/1.81 0.81/0.16 0.86/1.09 0.80/1.18 0.98/0.67 0.83/0.16 0.90/0.22 0.83/0.63 CESM2 piControl R 0.53/1.18 0.54/2.20 0.90/0.61 0.60/0.76 0.04/2.51 0.69/0.19 0.85/1.14 0.80/1.27 0.97/0.79 0.81/0.16 0.89/0.22 0.77/0.68 CESM2 piControl S 0.63/1.00 0.69/1.84 0.93/0.70 0.68/0.72 0.37/2.19 0.77/0.17 0.84/1.20 0.80/1.16 0.96/1.05 0.80/0.17 0.90/0.22 0.81/0.64 CESM2 piControl T 0.75/0.82 0.68/2.10 0.84/1.11 0.78/0.54 0.37/2.19 0.87/0.13 0.81/1.20 0.87/0.82 0.91/1.23 0.82/0.14 0.90/0.23 0.81/0.63 CESM2 piControl U 0.79/0.76 0.73/1.86 0.88/0.87 0.72/0.42 0.53/2.01 0.87/0.13 0.73/1.18 0.87/0.79 0.92/1.10 0.84/0.13 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.57 CESM2 piControl V 0.75/0.83 0.67/1.98 0.90/0.67 0.81/0.50 0.28/2.30 0.84/0.14 0.73/1.41 0.85/0.90 0.94/0.95 0.84/0.14 0.90/0.22 0.81/0.60 CESM2 piControl W 0.69/0.92 0.37/2.68 0.86/1.04 0.77/0.68 0.39/2.15 0.83/0.15 0.78/1.44 0.82/0.98 0.92/1.22 0.82/0.16 0.89/0.23 0.78/0.70 CESM2 piControl X 0.67/0.91 0.65/1.94 0.85/1.13 0.70/0.86 0.48/1.97 0.78/0.17 0.80/1.19 0.86/0.82 0.85/1.56 0.78/0.18 0.89/0.23 0.77/0.68 CESM2 piControl Y 0.71/0.87 0.77/1.66 0.87/1.02 0.78/0.78 0.42/2.06 0.77/0.17 0.76/1.20 0.88/0.82 0.92/1.19 0.78/0.16 0.90/0.23 0.80/0.64 CESM2 piControl Z 0.67/0.93 0.74/1.97 0.91/0.91 0.80/0.58 0.14/2.47 0.76/0.17 0.70/1.55 0.84/1.05 0.91/1.23 0.80/0.16 0.91/0.22 0.79/0.69 CESM2 piControl AA 0.54/1.02 0.64/2.03 0.88/0.72 0.87/0.46 0.49/2.14 0.82/0.15 0.81/1.23 0.83/1.03 0.94/1.06 0.82/0.16 0.90/0.22 0.81/0.62 CESM2 piControl AB 0.52/1.02 0.51/2.18 0.84/0.57 0.76/0.58 0.61/1.77 0.82/0.15 0.89/0.99 0.86/0.79 0.97/0.86 0.83/0.15 0.90/0.22 0.82/0.57 CESM2 piControl AC 0.65/0.91 0.61/2.03 0.91/0.67 0.79/0.42 0.55/1.85 0.83/0.15 0.85/1.24 0.89/0.77 0.93/1.06 0.84/0.15 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.58 CESM2 piControl AD 0.60/1.03 0.42/2.66 0.90/0.99 0.83/0.46 0.45/1.97 0.84/0.14 0.71/1.32 0.89/0.88 0.90/1.32 0.83/0.14 0.90/0.24 0.79/0.66 CESM2 piControl AE 0.51/1.11 0.41/2.59 0.90/1.02 0.71/0.51 0.51/1.95 0.84/0.15 0.82/0.91 0.89/0.78 0.91/1.29 0.83/0.15 0.89/0.24 0.79/0.64 CESM2 piControl AF 0.65/0.92 0.65/2.05 0.88/0.73 0.79/0.67 0.15/2.39 0.77/0.17 0.83/1.23 0.88/0.84 0.98/1.15 0.81/0.17 0.89/0.22 0.82/0.64 CESM2 piControl AG 0.65/0.94 0.64/2.20 0.89/0.64 0.58/0.83 0.08/2.45 0.77/0.17 0.74/1.62 0.86/0.93 0.97/1.08 0.80/0.17 0.89/0.23 0.78/0.68 CESM2 piControl AH 0.72/0.83 0.72/1.82 0.92/0.50 0.87/0.71 0.50/1.95 0.80/0.15 0.76/1.35 0.84/0.92 0.95/1.01 0.81/0.15 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.59 CESM2 piControl AI 0.72/0.85 0.73/1.77 0.92/0.81 0.83/0.85 0.50/1.95 0.80/0.15 0.79/1.18 0.77/1.18 0.97/0.98 0.81/0.15 0.90/0.22 0.83/0.63 CESM2 piControl AJ 0.62/0.96 0.50/2.36 0.84/0.82 0.76/0.87 -0.07/2.77 0.73/0.18 0.76/1.11 0.82/1.10 0.97/0.93 0.81/0.15 0.88/0.24 0.77/0.69 CESM2 piControl AK 0.72/0.87 0.66/2.08 0.82/0.65 0.73/0.54 -0.07/2.85 0.84/0.14 0.80/1.09 0.87/0.98 0.96/1.09 0.83/0.14 0.88/0.25 0.80/0.63 CESM2 piControl AL 0.69/0.88 0.69/2.04 0.88/0.84 0.79/0.71 0.25/2.18 0.83/0.14 0.78/1.23 0.91/0.73 0.92/1.26 0.82/0.14 0.89/0.24 0.81/0.63 CESM2 piControl AM 0.66/0.92 0.66/2.13 0.90/0.94 0.82/0.84 0.48/1.95 0.73/0.18 0.78/1.13 0.90/0.72 0.87/1.24 0.82/0.15 0.88/0.26 0.80/0.65 CESM2 piControl AN 0.67/0.90 0.50/2.57 0.90/0.87 0.88/0.84 0.07/2.38 0.80/0.16 0.74/1.20 0.84/0.84 0.93/0.97 0.80/0.15 0.88/0.26 0.79/0.67 CESM2 piControl AO 0.64/0.93 0.65/1.91 0.90/0.76 0.82/0.93 0.31/2.18 0.79/0.16 0.82/0.99 0.89/0.74 0.96/0.85 0.78/0.18 0.90/0.22 0.81/0.62 CESM2 piControl AP 0.65/0.95 0.63/2.17 0.91/0.82 0.82/0.65 0.35/2.40 0.80/0.16 0.78/1.33 0.88/0.96 0.94/0.98 0.81/0.16 0.90/0.22 0.81/0.65 CESM2 piControl AQ 0.69/0.85 0.67/1.86 0.91/0.74 0.75/0.54 0.53/1.87 0.82/0.15 0.75/1.54 0.84/1.02 0.90/1.14 0.82/0.15 0.90/0.23 0.80/0.62 CESM2 piControl AR 0.60/0.97 0.66/1.99 0.91/0.79 0.60/0.86 0.43/1.98 0.80/0.16 0.78/1.41 0.76/1.09 0.92/1.13 0.81/0.15 0.89/0.23 0.78/0.66 CESM2 piControl AS 0.62/0.93 0.69/1.86 0.90/0.75 0.42/0.98 0.44/1.98 0.79/0.16 0.83/1.04 0.86/0.80 0.93/1.15 0.82/0.16 0.89/0.23 0.79/0.62 CESM2 piControl AT 0.51/1.04 0.60/2.01 0.90/0.72 0.26/1.01 0.34/2.14 0.74/0.18 0.75/1.28 0.88/0.76 0.91/1.33 0.80/0.18 0.89/0.23 0.75/0.68 CESM2 piControl AU 0.59/0.99 0.62/2.00 0.85/1.00 0.35/0.91 0.04/2.48 0.79/0.16 0.73/1.32 0.89/0.74 0.88/1.35 0.82/0.16 0.89/0.23 0.74/0.69 CESM2 piControl AV 0.70/0.87 0.66/2.13 0.84/1.01 0.79/0.75 -0.16/3.04 0.82/0.15 0.75/1.19 0.90/0.76 0.94/1.08 0.82/0.14 0.90/0.25 0.79/0.68 CESM2 piControl AW 0.74/0.84 0.68/2.06 0.87/1.02 0.81/0.64 0.40/2.25 0.74/0.17 0.74/1.31 0.88/0.75 0.94/1.09 0.81/0.15 0.90/0.25 0.81/0.65 CESM2 piControl AX 0.72/0.87 0.68/2.08 0.90/1.02 0.85/0.63 0.59/1.78 0.77/0.17 0.73/1.45 0.89/0.73 0.93/1.18 0.81/0.16 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.64 CESM2 piControl AY 0.75/0.81 0.65/2.04 0.89/1.04 0.63/0.74 0.16/2.34 0.82/0.15 0.71/1.46 0.87/0.78 0.97/0.91 0.81/0.16 0.90/0.22 0.81/0.65 CESM2 piControl AZ 0.65/0.92 0.66/2.06 0.91/0.70 0.74/0.56 0.52/1.89 0.85/0.14 0.72/1.28 0.85/0.86 0.98/0.71 0.83/0.14 0.90/0.22 0.83/0.58 CESM2 piControl BA 0.65/0.93 0.67/2.04 0.90/0.62 0.75/0.58 0.36/2.77 0.85/0.14 0.80/1.06 0.86/0.82 0.97/0.72 0.84/0.14 0.90/0.22 0.82/0.60 CESM2 piControl BB 0.68/0.92 0.73/1.93 0.86/0.86 0.83/0.56 0.40/2.26 0.83/0.14 0.93/0.70 0.92/0.66 0.96/1.00 0.82/0.15 0.89/0.25 0.84/0.57 CESM2 piControl BC 0.64/1.01 0.68/2.16 0.84/1.06 0.85/0.60 0.51/2.36 0.79/0.16 0.89/0.86 0.93/0.66 0.89/1.27 0.80/0.15 0.88/0.28 0.82/0.64 CESM2 piControl BD 0.65/0.99 0.66/2.06 0.86/1.37 0.85/0.72 0.48/2.01 0.82/0.15 0.82/0.98 0.88/0.80 0.91/1.21 0.79/0.14 0.89/0.27 0.81/0.66 CESM2 piControl BE 0.70/0.88 0.60/2.15 0.87/0.50 0.80/0.58 0.22/2.22 0.85/0.14 0.78/1.22 0.75/1.17 0.91/1.22 0.80/0.14 0.90/0.24 0.78/0.62 CESM2 piControl BF 0.68/0.94 0.75/1.90 0.83/0.88 0.85/0.53 -0.25/2.78 0.85/0.14 0.78/1.67 0.78/1.39 0.97/0.99 0.81/0.14 0.90/0.23 0.80/0.69 CESM2 piControl BG 0.73/0.97 0.78/1.77 0.86/0.98 0.75/0.61 0.61/1.75 0.84/0.14 0.79/1.81 0.82/1.36 0.97/0.89 0.84/0.14 0.91/0.23 0.84/0.66 CESM2 piControl BH 0.74/0.84 0.68/1.92 0.87/0.79 0.84/0.82 0.55/1.83 0.82/0.15 0.80/1.39 0.83/1.12 0.96/1.15 0.84/0.15 0.90/0.22 0.83/0.64 CESM2 piControl BI 0.62/0.95 0.72/1.79 0.90/0.87 0.55/0.98 0.29/2.23 0.78/0.16 0.85/0.86 0.88/0.78 0.96/1.03 0.79/0.17 0.88/0.24 0.80/0.63 CESM2 piControl BJ 0.59/0.97 0.57/2.33 0.91/0.89 0.66/0.83 0.43/2.25 0.84/0.14 0.86/1.02 0.88/0.76 0.96/0.81 0.81/0.16 0.89/0.24 0.81/0.63 CESM2 piControl BK 0.74/0.83 0.58/2.18 0.84/0.87 0.80/0.41 -0.01/2.43 0.85/0.14 0.85/1.31 0.91/0.66 0.97/0.66 0.84/0.14 0.90/0.22 0.82/0.59 CESM2 piControl BL 0.74/0.92 0.66/2.15 0.87/0.96 0.71/0.59 0.52/1.89 0.78/0.16 0.87/1.24 0.82/0.97 0.98/0.79 0.83/0.15 0.90/0.24 0.83/0.63 CESM2 piControl BM 0.70/0.93 0.71/1.96 0.88/0.81 0.78/0.86 0.54/1.93 0.82/0.15 0.80/1.46 0.78/1.27 0.97/1.00 0.82/0.15 0.89/0.23 0.82/0.66 CESM2 piControl BN 0.62/1.00 0.65/2.04 0.89/0.78 0.84/0.64 0.32/2.23 0.82/0.15 0.75/1.39 0.84/1.09 0.91/1.14 0.83/0.15 0.89/0.23 0.80/0.66 CESM2 piControl BO 0.67/0.91 0.66/2.02 0.91/0.51 0.69/0.67 -0.16/2.94 0.83/0.14 0.77/1.36 0.89/0.82 0.93/1.03 0.83/0.14 0.89/0.25 0.79/0.64 CESM2 piControl BP 0.64/0.95 0.60/2.23 0.92/0.68 0.78/0.62 0.16/2.27 0.80/0.16 0.77/1.56 0.83/1.13 0.95/1.03 0.81/0.14 0.89/0.25 0.79/0.66 CESM2 piControl BQ 0.52/1.03 0.58/2.15 0.91/0.78 0.80/0.69 0.43/2.01 0.78/0.16 0.84/1.05 0.88/0.85 0.91/1.26 0.81/0.16 0.90/0.22 0.80/0.63 CESM2 piControl BR 0.73/0.80 0.68/1.99 0.90/0.69 0.85/0.65 0.43/2.15 0.84/0.14 0.90/0.85 0.88/0.79 0.95/1.12 0.81/0.15 0.90/0.22 0.84/0.57 CESM2 piControl BS 0.74/0.81 0.69/2.12 0.92/0.74 0.88/0.62 0.43/2.81 0.83/0.15 0.88/1.07 0.87/0.84 0.92/1.10 0.82/0.14 0.90/0.23 0.84/0.63 CESM2 piControl BT 0.62/0.97 0.74/1.80 0.89/0.79 0.74/0.65 0.54/1.90 0.81/0.15 0.80/1.38 0.84/0.97 0.93/0.95 0.82/0.16 0.90/0.22 0.81/0.62 CESM2 piControl BU 0.61/1.02 0.65/2.06 0.85/1.24 0.84/0.76 0.32/2.19 0.82/0.15 0.75/1.32 0.86/0.89 0.94/0.96 0.83/0.15 0.90/0.24 0.80/0.68 CESM2 piControl BV 0.52/1.14 0.64/2.48 0.88/1.06 0.84/0.78 -0.12/3.29 0.84/0.14 0.73/1.27 0.87/0.93 0.95/1.08 0.82/0.17 0.90/0.22 0.79/0.74 CESM2 piControl BW 0.64/0.91 0.71/1.94 0.82/0.87 0.68/0.73 0.61/1.75 0.77/0.16 0.81/1.36 0.85/1.03 0.96/1.21 0.81/0.17 0.89/0.23 0.81/0.65 CESM2 piControl BX 0.72/0.83 0.74/1.74 0.82/0.83 0.69/0.59 0.64/1.69 0.78/0.16 0.89/1.21 0.83/0.99 0.94/1.06 0.83/0.14 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.59 CESM2 piControl BY 0.76/0.78 0.64/2.16 0.89/1.02 0.72/0.42 0.50/2.18 0.82/0.15 0.80/1.43 0.85/0.92 0.91/1.14 0.81/0.14 0.90/0.23 0.81/0.63 CESM2 piControl BZ 0.67/0.93 0.64/2.43 0.84/1.11 0.75/0.52 0.59/2.56 0.84/0.14 0.76/1.46 0.87/0.90 0.93/0.99 0.82/0.15 0.89/0.24 0.81/0.68 CESM2 piControl CA 0.61/0.96 0.72/2.06 0.85/1.02 0.78/0.66 -0.06/2.84 0.87/0.13 0.81/1.16 0.83/0.97 0.94/0.94 0.82/0.15 0.89/0.25 0.79/0.66