Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 piControl (10%) 0.59/0.82 0.51/1.77 0.84/0.61 0.60/0.46 -0.12/1.85 0.76/0.14 0.73/0.99 0.80/0.74 0.91/0.77 0.80/0.14 0.89/0.22 0.78/0.59 CESM2 piControl (Avg) 0.67/0.92 0.66/2.07 0.88/0.84 0.76/0.68 0.32/2.31 0.81/0.15 0.80/1.27 0.86/0.92 0.95/1.03 0.82/0.15 0.90/0.23 0.81/0.64 CESM2 piControl (90%) 0.74/1.02 0.74/2.35 0.91/1.04 0.85/0.86 0.55/2.84 0.85/0.17 0.86/1.50 0.89/1.16 0.97/1.24 0.83/0.17 0.91/0.25 0.83/0.69