Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 piControl (10%) 0.63/0.63 0.61/1.41 0.61/0.80 0.48/0.54 0.17/0.85 0.76/0.10 0.81/0.91 0.89/0.51 0.94/0.44 0.78/0.13 0.89/0.21 0.79/0.65 CESM2 piControl (Avg) 0.71/0.72 0.68/1.74 0.70/1.01 0.62/0.63 0.45/1.23 0.81/0.12 0.86/1.12 0.93/0.66 0.97/0.60 0.79/0.14 0.90/0.22 0.81/0.71 CESM2 piControl (90%) 0.75/0.79 0.73/2.04 0.78/1.22 0.72/0.74 0.62/1.69 0.84/0.13 0.90/1.31 0.95/0.80 0.98/0.78 0.81/0.15 0.91/0.24 0.83/0.78 OBS (10%) 0.41/0.73 0.65/1.21 0.71/0.58 0.29/0.44 0.24/0.79 0.80/0.11 0.84/0.68 0.86/0.61 0.94/0.60 0.69/0.16 0.77/0.21 0.74/0.61 OBS (Avg) 0.49/0.85 0.70/1.34 0.77/0.76 0.58/0.58 0.41/0.89 0.81/0.11 0.86/0.84 0.89/0.66 0.95/0.80 0.71/0.17 0.80/0.21 0.77/0.63 OBS (90%) 0.59/0.91 0.75/1.49 0.79/0.88 0.75/0.70 0.52/0.95 0.82/0.11 0.88/0.93 0.91/0.73 0.96/1.06 0.73/0.17 0.80/0.23 0.79/0.66