Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 piControl A 0.71/0.65 0.70/1.50 0.88/0.45 0.73/0.62 0.26/1.80 0.82/0.10 0.92/0.76 0.90/0.70 0.95/0.51 0.75/0.12 0.90/0.23 0.82/0.66 CESM2 piControl B 0.74/0.69 0.66/1.76 0.84/0.70 0.79/0.50 -0.10/2.35 0.84/0.11 0.93/0.88 0.92/0.70 0.96/0.44 0.76/0.12 0.90/0.22 0.82/0.75 CESM2 piControl C 0.79/0.63 0.75/1.43 0.88/0.61 0.84/0.49 0.11/1.65 0.87/0.09 0.95/0.73 0.92/0.65 0.97/0.44 0.78/0.11 0.90/0.22 0.85/0.63 CESM2 piControl D 0.80/0.63 0.64/1.76 0.85/0.64 0.84/0.52 0.08/1.52 0.84/0.10 0.95/0.91 0.90/0.83 0.96/0.49 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.84/0.68 CESM2 piControl E 0.83/0.71 0.80/1.72 0.83/0.79 0.87/0.51 0.45/1.45 0.76/0.14 0.95/0.80 0.90/0.71 0.97/0.63 0.71/0.14 0.88/0.27 0.85/0.72 CESM2 piControl F 0.79/0.71 0.77/1.69 0.82/0.82 0.84/0.56 0.50/1.35 0.78/0.13 0.93/0.97 0.92/0.75 0.97/0.50 0.72/0.13 0.89/0.25 0.85/0.72 CESM2 piControl G 0.77/0.70 0.77/1.59 0.81/0.65 0.76/0.41 0.48/1.80 0.81/0.13 0.93/0.91 0.92/0.67 0.96/0.50 0.74/0.13 0.89/0.25 0.84/0.70 CESM2 piControl H 0.76/0.68 0.59/1.84 0.84/0.69 0.75/0.52 0.40/1.13 0.83/0.09 0.95/0.80 0.94/0.59 0.96/0.45 0.77/0.11 0.90/0.21 0.84/0.63 CESM2 piControl I 0.81/0.68 0.58/2.08 0.79/0.86 0.73/0.74 0.11/1.29 0.79/0.11 0.94/0.90 0.92/0.73 0.97/0.47 0.74/0.12 0.90/0.23 0.82/0.73 CESM2 piControl J 0.79/0.64 0.68/1.81 0.83/0.88 0.72/0.77 0.19/1.65 0.83/0.09 0.97/0.90 0.93/0.72 0.97/0.51 0.78/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.85/0.74 CESM2 piControl K 0.77/0.63 0.55/2.03 0.84/0.82 0.76/0.65 -0.03/2.16 0.79/0.12 0.96/0.97 0.91/0.96 0.95/0.51 0.77/0.12 0.88/0.25 0.82/0.81 CESM2 piControl L 0.73/0.62 0.63/1.59 0.83/0.64 0.80/0.47 0.01/2.02 0.84/0.09 0.97/0.89 0.88/0.96 0.94/0.53 0.79/0.11 0.89/0.23 0.83/0.70 CESM2 piControl M 0.72/0.68 0.67/1.54 0.82/0.71 0.85/0.45 0.43/1.13 0.79/0.13 0.95/0.74 0.92/0.76 0.96/0.43 0.76/0.12 0.90/0.23 0.84/0.64 CESM2 piControl N 0.72/0.66 0.75/1.29 0.90/0.43 0.83/0.43 0.46/1.29 0.81/0.11 0.94/0.70 0.93/0.65 0.97/0.36 0.77/0.11 0.91/0.20 0.86/0.56 CESM2 piControl O 0.72/0.67 0.68/1.54 0.88/0.62 0.82/0.54 0.50/1.36 0.86/0.10 0.91/0.77 0.92/0.61 0.97/0.40 0.76/0.12 0.90/0.22 0.85/0.63 CESM2 piControl P 0.73/0.66 0.63/1.65 0.92/0.59 0.82/0.65 0.56/1.55 0.86/0.09 0.93/0.79 0.91/0.72 0.96/0.51 0.78/0.11 0.90/0.21 0.85/0.66 CESM2 piControl Q 0.78/0.64 0.58/1.73 0.90/0.57 0.81/0.61 0.43/1.42 0.85/0.09 0.92/0.80 0.88/0.94 0.95/0.54 0.77/0.12 0.89/0.22 0.84/0.66 CESM2 piControl R 0.72/0.75 0.57/1.75 0.89/0.42 0.86/0.48 0.41/1.25 0.81/0.10 0.94/0.82 0.86/1.05 0.95/0.49 0.75/0.12 0.90/0.22 0.83/0.63 CESM2 piControl S 0.77/0.69 0.67/1.74 0.87/0.68 0.84/0.51 0.41/1.31 0.87/0.10 0.94/0.77 0.88/0.82 0.96/0.45 0.74/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.84/0.66 CESM2 piControl T 0.77/0.71 0.74/1.69 0.84/0.89 0.85/0.59 0.51/1.52 0.87/0.11 0.96/0.58 0.90/0.67 0.96/0.46 0.77/0.12 0.90/0.23 0.86/0.69 CESM2 piControl U 0.80/0.69 0.75/1.54 0.87/0.66 0.77/0.58 0.60/1.02 0.87/0.12 0.97/0.50 0.90/0.70 0.95/0.48 0.77/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.86/0.62 CESM2 piControl V 0.78/0.65 0.70/1.67 0.87/0.58 0.76/0.55 0.29/1.42 0.86/0.10 0.96/0.65 0.93/0.52 0.94/0.51 0.79/0.11 0.89/0.22 0.85/0.62 CESM2 piControl W 0.68/0.75 0.64/1.74 0.83/0.97 0.75/0.77 0.48/1.34 0.86/0.09 0.97/0.60 0.93/0.58 0.92/0.61 0.78/0.11 0.88/0.23 0.84/0.71 CESM2 piControl X 0.71/0.73 0.67/1.73 0.83/0.99 0.81/0.60 0.55/1.21 0.79/0.10 0.96/0.56 0.95/0.48 0.95/0.55 0.75/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.85/0.68 CESM2 piControl Y 0.69/0.76 0.67/1.88 0.86/0.86 0.81/0.53 0.51/1.08 0.83/0.10 0.93/0.79 0.91/0.77 0.93/0.58 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.83/0.68 CESM2 piControl Z 0.69/0.72 0.67/1.82 0.87/0.57 0.74/0.48 0.47/1.43 0.84/0.10 0.95/0.71 0.91/0.74 0.95/0.49 0.76/0.12 0.90/0.22 0.84/0.64 CESM2 piControl AA 0.48/0.85 0.43/2.07 0.88/0.44 0.68/0.46 0.57/1.04 0.86/0.09 0.95/0.68 0.90/0.66 0.95/0.48 0.80/0.11 0.90/0.20 0.82/0.60 CESM2 piControl AB 0.66/0.69 0.53/1.81 0.90/0.44 0.85/0.33 0.61/1.07 0.86/0.09 0.95/0.69 0.95/0.54 0.95/0.50 0.79/0.11 0.90/0.21 0.86/0.56 CESM2 piControl AC 0.54/0.90 0.47/2.14 0.87/0.72 0.78/0.53 0.57/0.93 0.86/0.09 0.96/0.58 0.95/0.55 0.92/0.62 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.84/0.65 CESM2 piControl AD 0.57/0.88 0.45/2.19 0.86/0.82 0.79/0.52 0.41/1.03 0.86/0.09 0.98/0.41 0.96/0.54 0.93/0.60 0.75/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.84/0.66 CESM2 piControl AE 0.64/0.74 0.57/1.77 0.86/0.81 0.86/0.38 0.42/1.17 0.85/0.09 0.98/0.43 0.95/0.57 0.94/0.59 0.76/0.12 0.88/0.24 0.85/0.62 CESM2 piControl AF 0.75/0.62 0.57/2.00 0.85/0.42 0.85/0.45 0.33/1.23 0.82/0.10 0.97/0.61 0.96/0.48 0.95/0.51 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.85/0.58 CESM2 piControl AG 0.82/0.59 0.65/1.94 0.88/0.52 0.80/0.63 0.44/1.18 0.83/0.11 0.97/0.76 0.94/0.60 0.95/0.49 0.74/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.85/0.63 CESM2 piControl AH 0.78/0.61 0.74/1.49 0.83/0.72 0.79/0.76 0.48/1.27 0.82/0.11 0.95/0.68 0.90/0.75 0.95/0.50 0.74/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.84/0.67 CESM2 piControl AI 0.76/0.67 0.79/1.38 0.87/0.65 0.76/0.72 0.39/1.19 0.83/0.10 0.95/0.60 0.89/0.86 0.95/0.48 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.84/0.64 CESM2 piControl AJ 0.71/0.72 0.71/1.55 0.81/0.60 0.82/0.49 0.01/1.82 0.82/0.11 0.94/0.64 0.89/0.88 0.95/0.49 0.76/0.12 0.87/0.25 0.82/0.69 CESM2 piControl AK 0.70/0.70 0.73/1.61 0.83/0.52 0.77/0.62 0.25/1.24 0.83/0.11 0.93/0.77 0.93/0.76 0.94/0.52 0.77/0.12 0.87/0.26 0.82/0.64 CESM2 piControl AL 0.71/0.73 0.75/1.80 0.85/0.76 0.73/0.68 0.52/0.94 0.80/0.13 0.93/0.70 0.95/0.53 0.93/0.59 0.75/0.12 0.87/0.27 0.83/0.67 CESM2 piControl AM 0.71/0.69 0.81/1.44 0.86/0.86 0.67/0.79 0.52/0.93 0.80/0.11 0.94/0.64 0.94/0.52 0.93/0.67 0.75/0.12 0.87/0.27 0.83/0.66 CESM2 piControl AN 0.70/0.71 0.76/1.60 0.86/0.82 0.62/0.75 0.39/1.13 0.82/0.10 0.95/0.54 0.93/0.56 0.95/0.58 0.74/0.12 0.88/0.25 0.83/0.66 CESM2 piControl AO 0.72/0.70 0.77/1.46 0.86/0.83 0.69/0.67 0.48/1.11 0.84/0.10 0.95/0.64 0.92/0.69 0.96/0.52 0.74/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.84/0.65 CESM2 piControl AP 0.69/0.74 0.61/1.90 0.88/0.72 0.79/0.52 0.50/1.25 0.83/0.11 0.94/0.79 0.91/0.82 0.96/0.41 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.84/0.67 CESM2 piControl AQ 0.62/0.78 0.70/1.61 0.89/0.62 0.86/0.44 0.61/0.89 0.82/0.12 0.94/0.83 0.85/0.94 0.96/0.43 0.75/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.84/0.63 CESM2 piControl AR 0.62/0.76 0.59/1.80 0.88/0.59 0.85/0.52 0.52/0.96 0.81/0.11 0.94/0.73 0.82/0.90 0.95/0.49 0.78/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.82/0.63 CESM2 piControl AS 0.58/0.78 0.69/1.56 0.88/0.60 0.81/0.60 0.42/1.10 0.82/0.10 0.97/0.48 0.81/0.83 0.95/0.52 0.79/0.11 0.89/0.23 0.83/0.62 CESM2 piControl AT 0.67/0.70 0.70/1.42 0.83/0.73 0.86/0.50 0.35/1.19 0.86/0.09 0.96/0.54 0.90/0.63 0.94/0.57 0.78/0.11 0.89/0.23 0.84/0.61 CESM2 piControl AU 0.77/0.64 0.74/1.58 0.84/0.85 0.85/0.50 0.02/1.50 0.84/0.10 0.96/0.60 0.96/0.42 0.95/0.51 0.76/0.12 0.88/0.25 0.85/0.65 CESM2 piControl AV 0.77/0.67 0.73/1.82 0.81/0.94 0.76/0.73 0.17/1.61 0.84/0.10 0.93/0.66 0.96/0.46 0.94/0.55 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.26 0.83/0.72 CESM2 piControl AW 0.75/0.71 0.59/2.12 0.86/0.85 0.75/0.66 0.53/0.98 0.78/0.12 0.93/0.82 0.94/0.53 0.94/0.53 0.75/0.12 0.89/0.25 0.83/0.69 CESM2 piControl AX 0.71/0.72 0.61/1.94 0.87/0.92 0.80/0.46 0.52/0.95 0.82/0.10 0.91/0.85 0.94/0.46 0.94/0.53 0.77/0.12 0.90/0.23 0.84/0.65 CESM2 piControl AY 0.64/0.80 0.60/1.95 0.90/0.56 0.79/0.46 0.41/1.18 0.85/0.10 0.88/0.96 0.94/0.47 0.97/0.45 0.78/0.12 0.90/0.23 0.84/0.63 CESM2 piControl AZ 0.54/0.93 0.52/2.11 0.89/0.55 0.82/0.48 0.51/1.33 0.84/0.12 0.90/0.79 0.91/0.58 0.97/0.43 0.78/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.83/0.67 CESM2 piControl BA 0.72/0.73 0.67/2.07 0.86/0.61 0.77/0.55 0.33/1.74 0.84/0.11 0.92/0.71 0.93/0.58 0.97/0.43 0.77/0.12 0.88/0.26 0.84/0.70 CESM2 piControl BB 0.75/0.71 0.74/1.77 0.86/0.65 0.76/0.61 0.39/1.56 0.79/0.13 0.91/0.70 0.96/0.50 0.95/0.46 0.75/0.13 0.88/0.28 0.84/0.69 CESM2 piControl BC 0.76/0.78 0.74/1.76 0.82/1.01 0.80/0.82 0.53/1.54 0.78/0.14 0.94/0.58 0.96/0.47 0.94/0.53 0.72/0.14 0.87/0.30 0.84/0.77 CESM2 piControl BD 0.78/0.68 0.77/1.55 0.87/0.76 0.80/0.69 0.54/1.12 0.83/0.12 0.97/0.46 0.93/0.58 0.95/0.51 0.72/0.14 0.88/0.28 0.86/0.65 CESM2 piControl BE 0.81/0.64 0.80/1.49 0.85/0.56 0.81/0.60 0.35/1.15 0.85/0.11 0.96/0.78 0.88/0.92 0.95/0.49 0.71/0.14 0.89/0.26 0.85/0.64 CESM2 piControl BF 0.83/0.66 0.76/1.52 0.84/0.59 0.83/0.63 0.56/0.97 0.86/0.10 0.96/1.05 0.85/1.25 0.95/0.48 0.76/0.13 0.89/0.25 0.85/0.67 CESM2 piControl BG 0.82/0.72 0.69/1.91 0.82/0.82 0.85/0.73 0.59/0.97 0.85/0.10 0.96/0.98 0.91/0.98 0.93/0.55 0.77/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.85/0.71 CESM2 piControl BH 0.77/0.62 0.63/1.68 0.85/0.63 0.80/0.61 0.58/0.96 0.84/0.10 0.96/0.58 0.94/0.70 0.95/0.47 0.77/0.12 0.88/0.24 0.85/0.60 CESM2 piControl BI 0.65/0.72 0.65/1.71 0.85/0.80 0.81/0.54 0.47/1.12 0.86/0.09 0.94/0.63 0.96/0.40 0.95/0.49 0.77/0.11 0.88/0.23 0.85/0.62 CESM2 piControl BJ 0.68/0.75 0.62/1.87 0.85/0.74 0.83/0.50 0.42/1.20 0.85/0.10 0.93/0.78 0.95/0.45 0.94/0.64 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.84/0.65 CESM2 piControl BK 0.79/0.67 0.67/1.71 0.84/0.65 0.86/0.42 0.20/1.21 0.84/0.11 0.94/0.82 0.91/0.60 0.93/0.59 0.77/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.83/0.63 CESM2 piControl BL 0.80/0.75 0.59/2.16 0.85/0.70 0.84/0.53 0.56/1.20 0.84/0.11 0.95/0.92 0.90/0.81 0.94/0.54 0.77/0.12 0.88/0.25 0.84/0.70 CESM2 piControl BM 0.70/0.78 0.72/1.70 0.85/0.62 0.80/0.62 0.51/1.20 0.84/0.11 0.94/0.81 0.92/0.79 0.95/0.49 0.78/0.12 0.88/0.25 0.84/0.67 CESM2 piControl BN 0.66/0.77 0.61/1.94 0.87/0.50 0.78/0.50 0.15/1.38 0.83/0.12 0.94/0.91 0.93/0.81 0.94/0.55 0.76/0.12 0.88/0.25 0.82/0.68 CESM2 piControl BO 0.67/0.75 0.65/1.79 0.89/0.57 0.84/0.51 0.17/1.42 0.82/0.11 0.94/0.79 0.94/0.67 0.94/0.53 0.74/0.12 0.88/0.26 0.83/0.66 CESM2 piControl BP 0.65/0.74 0.60/1.93 0.90/0.53 0.84/0.51 0.38/1.16 0.84/0.10 0.95/0.75 0.94/0.70 0.94/0.52 0.74/0.12 0.88/0.25 0.84/0.64 CESM2 piControl BQ 0.68/0.71 0.72/1.73 0.90/0.54 0.83/0.63 0.42/1.30 0.84/0.11 0.95/0.57 0.96/0.55 0.94/0.54 0.74/0.13 0.89/0.24 0.85/0.63 CESM2 piControl BR 0.73/0.65 0.75/1.63 0.90/0.48 0.74/0.66 0.38/2.08 0.83/0.12 0.94/0.65 0.94/0.57 0.95/0.46 0.75/0.12 0.90/0.23 0.85/0.69 CESM2 piControl BS 0.77/0.62 0.76/1.59 0.89/0.52 0.80/0.59 0.49/1.49 0.81/0.13 0.97/0.62 0.92/0.68 0.96/0.42 0.75/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.86/0.64 CESM2 piControl BT 0.69/0.76 0.73/1.67 0.86/0.81 0.79/0.63 0.44/1.33 0.86/0.10 0.97/0.58 0.92/0.73 0.96/0.47 0.77/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.85/0.68 CESM2 piControl BU 0.63/0.87 0.62/2.05 0.84/0.74 0.75/0.72 0.12/1.53 0.88/0.09 0.95/0.64 0.93/0.73 0.96/0.46 0.77/0.12 0.89/0.23 0.83/0.72 CESM2 piControl BV 0.70/0.69 0.60/2.18 0.83/0.68 0.80/0.55 0.44/1.18 0.87/0.09 0.92/0.93 0.90/0.86 0.94/0.53 0.79/0.11 0.89/0.23 0.83/0.68 CESM2 piControl BW 0.80/0.56 0.72/1.67 0.86/0.50 0.87/0.32 0.56/1.17 0.84/0.10 0.94/0.82 0.88/0.88 0.95/0.49 0.78/0.12 0.90/0.22 0.85/0.59 CESM2 piControl BX 0.82/0.58 0.79/1.60 0.86/0.66 0.86/0.42 0.55/1.55 0.81/0.13 0.96/0.92 0.88/0.86 0.94/0.52 0.74/0.13 0.89/0.24 0.85/0.68 CESM2 piControl BY 0.80/0.61 0.82/1.58 0.84/0.97 0.86/0.61 0.40/1.63 0.83/0.12 0.96/0.69 0.93/0.67 0.95/0.54 0.74/0.13 0.89/0.24 0.86/0.72 CESM2 piControl BZ 0.75/0.67 0.76/2.01 0.82/0.98 0.82/0.50 0.40/2.08 0.84/0.12 0.96/0.74 0.93/0.71 0.95/0.49 0.75/0.12 0.88/0.27 0.85/0.78 OBS A 0.52/0.81 0.61/1.52 0.93/0.30 0.88/0.32 0.28/1.11 0.79/0.11 0.85/0.89 0.89/0.63 0.92/1.30 0.72/0.12 0.79/0.20 0.80/0.61 OBS B 0.53/0.83 0.60/1.54 0.91/0.22 0.87/0.31 0.21/1.16 0.80/0.10 0.82/0.96 0.90/0.60 0.92/1.39 0.73/0.12 0.80/0.19 0.79/0.61 OBS C 0.53/0.86 0.61/1.55 0.91/0.26 0.87/0.38 0.16/1.17 0.80/0.10 0.87/0.84 0.88/0.66 0.92/1.30 0.73/0.13 0.81/0.18 0.79/0.62 OBS D 0.53/0.85 0.69/1.40 0.91/0.32 0.85/0.47 0.16/1.15 0.81/0.10 0.87/0.84 0.90/0.59 0.93/1.24 0.72/0.13 0.82/0.17 0.80/0.62 OBS E 0.58/0.81 0.69/1.36 0.90/0.37 0.87/0.43 0.14/1.19 0.82/0.10 0.87/0.85 0.90/0.62 0.92/1.26 0.73/0.13 0.82/0.17 0.80/0.62 OBS F 0.49/0.89 0.67/1.46 0.87/0.39 0.86/0.35 0.21/1.15 0.82/0.10 0.83/0.92 0.92/0.55 0.94/0.86 0.73/0.13 0.82/0.17 0.80/0.60 OBS G 0.50/0.89 0.64/1.57 0.91/0.33 0.85/0.34 0.35/1.06 0.82/0.10 0.86/0.85 0.93/0.53 0.96/0.42 0.72/0.13 0.82/0.17 0.82/0.55 OBS H 0.44/0.92 0.61/1.66 0.90/0.34 0.83/0.34 0.40/1.06 0.81/0.10 0.89/0.82 0.93/0.53 0.97/0.37 0.72/0.13 0.82/0.17 0.82/0.56 OBS I 0.48/0.87 0.64/1.63 0.88/0.44 0.83/0.34 0.43/1.07 0.81/0.10 0.90/0.75 0.93/0.51 0.97/0.38 0.73/0.12 0.81/0.18 0.82/0.56 OBS J 0.45/0.87 0.68/1.51 0.89/0.50 0.82/0.28 0.41/1.06 0.81/0.10 0.90/0.75 0.91/0.59 0.97/0.35 0.75/0.13 0.81/0.18 0.82/0.56 OBS K 0.52/0.80 0.73/1.35 0.88/0.49 0.84/0.28 0.46/0.98 0.81/0.10 0.90/0.72 0.91/0.59 0.98/0.33 0.76/0.13 0.81/0.18 0.83/0.53 OBS L 0.61/0.73 0.78/1.30 0.90/0.49 0.75/0.40 0.56/0.89 0.83/0.10 0.89/0.76 0.92/0.55 0.98/0.32 0.76/0.12 0.81/0.18 0.84/0.53 OBS M 0.66/0.69 0.80/1.31 0.90/0.52 0.76/0.40 0.60/0.87 0.81/0.10 0.91/0.71 0.92/0.55 0.98/0.35 0.76/0.13 0.81/0.18 0.84/0.53