Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 piControl (10%) 0.63/0.62 0.57/1.49 0.82/0.50 0.73/0.44 0.11/0.97 0.79/0.09 0.92/0.56 0.88/0.48 0.93/0.43 0.74/0.11 0.88/0.22 0.82/0.62 CESM2 piControl (Avg) 0.73/0.70 0.68/1.75 0.86/0.69 0.80/0.57 0.41/1.33 0.83/0.11 0.95/0.73 0.92/0.69 0.95/0.51 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.24 0.84/0.66 CESM2 piControl (90%) 0.80/0.78 0.77/2.07 0.89/0.88 0.86/0.73 0.56/1.74 0.86/0.13 0.97/0.91 0.95/0.90 0.97/0.59 0.78/0.13 0.90/0.26 0.85/0.72 OBS (10%) 0.44/0.69 0.60/1.30 0.87/0.22 0.75/0.28 0.14/0.87 0.79/0.10 0.82/0.71 0.88/0.51 0.92/0.32 0.72/0.12 0.79/0.17 0.79/0.53 OBS (Avg) 0.53/0.83 0.68/1.47 0.90/0.38 0.84/0.36 0.35/1.07 0.81/0.10 0.88/0.82 0.91/0.58 0.96/0.76 0.74/0.13 0.81/0.18 0.81/0.58 OBS (90%) 0.61/0.89 0.78/1.63 0.91/0.50 0.87/0.43 0.56/1.17 0.82/0.10 0.90/0.92 0.93/0.63 0.98/1.30 0.76/0.13 0.82/0.19 0.84/0.62