Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Reference Dataset 1 vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 piControl (10%) 0.54/0.71 0.44/1.64 0.81/0.56 0.79/0.43 -0.05/0.95 0.80/0.10 0.93/0.54 0.79/0.73 0.93/0.75 0.72/0.13 0.92/0.18 0.80/0.66 CESM2 piControl (Avg) 0.60/0.82 0.56/1.98 0.83/0.71 0.85/0.52 0.16/1.23 0.83/0.11 0.95/0.67 0.87/0.88 0.95/0.90 0.75/0.14 0.92/0.20 0.82/0.70 CESM2 piControl (90%) 0.66/0.91 0.66/2.24 0.86/0.85 0.88/0.63 0.32/1.51 0.86/0.12 0.96/0.83 0.91/0.98 0.96/1.01 0.77/0.15 0.93/0.21 0.83/0.75 OBS (10%) 0.50/0.72 0.60/1.45 0.70/0.49 0.69/0.34 0.06/0.79 0.75/0.12 0.89/0.61 0.86/0.58 0.96/0.73 0.67/0.16 0.82/0.19 0.77/0.57 OBS (Avg) 0.55/0.79 0.64/1.55 0.74/0.55 0.73/0.38 0.23/0.90 0.77/0.12 0.91/0.67 0.89/0.64 0.97/0.82 0.68/0.16 0.83/0.19 0.79/0.60 OBS (90%) 0.61/0.82 0.65/1.60 0.75/0.56 0.77/0.40 0.35/0.97 0.77/0.13 0.92/0.70 0.91/0.72 0.98/0.91 0.68/0.16 0.84/0.19 0.80/0.61