Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 piControl A 0.73/0.75 0.60/1.87 0.94/0.37 0.66/0.88 0.33/1.73 0.79/0.17 0.95/0.68 0.91/0.75 0.94/0.67 0.78/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.64 CESM2 piControl B 0.72/0.79 0.58/2.05 0.87/0.61 0.75/0.58 -0.04/2.30 0.82/0.16 0.95/0.90 0.93/0.81 0.96/0.56 0.79/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.71 CESM2 piControl C 0.71/0.81 0.67/1.71 0.91/0.54 0.74/0.56 0.17/1.61 0.81/0.17 0.96/0.75 0.89/0.82 0.97/0.43 0.78/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.84/0.62 CESM2 piControl D 0.65/0.90 0.49/2.19 0.86/0.58 0.74/0.73 0.24/1.39 0.82/0.16 0.93/1.06 0.89/0.94 0.97/0.44 0.77/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.67 CESM2 piControl E 0.65/0.98 0.63/2.19 0.86/0.71 0.76/0.58 0.37/1.55 0.81/0.16 0.94/0.90 0.88/0.83 0.97/0.52 0.76/0.18 0.91/0.23 0.83/0.68 CESM2 piControl F 0.66/0.94 0.62/2.12 0.86/0.74 0.76/0.61 0.40/1.47 0.80/0.17 0.92/1.06 0.92/0.91 0.97/0.49 0.76/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.68 CESM2 piControl G 0.67/0.88 0.70/1.83 0.86/0.57 0.79/0.54 0.44/1.86 0.83/0.15 0.93/0.96 0.90/0.84 0.96/0.53 0.80/0.16 0.92/0.21 0.84/0.66 CESM2 piControl H 0.59/0.96 0.47/2.23 0.87/0.64 0.75/0.62 0.45/1.09 0.81/0.17 0.94/0.93 0.92/0.79 0.96/0.51 0.81/0.17 0.92/0.20 0.83/0.63 CESM2 piControl I 0.63/0.96 0.48/2.39 0.81/0.82 0.77/0.53 0.30/1.16 0.83/0.16 0.92/1.02 0.87/0.95 0.95/0.55 0.81/0.17 0.92/0.21 0.81/0.67 CESM2 piControl J 0.58/0.98 0.54/2.21 0.83/0.87 0.71/0.92 0.13/1.71 0.72/0.20 0.94/1.10 0.92/0.92 0.96/0.57 0.78/0.19 0.91/0.22 0.80/0.77 CESM2 piControl K 0.69/0.83 0.53/2.17 0.83/0.81 0.76/0.92 0.02/2.12 0.80/0.17 0.94/1.12 0.92/1.09 0.93/0.73 0.78/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.81/0.79 CESM2 piControl L 0.75/0.73 0.66/1.65 0.84/0.63 0.79/0.81 0.05/1.99 0.78/0.18 0.95/1.06 0.94/0.93 0.93/0.70 0.78/0.19 0.92/0.20 0.83/0.71 CESM2 piControl M 0.76/0.73 0.72/1.54 0.82/0.68 0.80/0.67 0.15/1.38 0.86/0.14 0.95/0.81 0.89/0.96 0.95/0.62 0.80/0.17 0.91/0.21 0.84/0.62 CESM2 piControl N 0.68/0.82 0.57/1.84 0.92/0.40 0.78/0.72 0.20/1.57 0.84/0.16 0.92/0.84 0.83/1.01 0.96/0.53 0.80/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.64 CESM2 piControl O 0.71/0.79 0.56/1.96 0.89/0.57 0.76/0.83 0.34/1.55 0.86/0.15 0.87/0.90 0.78/0.98 0.96/0.53 0.80/0.17 0.91/0.21 0.81/0.66 CESM2 piControl P 0.68/0.82 0.54/1.98 0.93/0.54 0.73/0.88 0.31/1.84 0.74/0.19 0.86/1.02 0.95/0.72 0.96/0.50 0.80/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.69 CESM2 piControl Q 0.62/0.93 0.50/2.06 0.94/0.53 0.74/0.85 0.27/1.59 0.71/0.20 0.86/1.01 0.94/0.89 0.96/0.53 0.77/0.19 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.70 CESM2 piControl R 0.57/1.01 0.49/2.06 0.95/0.36 0.71/0.79 0.18/1.48 0.64/0.21 0.90/1.02 0.92/1.02 0.96/0.54 0.77/0.19 0.91/0.21 0.81/0.69 CESM2 piControl S 0.66/0.92 0.64/1.91 0.90/0.63 0.77/0.60 0.15/1.57 0.78/0.17 0.89/0.96 0.93/0.79 0.94/0.69 0.76/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.82/0.67 CESM2 piControl T 0.75/0.78 0.70/1.83 0.84/0.85 0.77/0.57 0.22/1.86 0.83/0.16 0.94/0.68 0.93/0.67 0.94/0.65 0.77/0.18 0.92/0.20 0.83/0.66 CESM2 piControl U 0.73/0.82 0.71/1.71 0.91/0.61 0.78/0.50 0.37/1.27 0.84/0.15 0.96/0.61 0.94/0.69 0.95/0.60 0.79/0.17 0.92/0.21 0.86/0.57 CESM2 piControl V 0.69/0.86 0.58/2.04 0.91/0.54 0.73/0.73 0.44/1.28 0.84/0.16 0.95/0.78 0.94/0.57 0.95/0.60 0.81/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.85/0.60 CESM2 piControl W 0.73/0.78 0.68/1.73 0.86/0.94 0.70/0.98 0.40/1.42 0.81/0.17 0.94/0.80 0.96/0.60 0.94/0.74 0.77/0.19 0.91/0.22 0.84/0.68 CESM2 piControl X 0.75/0.75 0.66/1.83 0.86/0.93 0.75/0.88 0.30/1.50 0.80/0.18 0.92/0.78 0.92/0.67 0.94/0.77 0.77/0.19 0.92/0.21 0.83/0.68 CESM2 piControl Y 0.71/0.81 0.63/2.02 0.89/0.82 0.75/0.82 0.37/1.22 0.82/0.17 0.90/0.94 0.92/0.84 0.93/0.77 0.77/0.19 0.92/0.21 0.83/0.68 CESM2 piControl Z 0.73/0.76 0.64/1.97 0.93/0.50 0.73/0.67 0.39/1.52 0.85/0.16 0.91/0.87 0.95/0.75 0.94/0.63 0.80/0.18 0.92/0.20 0.85/0.63 CESM2 piControl AA 0.69/0.79 0.47/2.16 0.93/0.39 0.62/0.74 0.42/1.20 0.85/0.16 0.92/0.83 0.92/0.67 0.94/0.64 0.80/0.19 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.60 CESM2 piControl AB 0.73/0.75 0.52/1.99 0.93/0.35 0.76/0.51 0.40/1.31 0.82/0.16 0.91/0.88 0.90/0.79 0.93/0.65 0.81/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.59 CESM2 piControl AC 0.74/0.76 0.57/2.05 0.89/0.64 0.77/0.58 0.46/1.04 0.83/0.16 0.93/0.77 0.89/0.85 0.89/0.83 0.80/0.17 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.61 CESM2 piControl AD 0.76/0.73 0.56/2.07 0.91/0.74 0.79/0.55 0.44/1.01 0.80/0.17 0.95/0.58 0.91/0.84 0.89/0.85 0.79/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.61 CESM2 piControl AE 0.75/0.72 0.53/1.99 0.90/0.76 0.77/0.67 0.35/1.25 0.77/0.19 0.95/0.68 0.94/0.75 0.91/0.84 0.79/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.64 CESM2 piControl AF 0.61/0.90 0.38/2.50 0.95/0.31 0.74/0.87 0.21/1.34 0.81/0.17 0.95/0.79 0.93/0.68 0.93/0.72 0.80/0.19 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.64 CESM2 piControl AG 0.62/0.93 0.46/2.45 0.94/0.42 0.73/0.86 0.30/1.33 0.83/0.16 0.95/0.92 0.92/0.78 0.95/0.65 0.78/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.66 CESM2 piControl AH 0.73/0.77 0.58/1.99 0.83/0.65 0.74/0.96 0.36/1.40 0.83/0.16 0.95/0.71 0.93/0.75 0.94/0.62 0.77/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.64 CESM2 piControl AI 0.70/0.83 0.71/1.67 0.89/0.60 0.72/0.97 0.53/1.04 0.79/0.17 0.95/0.62 0.92/0.92 0.96/0.57 0.78/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.84/0.61 CESM2 piControl AJ 0.72/0.78 0.62/1.86 0.85/0.56 0.79/0.79 0.36/1.49 0.83/0.16 0.94/0.66 0.92/0.95 0.95/0.62 0.80/0.17 0.91/0.22 0.84/0.64 CESM2 piControl AK 0.72/0.77 0.66/1.86 0.89/0.45 0.72/0.90 0.39/1.13 0.83/0.16 0.91/0.80 0.91/0.96 0.95/0.63 0.82/0.16 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.61 CESM2 piControl AL 0.70/0.81 0.66/2.04 0.89/0.69 0.66/0.97 0.40/1.04 0.85/0.15 0.93/0.71 0.87/0.82 0.93/0.70 0.81/0.16 0.91/0.23 0.82/0.63 CESM2 piControl AM 0.73/0.76 0.76/1.60 0.88/0.80 0.63/1.06 0.42/1.02 0.82/0.16 0.92/0.71 0.84/0.80 0.94/0.66 0.79/0.18 0.91/0.23 0.82/0.62 CESM2 piControl AN 0.67/0.84 0.67/1.89 0.89/0.75 0.61/1.05 0.25/1.26 0.79/0.18 0.93/0.65 0.87/0.82 0.95/0.56 0.77/0.19 0.91/0.22 0.81/0.66 CESM2 piControl AO 0.73/0.77 0.69/1.76 0.89/0.76 0.68/0.77 0.34/1.26 0.80/0.17 0.93/0.74 0.90/0.85 0.94/0.61 0.76/0.19 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.64 CESM2 piControl AP 0.64/0.88 0.48/2.28 0.91/0.69 0.74/0.80 0.41/1.35 0.78/0.17 0.93/0.93 0.90/0.99 0.92/0.70 0.78/0.19 0.91/0.22 0.81/0.70 CESM2 piControl AQ 0.71/0.78 0.68/1.74 0.93/0.56 0.76/0.79 0.52/1.00 0.80/0.17 0.92/0.95 0.84/1.03 0.92/0.68 0.79/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.62 CESM2 piControl AR 0.70/0.79 0.60/1.91 0.93/0.55 0.70/0.91 0.48/1.01 0.78/0.18 0.90/0.89 0.76/1.01 0.94/0.68 0.80/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.81/0.64 CESM2 piControl AS 0.69/0.79 0.73/1.55 0.94/0.54 0.57/1.03 0.49/1.04 0.76/0.19 0.96/0.60 0.72/0.95 0.93/0.72 0.81/0.19 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.62 CESM2 piControl AT 0.70/0.78 0.69/1.60 0.83/0.73 0.75/0.81 0.34/1.21 0.78/0.18 0.95/0.58 0.75/0.93 0.93/0.78 0.78/0.19 0.91/0.22 0.81/0.63 CESM2 piControl AU 0.69/0.83 0.66/1.86 0.87/0.80 0.74/0.80 0.05/1.48 0.79/0.17 0.97/0.61 0.86/0.77 0.94/0.69 0.78/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.66 CESM2 piControl AV 0.70/0.82 0.64/2.08 0.85/0.87 0.75/0.85 0.05/1.72 0.80/0.17 0.93/0.67 0.87/0.80 0.93/0.70 0.79/0.17 0.92/0.22 0.81/0.70 CESM2 piControl AW 0.68/0.87 0.49/2.41 0.89/0.81 0.74/0.87 0.32/1.19 0.80/0.17 0.93/0.85 0.93/0.64 0.95/0.64 0.80/0.18 0.92/0.21 0.83/0.67 CESM2 piControl AX 0.73/0.78 0.53/2.22 0.88/0.89 0.73/0.72 0.35/1.11 0.83/0.16 0.93/0.80 0.90/0.57 0.94/0.68 0.81/0.18 0.92/0.20 0.83/0.63 CESM2 piControl AY 0.68/0.84 0.52/2.23 0.91/0.50 0.71/0.79 0.38/1.22 0.84/0.15 0.90/0.89 0.94/0.52 0.97/0.48 0.82/0.17 0.92/0.20 0.84/0.60 CESM2 piControl AZ 0.65/0.89 0.54/2.18 0.91/0.50 0.73/0.79 0.39/1.47 0.85/0.15 0.91/0.76 0.89/0.66 0.97/0.47 0.80/0.17 0.92/0.20 0.83/0.62 CESM2 piControl BA 0.67/0.86 0.56/2.36 0.90/0.55 0.76/0.72 0.35/1.73 0.85/0.15 0.91/0.71 0.91/0.75 0.96/0.48 0.80/0.17 0.92/0.21 0.84/0.65 CESM2 piControl BB 0.71/0.82 0.64/2.07 0.89/0.60 0.77/0.76 0.45/1.50 0.85/0.15 0.90/0.75 0.91/0.78 0.94/0.64 0.79/0.17 0.91/0.23 0.83/0.64 CESM2 piControl BC 0.68/0.92 0.64/2.06 0.82/0.97 0.82/0.85 0.31/1.79 0.86/0.14 0.92/0.63 0.90/0.80 0.92/0.72 0.78/0.17 0.91/0.24 0.82/0.72 CESM2 piControl BD 0.67/0.89 0.63/1.98 0.91/0.69 0.80/0.79 0.37/1.31 0.86/0.14 0.93/0.65 0.96/0.60 0.93/0.73 0.78/0.16 0.92/0.23 0.85/0.62 CESM2 piControl BE 0.64/0.93 0.62/2.03 0.93/0.44 0.77/0.66 0.44/1.08 0.83/0.15 0.93/0.98 0.96/0.86 0.95/0.61 0.76/0.17 0.92/0.22 0.85/0.61 CESM2 piControl BF 0.63/0.97 0.64/1.92 0.88/0.54 0.78/0.61 0.39/1.15 0.80/0.17 0.92/1.24 0.95/1.16 0.96/0.57 0.79/0.17 0.92/0.21 0.84/0.66 CESM2 piControl BG 0.61/1.04 0.60/2.19 0.83/0.79 0.78/0.64 0.40/1.18 0.76/0.18 0.93/1.17 0.96/1.03 0.95/0.61 0.79/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.70 CESM2 piControl BH 0.68/0.82 0.65/1.75 0.91/0.56 0.70/0.99 0.34/1.22 0.78/0.18 0.95/0.68 0.97/0.76 0.95/0.63 0.79/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.85/0.62 CESM2 piControl BI 0.71/0.77 0.65/1.79 0.88/0.75 0.72/0.91 0.50/1.10 0.78/0.18 0.93/0.66 0.90/0.69 0.94/0.60 0.78/0.19 0.90/0.22 0.83/0.62 CESM2 piControl BJ 0.68/0.83 0.50/2.23 0.89/0.69 0.80/0.62 0.51/1.11 0.83/0.16 0.92/0.86 0.87/0.69 0.94/0.65 0.80/0.17 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.62 CESM2 piControl BK 0.66/0.90 0.53/2.15 0.91/0.62 0.82/0.60 0.40/1.07 0.85/0.15 0.90/1.00 0.89/0.70 0.94/0.61 0.81/0.17 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.61 CESM2 piControl BL 0.60/1.06 0.48/2.49 0.91/0.66 0.78/0.79 0.35/1.44 0.86/0.14 0.91/1.12 0.94/0.83 0.95/0.55 0.80/0.17 0.92/0.21 0.84/0.70 CESM2 piControl BM 0.70/0.85 0.74/1.69 0.92/0.57 0.74/0.92 0.40/1.33 0.84/0.15 0.90/0.99 0.94/0.90 0.96/0.59 0.81/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.85/0.65 CESM2 piControl BN 0.76/0.75 0.56/2.14 0.94/0.39 0.71/0.79 0.21/1.34 0.82/0.16 0.90/1.08 0.94/0.96 0.94/0.63 0.78/0.17 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.65 CESM2 piControl BO 0.78/0.71 0.62/1.95 0.93/0.50 0.76/0.60 0.24/1.37 0.82/0.16 0.92/0.90 0.91/0.91 0.92/0.70 0.78/0.17 0.91/0.22 0.83/0.62 CESM2 piControl BP 0.77/0.70 0.56/2.12 0.93/0.47 0.77/0.60 0.37/1.18 0.81/0.17 0.92/0.90 0.94/0.88 0.93/0.68 0.75/0.18 0.91/0.22 0.84/0.61 CESM2 piControl BQ 0.73/0.75 0.59/2.11 0.94/0.48 0.78/0.83 0.46/1.26 0.84/0.15 0.96/0.60 0.93/0.79 0.93/0.73 0.77/0.18 0.92/0.21 0.85/0.61 CESM2 piControl BR 0.73/0.75 0.61/2.03 0.94/0.44 0.76/0.73 0.34/2.12 0.85/0.15 0.91/0.80 0.93/0.76 0.95/0.61 0.78/0.18 0.92/0.21 0.84/0.67 CESM2 piControl BS 0.71/0.79 0.63/1.98 0.91/0.47 0.77/0.81 0.46/1.52 0.85/0.15 0.95/0.78 0.93/0.80 0.95/0.56 0.79/0.17 0.91/0.21 0.85/0.63 CESM2 piControl BT 0.68/0.84 0.67/1.88 0.87/0.80 0.76/0.74 0.32/1.46 0.84/0.15 0.94/0.78 0.89/0.91 0.96/0.53 0.78/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.66 CESM2 piControl BU 0.57/1.02 0.52/2.37 0.85/0.72 0.70/0.95 0.23/1.44 0.81/0.17 0.94/0.71 0.92/0.89 0.96/0.57 0.78/0.19 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.70 CESM2 piControl BV 0.61/0.89 0.45/2.60 0.92/0.69 0.72/0.86 0.33/1.30 0.83/0.16 0.91/0.97 0.92/0.95 0.94/0.69 0.79/0.19 0.91/0.22 0.82/0.71 CESM2 piControl BW 0.63/0.87 0.49/2.29 0.93/0.49 0.73/0.66 0.33/1.43 0.83/0.16 0.92/0.93 0.94/0.84 0.94/0.67 0.80/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.65 CESM2 piControl BX 0.67/0.84 0.64/2.04 0.91/0.63 0.79/0.52 0.28/1.87 0.84/0.15 0.93/1.09 0.93/0.84 0.94/0.67 0.80/0.16 0.91/0.22 0.84/0.69 CESM2 piControl BY 0.71/0.79 0.73/1.82 0.85/0.95 0.83/0.41 0.24/1.81 0.82/0.16 0.90/0.97 0.93/0.79 0.95/0.54 0.79/0.17 0.91/0.22 0.84/0.68 CESM2 piControl BZ 0.71/0.80 0.66/2.25 0.81/0.96 0.81/0.63 0.33/2.16 0.80/0.16 0.93/0.93 0.94/0.85 0.95/0.60 0.79/0.17 0.91/0.23 0.83/0.75 OBS A 0.54/0.93 0.62/1.70 0.93/0.60 0.77/0.92 0.26/1.14 0.78/0.18 0.81/0.93 0.91/0.55 0.92/1.17 0.70/0.21 0.76/0.26 0.78/0.66 OBS B 0.51/0.98 0.59/1.75 0.93/0.53 0.75/0.91 0.25/1.13 0.78/0.18 0.79/0.96 0.91/0.57 0.91/1.27 0.70/0.21 0.76/0.25 0.77/0.66 OBS C 0.49/1.02 0.59/1.77 0.92/0.57 0.72/0.97 0.29/1.10 0.76/0.19 0.83/0.89 0.89/0.58 0.91/1.19 0.69/0.22 0.78/0.24 0.76/0.67 OBS D 0.53/0.98 0.65/1.64 0.93/0.60 0.82/1.05 0.28/1.09 0.76/0.19 0.83/0.90 0.92/0.53 0.91/1.15 0.69/0.21 0.79/0.23 0.79/0.66 OBS E 0.51/1.01 0.61/1.72 0.93/0.63 0.84/1.00 0.16/1.19 0.76/0.19 0.83/0.90 0.92/0.56 0.91/1.17 0.69/0.22 0.79/0.23 0.78/0.68 OBS F 0.60/0.92 0.65/1.67 0.89/0.62 0.85/0.90 0.16/1.19 0.77/0.18 0.80/0.96 0.90/0.60 0.92/0.83 0.70/0.22 0.79/0.23 0.78/0.65 OBS G 0.57/0.95 0.59/1.82 0.93/0.56 0.86/0.89 0.24/1.15 0.78/0.18 0.83/0.92 0.92/0.62 0.94/0.61 0.70/0.21 0.79/0.23 0.80/0.63 OBS H 0.60/0.90 0.59/1.84 0.93/0.60 0.86/0.84 0.26/1.19 0.77/0.18 0.86/0.91 0.93/0.57 0.95/0.60 0.70/0.22 0.79/0.23 0.81/0.63 OBS I 0.64/0.86 0.62/1.79 0.92/0.69 0.86/0.84 0.27/1.22 0.78/0.18 0.88/0.81 0.89/0.62 0.95/0.63 0.71/0.21 0.79/0.23 0.81/0.63 OBS J 0.67/0.83 0.69/1.62 0.92/0.71 0.88/0.71 0.26/1.20 0.78/0.19 0.87/0.83 0.81/0.74 0.95/0.57 0.72/0.22 0.79/0.23 0.80/0.63 OBS K 0.69/0.80 0.75/1.43 0.91/0.72 0.87/0.73 0.30/1.12 0.80/0.18 0.88/0.77 0.82/0.73 0.96/0.55 0.73/0.22 0.78/0.23 0.81/0.60 OBS L 0.70/0.79 0.74/1.50 0.92/0.69 0.84/0.74 0.31/1.10 0.81/0.17 0.88/0.78 0.87/0.62 0.96/0.53 0.73/0.22 0.78/0.23 0.82/0.59 OBS M 0.70/0.78 0.74/1.55 0.92/0.70 0.85/0.70 0.26/1.17 0.81/0.18 0.90/0.73 0.89/0.59 0.96/0.52 0.72/0.22 0.78/0.23 0.82/0.59