Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 piControl (10%) 0.61/0.75 0.48/1.71 0.83/0.42 0.70/0.56 0.15/1.04 0.78/0.15 0.90/0.63 0.86/0.67 0.93/0.51 0.77/0.17 0.91/0.21 0.81/0.61 CESM2 piControl (Avg) 0.69/0.84 0.60/2.02 0.90/0.63 0.75/0.76 0.33/1.41 0.82/0.16 0.93/0.85 0.91/0.83 0.95/0.63 0.79/0.18 0.91/0.21 0.83/0.65 CESM2 piControl (90%) 0.75/0.96 0.70/2.29 0.94/0.85 0.79/0.95 0.46/1.84 0.85/0.18 0.95/1.06 0.94/0.98 0.96/0.73 0.81/0.19 0.92/0.22 0.85/0.70 OBS (10%) 0.49/0.78 0.59/1.43 0.89/0.53 0.72/0.70 0.16/1.09 0.76/0.17 0.79/0.73 0.81/0.53 0.91/0.52 0.69/0.21 0.76/0.23 0.76/0.59 OBS (Avg) 0.60/0.90 0.65/1.68 0.92/0.63 0.83/0.86 0.25/1.15 0.78/0.18 0.85/0.87 0.90/0.60 0.94/0.83 0.71/0.22 0.78/0.23 0.80/0.64 OBS (90%) 0.70/1.01 0.74/1.82 0.93/0.71 0.87/1.00 0.30/1.20 0.81/0.19 0.88/0.96 0.92/0.73 0.96/1.19 0.73/0.22 0.79/0.25 0.82/0.67