Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 BSSP3-7.0 #4 0.93/0.38 0.91/1.08 0.99/0.19 0.97/0.27 0.48/0.97 0.96/0.05 0.96/0.55 0.98/0.39 0.94/0.45 0.97/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.96/0.32 CESM2 BSSP3-7.0 #10 0.92/0.40 0.88/1.29 0.99/0.14 0.96/0.28 0.61/0.80 0.93/0.08 0.99/0.38 0.99/0.35 0.98/0.27 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.96/0.30 CESM2 BSSP3-7.0 #11 0.91/0.44 0.87/1.29 0.99/0.13 0.98/0.25 0.48/0.94 0.94/0.07 0.97/0.57 0.99/0.33 0.91/0.56 0.97/0.04 0.99/0.09 0.96/0.34 CESM2-LENS 1001.001 0.94/0.37 0.91/1.06 0.97/0.20 0.96/0.38 0.34/1.21 0.95/0.06 0.98/0.39 0.98/0.45 0.93/0.51 0.95/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.36 CESM2-LENS 1021.002 0.89/0.47 0.88/1.25 0.96/0.24 0.96/0.35 0.55/0.89 0.93/0.09 0.98/0.38 0.91/0.83 0.96/0.43 0.94/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.37 CESM2-LENS 1031.003 0.90/0.46 0.89/1.21 0.99/0.17 0.99/0.25 0.29/1.28 0.94/0.07 0.92/0.80 0.97/0.45 0.96/0.39 0.97/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.38 CESM2-LENS 1061.004 0.90/0.47 0.88/1.30 0.99/0.22 0.98/0.21 0.33/1.02 0.90/0.09 0.93/0.77 0.95/0.62 0.96/0.39 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.94/0.38 CESM2-LENS 1081.005 0.89/0.55 0.92/1.14 0.99/0.20 0.98/0.23 0.51/0.86 0.88/0.10 0.97/0.54 0.93/0.72 0.92/0.51 0.95/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.37 CESM2-LENS 1101.006 0.94/0.39 0.94/0.93 0.99/0.24 0.93/0.34 0.28/1.19 0.94/0.07 0.93/0.74 0.97/0.45 0.98/0.30 0.97/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.36 CESM2-LENS 1121.007 0.94/0.35 0.93/0.95 0.99/0.18 0.94/0.32 0.51/1.29 0.95/0.06 0.97/0.50 0.98/0.43 0.96/0.42 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.96/0.35 CESM2-LENS 1141.008 0.93/0.38 0.92/0.99 0.98/0.30 0.99/0.30 0.54/0.95 0.91/0.09 0.97/0.50 0.96/0.61 0.98/0.29 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.96/0.35 CESM2-LENS 1161.009 0.91/0.43 0.87/1.35 0.99/0.17 0.98/0.28 0.23/1.15 0.92/0.08 0.95/0.62 0.96/0.56 0.93/0.49 0.97/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.94/0.38 CESM2-LENS 1181.010 0.89/0.48 0.85/1.37 0.99/0.14 0.98/0.23 0.42/1.04 0.96/0.06 0.92/0.80 0.92/0.78 0.97/0.29 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.36 CESM2-LENS 1231.001 0.90/0.48 0.88/1.26 0.97/0.29 0.98/0.33 0.58/1.04 0.93/0.08 0.98/0.38 0.94/0.66 0.95/0.42 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.38 CESM2-LENS 1231.002 0.95/0.34 0.95/0.84 0.99/0.16 0.96/0.26 0.34/1.22 0.86/0.11 0.96/0.59 0.98/0.40 0.99/0.20 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.96/0.34 CESM2-LENS 1231.003 0.94/0.36 0.93/0.96 0.95/0.32 0.98/0.18 0.50/0.98 0.94/0.07 0.98/0.39 0.98/0.36 0.92/0.52 0.97/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.96/0.33 CESM2-LENS 1231.004 0.91/0.42 0.91/1.10 0.98/0.17 0.99/0.17 0.23/1.22 0.92/0.08 0.97/0.57 0.97/0.44 0.96/0.35 0.97/0.04 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.35 CESM2-LENS 1231.005 0.93/0.40 0.89/1.28 0.97/0.27 0.99/0.17 0.43/0.91 0.94/0.07 0.94/0.67 0.95/0.59 0.95/0.38 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.35 CESM2-LENS 1231.006 0.93/0.38 0.86/1.38 0.99/0.16 0.99/0.27 0.54/0.84 0.96/0.06 0.94/0.69 0.98/0.38 0.95/0.40 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.96/0.33 CESM2-LENS 1231.007 0.88/0.51 0.83/1.49 0.91/0.34 0.94/0.37 0.46/0.93 0.82/0.11 0.97/0.54 0.94/0.68 0.97/0.35 0.95/0.06 0.99/0.10 0.92/0.41 CESM2-LENS 1231.008 0.92/0.41 0.88/1.25 0.98/0.17 0.98/0.28 0.34/1.25 0.95/0.07 0.97/0.55 0.98/0.43 0.94/0.46 0.97/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.36 CESM2-LENS 1231.009 0.91/0.44 0.89/1.18 0.98/0.25 0.99/0.31 0.47/0.97 0.96/0.05 0.97/0.51 0.99/0.37 0.94/0.45 0.98/0.04 0.99/0.09 0.96/0.34 CESM2-LENS 1231.010 0.91/0.44 0.91/1.07 0.93/0.35 0.95/0.31 0.32/1.00 0.91/0.09 0.94/0.70 0.94/0.68 0.96/0.38 0.96/0.06 0.99/0.12 0.93/0.39 CESM2-LENS 1251.001 0.92/0.41 0.89/1.22 0.99/0.15 0.96/0.37 0.46/0.99 0.94/0.07 0.90/0.95 0.94/0.70 0.94/0.44 0.97/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.38 CESM2-LENS 1251.002 0.93/0.38 0.91/1.08 0.97/0.29 0.97/0.24 0.39/1.13 0.96/0.06 0.97/0.53 0.97/0.48 0.91/0.54 0.96/0.06 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.36 CESM2-LENS 1251.003 0.92/0.40 0.83/1.48 0.99/0.16 0.99/0.25 0.49/0.93 0.92/0.08 0.97/0.48 0.95/0.63 0.97/0.34 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.96/0.34 CESM2-LENS 1251.004 0.90/0.45 0.89/1.25 0.99/0.16 0.99/0.15 0.66/0.76 0.88/0.10 0.97/0.58 0.94/0.68 0.94/0.42 0.94/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.34 CESM2-LENS 1251.005 0.91/0.43 0.91/1.11 0.97/0.27 0.98/0.25 0.58/0.85 0.90/0.09 0.93/0.75 0.97/0.51 0.96/0.39 0.94/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.36 CESM2-LENS 1251.006 0.94/0.38 0.89/1.29 0.98/0.17 0.98/0.28 0.44/0.92 0.95/0.07 0.97/0.46 0.99/0.41 0.79/0.81 0.95/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.36 CESM2-LENS 1251.007 0.90/0.49 0.94/0.89 0.98/0.26 0.96/0.34 0.46/0.95 0.89/0.09 0.97/0.51 0.97/0.49 0.93/0.48 0.94/0.07 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.37 CESM2-LENS 1251.008 0.90/0.46 0.91/1.10 0.99/0.14 0.96/0.33 0.38/0.97 0.94/0.07 0.98/0.47 0.98/0.42 0.93/0.48 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.34 CESM2-LENS 1251.009 0.91/0.45 0.91/1.06 0.98/0.16 0.98/0.28 0.49/0.99 0.92/0.08 0.97/0.53 0.97/0.53 0.97/0.37 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.34 CESM2-LENS 1251.010 0.91/0.43 0.84/1.42 0.91/0.33 0.99/0.17 0.64/0.75 0.92/0.08 0.91/0.93 0.98/0.44 0.98/0.29 0.95/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.35 CESM2-LENS 1281.001 0.92/0.40 0.92/1.04 0.99/0.12 0.98/0.32 0.38/0.99 0.97/0.05 0.98/0.39 0.98/0.35 0.99/0.23 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.97/0.30 CESM2-LENS 1281.002 0.93/0.38 0.93/0.97 0.98/0.17 0.98/0.24 0.28/1.04 0.95/0.07 0.98/0.44 0.98/0.42 0.95/0.38 0.97/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.96/0.32 CESM2-LENS 1281.003 0.89/0.47 0.88/1.21 0.91/0.36 0.98/0.21 0.66/0.74 0.95/0.07 0.97/0.51 0.97/0.46 0.98/0.28 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.10 0.95/0.33 CESM2-LENS 1281.004 0.88/0.50 0.91/1.10 0.98/0.20 0.99/0.21 0.26/1.16 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.38 0.99/0.34 0.97/0.42 0.97/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.96/0.34 CESM2-LENS 1281.005 0.92/0.41 0.88/1.26 0.98/0.21 0.98/0.25 0.65/0.74 0.96/0.06 0.98/0.43 0.97/0.43 0.98/0.30 0.96/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.96/0.30 CESM2-LENS 1281.006 0.87/0.53 0.86/1.35 0.98/0.16 0.97/0.35 0.56/0.87 0.94/0.07 0.96/0.58 0.98/0.49 0.97/0.33 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.35 CESM2-LENS 1281.007 0.82/0.59 0.84/1.39 0.97/0.35 0.96/0.36 0.37/1.29 0.92/0.08 0.94/0.67 0.99/0.31 0.96/0.35 0.97/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.42 CESM2-LENS 1281.008 0.89/0.48 0.90/1.16 0.94/0.32 0.98/0.32 0.29/1.26 0.92/0.08 0.97/0.47 0.97/0.51 0.96/0.40 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.39 CESM2-LENS 1281.009 0.92/0.41 0.86/1.33 0.97/0.29 0.98/0.38 0.37/1.12 0.86/0.11 0.94/0.74 0.98/0.44 0.96/0.39 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.41 CESM2-LENS 1281.010 0.95/0.34 0.93/0.95 0.98/0.20 0.99/0.19 0.20/1.34 0.96/0.06 0.96/0.65 0.96/0.57 0.94/0.45 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.36 CESM2-LENS 1301.001 0.90/0.48 0.89/1.19 0.98/0.16 0.98/0.22 0.33/1.07 0.94/0.08 0.97/0.54 0.98/0.44 0.93/0.47 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.35 CESM2-LENS 1301.002 0.92/0.42 0.90/1.17 0.90/0.43 0.97/0.38 0.11/1.33 0.92/0.08 0.96/0.56 0.96/0.53 0.96/0.40 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.42 CESM2-LENS 1301.003 0.91/0.43 0.90/1.17 0.98/0.20 0.99/0.20 0.62/0.80 0.90/0.09 0.98/0.42 0.99/0.30 0.95/0.42 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.96/0.32 CESM2-LENS 1301.004 0.91/0.47 0.93/1.00 0.98/0.19 0.97/0.33 0.37/1.04 0.96/0.05 0.95/0.64 0.98/0.43 0.95/0.39 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.34 CESM2-LENS 1301.005 0.91/0.43 0.90/1.14 0.98/0.15 0.97/0.32 0.37/0.96 0.95/0.07 0.98/0.46 0.96/0.56 0.97/0.30 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.33 CESM2-LENS 1301.006 0.88/0.52 0.92/1.05 0.98/0.18 0.99/0.21 0.60/0.83 0.95/0.06 0.96/0.57 0.96/0.55 0.97/0.33 0.96/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.96/0.32 CESM2-LENS 1301.007 0.82/0.63 0.81/1.56 0.98/0.19 0.97/0.31 0.14/1.19 0.95/0.07 0.96/0.55 0.95/0.63 0.91/0.55 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.93/0.41 CESM2-LENS 1301.008 0.88/0.49 0.88/1.24 0.98/0.29 0.98/0.20 0.49/0.95 0.94/0.07 0.94/0.69 0.97/0.51 0.97/0.33 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.36 CESM2-LENS 1301.009 0.83/0.59 0.85/1.37 0.93/0.30 0.99/0.17 0.70/0.70 0.94/0.07 0.96/0.66 0.98/0.40 0.93/0.47 0.94/0.06 0.99/0.10 0.95/0.35 CESM2-LENS 1301.010 0.94/0.34 0.93/0.98 0.96/0.23 0.99/0.20 0.24/1.24 0.88/0.10 0.97/0.55 0.98/0.43 0.96/0.35 0.97/0.04 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.36