Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Reference Dataset 1 vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (10%) 0.55/0.71 0.66/1.38 0.87/0.51 0.74/0.52 -0.32/1.16 0.71/0.10 0.86/0.68 0.89/0.59 0.90/0.41 0.76/0.13 0.91/0.22 0.81/0.67 CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (Avg) 0.64/0.85 0.78/1.69 0.90/0.67 0.83/0.65 0.03/1.82 0.80/0.13 0.91/0.87 0.94/0.73 0.94/0.51 0.79/0.16 0.91/0.26 0.84/0.77 CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (90%) 0.71/0.99 0.85/2.02 0.93/0.81 0.88/0.79 0.41/2.73 0.85/0.15 0.93/1.09 0.96/0.92 0.96/0.59 0.81/0.19 0.92/0.29 0.85/0.88 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (10%) 0.55/0.68 0.65/1.36 0.88/0.43 0.77/0.44 -0.30/1.31 0.68/0.10 0.85/0.57 0.90/0.52 0.90/0.42 0.77/0.13 0.90/0.22 0.80/0.66 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (Avg) 0.65/0.82 0.77/1.69 0.91/0.57 0.84/0.60 0.00/1.86 0.80/0.13 0.91/0.87 0.94/0.71 0.94/0.52 0.78/0.15 0.91/0.25 0.83/0.75 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (90%) 0.70/0.96 0.85/2.02 0.93/0.73 0.89/0.80 0.30/2.58 0.85/0.15 0.95/1.11 0.96/0.94 0.96/0.62 0.80/0.18 0.91/0.29 0.86/0.86 CESM2-cmip5f (10%) 0.56/0.74 0.64/1.42 0.85/0.49 0.77/0.42 -0.25/1.08 0.81/0.09 0.88/0.65 0.89/0.54 0.91/0.42 0.75/0.12 0.90/0.21 0.82/0.67 CESM2-cmip5f (Avg) 0.62/0.85 0.76/1.70 0.89/0.57 0.82/0.54 0.09/1.66 0.84/0.12 0.92/0.77 0.93/0.71 0.95/0.51 0.78/0.14 0.91/0.23 0.83/0.71 CESM2-cmip5f (90%) 0.69/0.97 0.82/1.95 0.91/0.65 0.87/0.66 0.37/2.20 0.87/0.14 0.95/0.97 0.95/0.89 0.96/0.64 0.80/0.16 0.91/0.24 0.86/0.80 CESM1-LENS (10%) 0.39/0.80 0.63/1.54 0.81/0.43 0.71/0.32 -0.27/1.21 0.66/0.10 0.83/0.71 0.87/0.62 0.90/0.40 0.71/0.11 0.87/0.20 0.77/0.64 CESM1-LENS (Avg) 0.50/0.99 0.75/1.79 0.88/0.59 0.83/0.48 0.10/1.64 0.80/0.11 0.88/0.88 0.90/0.78 0.94/0.51 0.74/0.13 0.88/0.21 0.80/0.72 CESM1-LENS (90%) 0.58/1.13 0.82/1.99 0.91/0.75 0.88/0.64 0.43/2.03 0.85/0.13 0.92/1.01 0.93/0.93 0.96/0.61 0.76/0.14 0.88/0.22 0.82/0.81