Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.93/0.30 1.00/0.27 0.94/0.08 0.97/0.09 0.87/0.50 0.96/0.05 1.00/0.18 1.00/0.15 1.00/0.15 0.93/0.06 1.00/0.00 ----/0.18 OBS 3 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.94/0.12 ----/0.02 OBS 4 0.93/0.30 1.00/0.27 0.94/0.08 0.97/0.09 0.87/0.50 0.96/0.05 1.00/0.18 1.00/0.15 1.00/0.15 0.93/0.06 0.94/0.12 ----/0.20 CESM2 TOGA #1 0.59/0.72 0.52/2.11 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.02/1.93 -0.00/0.18 0.94/0.78 0.90/0.68 0.92/0.56 0.47/0.22 0.81/0.21 0.94/0.66 CESM2 TOGA #2 0.54/0.85 0.67/1.90 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.03/3.19 0.02/0.18 0.87/1.16 0.90/0.99 0.88/0.60 0.47/0.22 0.80/0.21 0.94/0.83 CESM2 TOGA #3 0.63/0.69 0.38/2.50 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.01/2.21 -0.00/0.18 0.92/0.77 0.89/0.70 0.90/0.64 0.47/0.22 0.80/0.21 0.94/0.70 CESM2 TOGA #4 0.48/0.90 0.75/1.62 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.00/2.61 0.01/0.18 0.87/1.14 0.92/1.04 0.92/0.49 0.47/0.22 0.80/0.22 0.94/0.76 CESM2 TOGA #5 0.54/0.78 0.68/1.67 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.04/2.55 -0.00/0.18 0.86/1.09 0.82/1.09 0.92/0.53 0.47/0.22 0.80/0.22 0.94/0.75 CESM2 TOGA #6 0.64/0.67 0.79/1.42 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.06/1.89 -0.02/0.18 0.92/0.84 0.86/1.00 0.93/0.46 0.47/0.22 0.81/0.21 0.95/0.64 CESM2 TOGA #7 0.61/0.72 0.57/1.92 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.01/3.59 -0.01/0.18 0.91/1.02 0.81/0.88 0.95/0.43 0.47/0.22 0.81/0.21 0.94/0.82 CESM2 TOGA #8 0.60/0.73 0.54/2.18 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.00/3.03 -0.01/0.18 0.83/0.95 0.79/0.89 0.93/0.44 0.47/0.22 0.80/0.21 0.93/0.78 CESM2 TOGA #9 0.60/0.73 0.76/1.62 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.07/2.13 -0.02/0.18 0.88/0.74 0.87/0.81 0.93/0.52 0.47/0.22 0.80/0.22 0.94/0.66 CESM2 TOGA #10 0.58/0.81 0.79/1.53 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.07/2.33 0.01/0.18 0.84/0.98 0.91/1.10 0.92/0.52 0.47/0.22 0.81/0.21 0.94/0.72 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #1 0.64/0.65 0.62/1.88 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.03/2.50 -0.01/0.18 0.82/1.11 0.92/0.80 0.87/0.61 0.48/0.21 0.81/0.21 0.94/0.73 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #2 0.53/0.89 0.49/2.36 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.06/2.52 -0.01/0.18 0.90/0.80 0.90/1.05 0.89/0.59 0.48/0.21 0.81/0.21 0.94/0.77 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #3 0.59/0.74 0.60/1.93 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.04/4.58 0.01/0.18 0.91/0.88 0.92/1.13 0.89/0.60 0.48/0.21 0.81/0.21 0.94/0.93 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #4 0.53/0.83 0.63/2.06 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/3.29 -0.01/0.18 0.92/1.26 0.87/0.98 0.94/0.43 0.48/0.21 0.80/0.21 0.94/0.83 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #5 0.54/0.83 0.63/2.04 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.02/2.00 -0.02/0.18 0.93/0.99 0.91/1.06 0.93/0.48 0.48/0.21 0.81/0.21 0.94/0.71 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #6 0.63/0.70 0.67/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/2.62 -0.00/0.18 0.95/0.76 0.90/0.69 0.95/0.48 0.48/0.21 0.80/0.21 0.95/0.70 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #7 0.59/0.73 0.65/1.95 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/2.95 -0.01/0.18 0.91/1.03 0.87/0.88 0.92/0.52 0.48/0.21 0.81/0.21 0.94/0.77 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #8 0.58/0.70 0.73/1.58 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.02/3.76 0.01/0.18 0.87/0.91 0.86/0.96 0.94/0.55 0.48/0.21 0.81/0.21 0.94/0.83 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #9 0.59/0.80 0.67/1.96 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.01/3.30 -0.00/0.18 0.92/0.95 0.94/0.74 0.93/0.57 0.48/0.21 0.81/0.21 0.95/0.80 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #10 0.65/0.66 0.82/1.32 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.00/5.68 -0.01/0.18 0.87/1.23 0.93/1.04 0.95/0.49 0.48/0.21 0.80/0.22 0.95/1.01