Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.92/0.30 0.99/0.34 0.93/0.09 0.96/0.08 0.84/0.57 0.97/0.05 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.92/0.06 0.94/0.13 ----/0.17 CESM2 GOGAsmbb NewSST #1 0.55/0.84 0.67/1.89 0.96/0.12 0.96/0.12 0.00/2.03 -0.01/0.18 0.93/0.74 0.94/0.84 0.90/0.75 0.91/0.06 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.65 CESM2 GOGAsmbb NewSST #2 0.52/0.84 0.54/2.06 0.96/0.12 0.96/0.12 0.08/1.63 -0.00/0.18 0.90/0.92 0.84/1.25 0.87/0.89 0.91/0.06 0.82/0.20 0.80/0.67 CESM2 GOGAsmbb NewSST #3 0.66/0.64 0.70/1.69 0.96/0.12 0.96/0.12 0.01/2.58 0.01/0.18 0.95/0.72 0.92/0.74 0.91/0.69 0.91/0.06 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.65 CESM2 GOGAsmbb NewSST #4 0.61/0.82 0.72/1.73 0.96/0.12 0.96/0.12 0.08/2.07 0.01/0.18 0.94/0.72 0.93/0.62 0.89/0.74 0.91/0.06 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.63 CESM2 GOGAsmbb NewSST #5 0.65/0.64 0.76/1.52 0.96/0.12 0.96/0.12 0.01/2.45 0.02/0.18 0.94/0.67 0.92/0.61 0.94/0.53 0.91/0.06 0.81/0.20 0.84/0.62 CESM2 TOGA #1 0.58/0.70 0.51/2.15 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 0.04/1.63 0.00/0.18 0.94/0.69 0.90/0.60 0.91/0.66 0.44/0.22 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.62 CESM2 TOGA #2 0.49/0.86 0.67/1.91 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 0.07/2.81 0.02/0.18 0.91/0.90 0.92/0.72 0.88/0.78 0.44/0.22 0.81/0.20 0.83/0.75 CESM2 TOGA #3 0.62/0.67 0.44/2.39 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 -0.06/2.66 0.01/0.18 0.95/0.58 0.90/0.63 0.90/0.73 0.44/0.22 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.71 CESM2 TOGA #4 0.48/0.88 0.74/1.64 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 0.01/2.19 0.01/0.18 0.91/0.84 0.95/0.79 0.91/0.67 0.44/0.22 0.81/0.21 0.85/0.69 CESM2 TOGA #5 0.55/0.74 0.71/1.62 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 -0.03/2.46 0.01/0.18 0.87/1.02 0.87/0.92 0.91/0.64 0.44/0.22 0.81/0.21 0.83/0.71 CESM2 TOGA #6 0.64/0.64 0.77/1.48 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 -0.00/1.84 0.01/0.18 0.94/0.65 0.88/0.85 0.91/0.69 0.44/0.22 0.82/0.20 0.85/0.62 CESM2 TOGA #7 0.61/0.69 0.58/1.92 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 -0.01/2.88 -0.00/0.18 0.93/0.80 0.85/0.78 0.95/0.49 0.44/0.22 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.72 CESM2 TOGA #8 0.60/0.71 0.61/2.02 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 -0.00/3.04 -0.02/0.18 0.87/0.87 0.83/0.82 0.92/0.61 0.44/0.22 0.81/0.20 0.82/0.75 CESM2 TOGA #9 0.61/0.70 0.76/1.61 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 0.02/2.28 -0.01/0.18 0.91/0.71 0.92/0.63 0.92/0.59 0.44/0.22 0.81/0.21 0.85/0.65 CESM2 TOGA #10 0.57/0.79 0.76/1.63 0.99/0.07 0.99/0.07 0.07/2.67 0.01/0.18 0.89/0.84 0.94/0.85 0.88/0.74 0.44/0.22 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.72 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #1 0.65/0.61 0.66/1.78 0.99/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.02/2.39 -0.00/0.18 0.86/1.04 0.93/0.74 0.86/0.79 0.45/0.21 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.69 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #2 0.49/0.90 0.50/2.34 0.99/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.07/2.36 -0.01/0.18 0.90/0.79 0.93/0.80 0.90/0.69 0.45/0.21 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.73 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #3 0.57/0.73 0.66/1.81 0.99/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.00/4.26 0.01/0.18 0.96/0.74 0.94/0.96 0.88/0.77 0.45/0.21 0.82/0.20 0.85/0.86 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #4 0.50/0.83 0.64/2.05 0.99/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.02/3.40 -0.00/0.18 0.94/1.01 0.90/0.86 0.94/0.61 0.45/0.21 0.81/0.20 0.84/0.81 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #5 0.52/0.84 0.62/2.08 0.99/0.06 0.99/0.06 -0.02/1.96 -0.01/0.18 0.94/0.77 0.94/0.85 0.93/0.60 0.45/0.21 0.82/0.20 0.85/0.67 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #6 0.64/0.66 0.68/1.71 0.99/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.05/2.07 0.00/0.18 0.96/0.61 0.87/0.73 0.95/0.49 0.45/0.21 0.81/0.21 0.85/0.63 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #7 0.59/0.70 0.68/1.87 0.99/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.01/2.75 0.00/0.18 0.94/0.84 0.92/0.71 0.91/0.68 0.45/0.21 0.81/0.20 0.85/0.72 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #8 0.55/0.69 0.68/1.75 0.99/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.03/3.83 0.01/0.18 0.89/0.82 0.90/0.74 0.94/0.56 0.45/0.21 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.79 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #9 0.62/0.76 0.70/1.85 0.99/0.06 0.99/0.06 -0.02/3.48 0.01/0.18 0.95/0.70 0.93/0.70 0.92/0.62 0.44/0.21 0.82/0.20 0.85/0.77 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #10 0.65/0.63 0.80/1.40 0.99/0.06 0.99/0.06 0.00/4.36 -0.00/0.18 0.88/1.25 0.94/1.01 0.95/0.55 0.45/0.21 0.81/0.21 0.86/0.86