Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.94/0.28 1.00/0.00 0.94/0.08 0.97/0.09 0.87/0.50 0.96/0.05 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.92/0.06 0.90/0.18 1.00/0.16 CESM2 GOGA #1 0.66/0.71 0.74/1.81 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.03/2.43 0.00/0.18 0.90/0.91 0.87/0.81 0.92/0.57 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.21 0.96/0.63 CESM2 GOGA #2 0.68/0.72 0.74/1.74 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.05/2.37 0.00/0.18 0.89/1.49 0.83/1.50 0.83/0.81 0.99/0.01 0.83/0.21 0.95/0.72 CESM2 GOGA #3 0.65/0.73 0.60/2.17 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.03/4.04 -0.02/0.18 0.88/0.82 0.93/0.58 0.92/0.55 0.99/0.02 0.83/0.21 0.96/0.77 CESM2 GOGA #4 0.62/0.77 0.67/1.94 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/1.83 -0.01/0.18 0.88/1.03 0.92/0.97 0.93/0.54 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.22 0.96/0.61 CESM2 GOGA #5 0.60/0.85 0.68/2.12 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.02/2.45 -0.01/0.18 0.95/0.72 0.88/0.81 0.95/0.46 0.99/0.01 0.84/0.20 0.96/0.64 CESM2 GOGA #6 0.64/0.79 0.68/1.90 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.08/1.99 -0.03/0.18 0.95/0.56 0.82/0.87 0.90/0.61 0.99/0.01 0.83/0.21 0.96/0.59 CESM2 GOGA #7 0.71/0.64 0.80/1.54 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/3.19 -0.01/0.18 0.89/1.25 0.86/0.93 0.91/0.56 0.99/0.01 0.84/0.21 0.96/0.71 CESM2 GOGA #8 0.64/0.68 0.73/1.75 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.05/2.83 -0.00/0.18 0.94/0.78 0.86/0.91 0.92/0.56 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.22 0.96/0.66 CESM2 GOGA #9 0.67/0.71 0.65/1.97 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.00/3.67 0.00/0.18 0.90/0.90 0.80/1.05 0.94/0.54 0.99/0.02 0.83/0.21 0.95/0.76 CESM2 GOGA #10 0.66/0.74 0.77/1.71 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.01/2.24 -0.01/0.18 0.88/1.15 0.90/1.18 0.92/0.55 0.99/0.02 0.82/0.22 0.96/0.65 CESM2 TOGA #1 0.59/0.72 0.52/2.28 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.03/1.78 -0.00/0.18 0.93/0.78 0.85/0.75 0.92/0.60 0.46/0.21 0.82/0.21 0.93/0.64 CESM2 TOGA #2 0.54/0.84 0.67/2.01 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.04/3.05 0.02/0.18 0.88/1.07 0.90/0.88 0.87/0.69 0.46/0.22 0.84/0.21 0.93/0.78 CESM2 TOGA #3 0.63/0.69 0.39/2.65 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.02/2.46 -0.01/0.18 0.93/0.70 0.88/0.69 0.90/0.66 0.46/0.21 0.84/0.21 0.93/0.70 CESM2 TOGA #4 0.48/0.90 0.75/1.72 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/2.49 0.02/0.18 0.87/1.08 0.88/1.04 0.92/0.57 0.46/0.22 0.84/0.21 0.93/0.73 CESM2 TOGA #5 0.54/0.78 0.68/1.86 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.04/2.58 0.00/0.18 0.86/1.07 0.77/1.14 0.91/0.59 0.46/0.22 0.82/0.22 0.92/0.74 CESM2 TOGA #6 0.64/0.67 0.79/1.57 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.04/1.84 -0.02/0.18 0.92/0.78 0.83/1.06 0.93/0.53 0.46/0.22 0.83/0.21 0.93/0.63 CESM2 TOGA #7 0.61/0.72 0.57/2.11 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 -0.01/3.56 -0.00/0.18 0.91/0.91 0.80/0.92 0.96/0.43 0.46/0.22 0.83/0.21 0.93/0.80 CESM2 TOGA #8 0.60/0.74 0.54/2.32 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.01/3.04 -0.02/0.18 0.85/0.93 0.86/0.74 0.93/0.50 0.46/0.21 0.83/0.21 0.93/0.75 CESM2 TOGA #9 0.60/0.73 0.76/1.72 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.06/2.16 -0.02/0.18 0.88/0.79 0.89/0.71 0.92/0.54 0.46/0.22 0.82/0.22 0.93/0.65 CESM2 TOGA #10 0.58/0.81 0.79/1.62 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.01 0.07/2.48 0.01/0.18 0.83/1.03 0.90/1.04 0.91/0.58 0.46/0.22 0.84/0.20 0.93/0.72 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #1 0.64/0.65 0.62/2.04 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.02 0.03/2.51 -0.01/0.18 0.82/1.11 0.92/0.77 0.86/0.69 0.47/0.21 0.83/0.21 0.91/0.71 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #2 0.53/0.89 0.49/2.49 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.02 0.05/2.53 -0.01/0.18 0.90/0.79 0.88/1.04 0.88/0.65 0.47/0.21 0.83/0.21 0.91/0.75 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #3 0.59/0.74 0.60/2.08 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.02 0.04/4.58 0.01/0.18 0.91/0.84 0.89/1.15 0.88/0.68 0.47/0.21 0.83/0.21 0.91/0.92 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #4 0.53/0.83 0.64/2.16 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.02 0.01/3.29 -0.01/0.18 0.92/1.15 0.85/1.00 0.94/0.50 0.47/0.21 0.83/0.21 0.92/0.81 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #5 0.55/0.83 0.63/2.15 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.02 -0.02/2.00 -0.02/0.18 0.93/0.90 0.88/1.09 0.93/0.54 0.47/0.21 0.83/0.21 0.92/0.69 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #6 0.63/0.69 0.67/1.91 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.02 0.01/2.62 -0.00/0.18 0.95/0.67 0.91/0.64 0.95/0.46 0.47/0.21 0.83/0.21 0.93/0.67 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #7 0.59/0.73 0.65/2.06 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.02 0.01/2.95 -0.01/0.18 0.91/0.94 0.84/0.94 0.91/0.59 0.47/0.21 0.83/0.21 0.91/0.76 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #8 0.58/0.70 0.73/1.73 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.02 0.02/3.77 0.01/0.18 0.87/0.92 0.82/1.03 0.94/0.53 0.47/0.21 0.83/0.21 0.91/0.82 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #9 0.59/0.80 0.67/2.05 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.02 -0.01/3.30 -0.00/0.18 0.93/0.86 0.93/0.70 0.93/0.57 0.47/0.21 0.83/0.22 0.92/0.77 CESM2 TOGAsmbb #10 0.65/0.65 0.82/1.45 1.00/0.01 1.00/0.02 0.00/5.68 -0.01/0.18 0.87/1.18 0.90/1.04 0.94/0.50 0.47/0.21 0.82/0.22 0.92/0.99