Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (10%) 0.56/0.75 0.67/1.36 0.70/0.53 0.68/0.44 -0.13/1.30 0.72/0.12 0.88/0.67 0.90/0.54 0.90/0.45 0.74/0.13 0.91/0.25 0.80/0.66 CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (Avg) 0.63/0.87 0.79/1.72 0.81/0.70 0.74/0.68 0.20/1.87 0.78/0.14 0.92/0.84 0.93/0.74 0.94/0.55 0.76/0.16 0.92/0.29 0.82/0.75 CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (90%) 0.69/1.04 0.86/2.13 0.87/0.87 0.79/0.87 0.52/2.39 0.83/0.16 0.95/1.07 0.96/0.95 0.96/0.66 0.78/0.19 0.92/0.33 0.83/0.84 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (10%) 0.57/0.74 0.64/1.44 0.73/0.56 0.69/0.39 -0.10/1.22 0.68/0.11 0.87/0.57 0.88/0.51 0.89/0.48 0.73/0.13 0.91/0.24 0.78/0.63 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (Avg) 0.63/0.85 0.76/1.78 0.80/0.68 0.75/0.64 0.23/1.77 0.78/0.14 0.92/0.83 0.93/0.75 0.93/0.57 0.75/0.16 0.92/0.29 0.81/0.73 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (90%) 0.68/0.98 0.85/2.09 0.86/0.78 0.81/0.84 0.47/2.47 0.83/0.17 0.95/1.13 0.96/1.01 0.95/0.66 0.77/0.18 0.92/0.32 0.84/0.82 CESM2-cmip5f (10%) 0.52/0.76 0.65/1.42 0.63/0.66 0.67/0.46 0.11/1.13 0.76/0.11 0.87/0.69 0.88/0.65 0.89/0.45 0.72/0.13 0.90/0.25 0.78/0.68 CESM2-cmip5f (Avg) 0.61/0.89 0.76/1.75 0.75/0.76 0.72/0.62 0.35/1.47 0.81/0.13 0.93/0.78 0.92/0.76 0.94/0.59 0.75/0.16 0.91/0.27 0.81/0.71 CESM2-cmip5f (90%) 0.67/1.01 0.84/2.01 0.84/0.88 0.77/0.79 0.52/1.83 0.85/0.15 0.95/0.90 0.94/0.86 0.95/0.71 0.78/0.18 0.92/0.30 0.84/0.75 CESM1-LENS (10%) 0.40/0.84 0.67/1.60 0.74/0.58 0.59/0.42 0.01/1.15 0.72/0.10 0.83/0.65 0.83/0.65 0.89/0.43 0.68/0.11 0.86/0.19 0.75/0.63 CESM1-LENS (Avg) 0.51/1.00 0.76/1.81 0.82/0.70 0.71/0.57 0.25/1.61 0.80/0.12 0.90/0.82 0.88/0.81 0.93/0.57 0.71/0.13 0.87/0.21 0.79/0.71 CESM1-LENS (90%) 0.58/1.17 0.83/2.15 0.85/0.83 0.77/0.69 0.46/2.13 0.84/0.14 0.93/1.00 0.92/0.95 0.96/0.66 0.74/0.15 0.88/0.23 0.81/0.79