Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.92/0.33 1.00/0.00 0.99/0.11 0.98/0.12 0.86/0.52 0.96/0.05 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.92/0.06 0.95/0.15 ----/0.17 CESM2 SO 1001.001 0.61/0.91 0.72/2.08 0.92/0.83 0.77/0.69 0.14/1.51 0.73/0.13 0.85/1.28 0.90/1.26 0.89/0.67 0.78/0.14 0.91/0.29 0.80/0.83 CESM2 SO 1001_nopert 0.62/0.85 0.66/2.01 0.92/0.68 0.89/0.54 0.44/1.22 0.62/0.14 0.93/0.66 0.93/0.75 0.93/0.60 0.77/0.13 0.92/0.26 0.84/0.69 CESM2 SO 1021.002 0.66/0.77 0.83/1.52 0.87/0.54 0.79/0.60 -0.05/2.68 0.37/0.19 0.84/0.99 0.92/0.74 0.77/0.91 0.81/0.13 0.92/0.26 0.77/0.85 CESM2 SO 1021.nopert 0.51/1.17 0.64/2.29 0.90/0.72 0.73/0.65 0.38/1.15 0.80/0.10 0.91/1.09 0.88/1.01 0.93/0.57 0.80/0.11 0.92/0.25 0.81/0.76 CESM2 SO 1041.003 0.65/0.79 0.80/1.63 0.89/0.60 0.76/0.57 0.37/1.18 0.77/0.13 0.87/1.23 0.91/1.20 0.94/0.49 0.80/0.14 0.92/0.26 0.83/0.71 CESM2 SO 1041.nopert 0.66/0.87 0.84/1.58 0.90/0.75 0.86/0.66 0.22/1.51 0.78/0.13 0.85/1.30 0.93/0.96 0.88/0.64 0.80/0.12 0.92/0.24 0.83/0.76 CESM2 SO 1061.004 0.56/0.96 0.72/2.06 0.91/0.80 0.83/0.50 -0.00/2.02 0.70/0.14 0.91/0.82 0.93/0.72 0.92/0.54 0.78/0.13 0.92/0.23 0.82/0.78 CESM2 SO 1061.nopert 0.59/0.77 0.67/1.96 0.90/0.43 0.80/0.55 0.47/1.14 0.76/0.14 0.85/1.13 0.95/0.74 0.93/0.53 0.80/0.13 0.93/0.23 0.83/0.66 CESM2 SO 1081.nopert 0.61/0.87 0.69/2.09 0.92/0.70 0.84/0.58 0.23/1.18 0.77/0.15 0.94/0.87 0.90/0.86 0.70/0.98 0.79/0.14 0.92/0.29 0.81/0.76 CESM2 SO 1101.nopert 0.61/0.85 0.71/1.96 0.92/0.49 0.70/0.68 0.10/3.20 0.75/0.12 0.89/1.16 0.95/0.90 0.91/0.61 0.80/0.12 0.92/0.23 0.82/0.88 CESM2 SO 1121.nopert 0.62/1.03 0.79/1.95 0.92/0.85 0.88/0.89 0.29/1.50 0.76/0.15 0.91/0.86 0.85/0.83 0.84/0.87 0.78/0.16 0.92/0.29 0.82/0.84 CESM2 SO 1141.nopert 0.66/0.81 0.80/1.70 0.91/0.80 0.81/0.61 0.09/1.90 0.69/0.14 0.87/1.16 0.94/0.78 0.94/0.50 0.80/0.14 0.92/0.28 0.83/0.78 CESM2 SO 1251.001 0.73/0.66 0.82/1.48 0.86/0.72 0.77/0.70 0.45/1.51 0.79/0.12 0.94/0.70 0.94/0.54 0.91/0.71 0.79/0.13 0.92/0.26 0.84/0.69 CESM2 SO 1251.002 0.67/0.77 0.76/1.72 0.93/0.51 0.83/0.54 0.30/1.29 0.40/0.19 0.87/1.04 0.90/0.98 0.92/0.58 0.81/0.12 0.91/0.26 0.81/0.71 CESM2 SO 1251.003 0.63/0.83 0.75/1.87 0.93/0.58 0.76/0.62 0.14/1.98 0.29/0.18 0.82/1.21 0.92/1.11 0.93/0.55 0.81/0.11 0.92/0.24 0.80/0.81 CESM2 SO 1251.004 0.60/0.93 0.84/1.71 0.92/0.61 0.80/0.70 0.53/1.38 0.78/0.11 0.85/1.33 0.92/1.28 0.92/0.53 0.81/0.14 0.92/0.26 0.84/0.77 CESM2 SO 1281.001 0.45/0.95 0.58/2.25 0.92/0.63 0.84/0.62 0.21/1.44 0.77/0.12 0.83/1.08 0.93/0.65 0.95/0.49 0.79/0.13 0.92/0.25 0.81/0.72 CESM2 SO 1281.002 0.64/0.76 0.74/1.78 0.95/0.41 0.86/0.47 -0.06/1.43 0.76/0.12 0.93/0.79 0.95/0.76 0.93/0.51 0.79/0.12 0.92/0.24 0.84/0.64 CESM2 SO 1281.004 0.57/0.83 0.57/2.23 0.91/0.48 0.73/0.60 -0.00/1.48 0.70/0.15 0.87/0.97 0.97/0.66 0.95/0.47 0.78/0.13 0.92/0.25 0.82/0.70 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1001.001 0.63/0.89 0.70/2.17 0.93/0.85 0.75/0.78 0.14/1.51 0.73/0.13 0.86/1.24 0.89/1.26 0.92/0.64 0.78/0.15 0.91/0.31 0.80/0.85 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1001_nopert 0.60/0.82 0.69/1.92 0.91/0.69 0.85/0.49 0.44/1.22 0.62/0.14 0.94/0.65 0.91/0.83 0.92/0.62 0.77/0.13 0.92/0.26 0.83/0.68 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1021.002 0.64/0.81 0.86/1.44 0.94/0.39 0.78/0.65 -0.04/2.67 0.37/0.19 0.90/0.78 0.92/0.76 0.77/0.88 0.82/0.12 0.92/0.25 0.80/0.82 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1021.nopert 0.52/1.09 0.70/1.98 0.90/0.65 0.77/0.62 0.39/1.14 0.80/0.10 0.91/1.12 0.87/1.00 0.93/0.56 0.80/0.12 0.92/0.25 0.81/0.73 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1041.003 0.64/0.86 0.70/1.94 0.89/0.76 0.79/0.65 0.37/1.18 0.77/0.13 0.89/1.23 0.90/1.25 0.94/0.51 0.77/0.16 0.92/0.29 0.82/0.77 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1041.nopert 0.65/0.92 0.85/1.84 0.89/1.16 0.83/0.55 0.22/1.51 0.78/0.13 0.86/1.38 0.91/1.10 0.88/0.64 0.79/0.12 0.92/0.25 0.82/0.82 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1061.004 0.60/0.89 0.76/1.87 0.91/0.80 0.83/0.49 -0.00/2.02 0.70/0.14 0.91/0.90 0.92/0.84 0.92/0.53 0.78/0.14 0.92/0.25 0.82/0.78 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1061.nopert 0.56/0.91 0.65/2.15 0.91/0.62 0.73/0.71 0.47/1.14 0.76/0.14 0.81/1.20 0.96/0.65 0.92/0.51 0.80/0.14 0.93/0.25 0.82/0.72 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1081.nopert 0.60/0.95 0.65/2.22 0.92/0.76 0.81/0.68 0.23/1.18 0.77/0.15 0.94/0.88 0.90/0.87 0.70/0.99 0.77/0.16 0.92/0.32 0.80/0.80 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1101.nopert 0.64/0.80 0.70/2.11 0.92/0.49 0.73/0.62 0.10/3.20 0.75/0.12 0.88/1.23 0.94/0.88 0.90/0.71 0.78/0.12 0.92/0.25 0.81/0.88 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1121.nopert 0.56/1.05 0.77/1.98 0.93/0.58 0.87/0.85 0.29/1.50 0.76/0.15 0.91/0.91 0.83/0.93 0.82/0.95 0.78/0.16 0.92/0.29 0.81/0.82 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1141.nopert 0.59/0.86 0.74/1.86 0.91/0.78 0.76/0.68 0.09/1.90 0.69/0.14 0.87/1.31 0.93/0.90 0.91/0.57 0.79/0.16 0.92/0.31 0.81/0.83 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1251.001 0.68/0.71 0.75/1.72 0.89/0.53 0.82/0.68 0.45/1.51 0.79/0.12 0.93/0.68 0.94/0.53 0.90/0.71 0.78/0.15 0.92/0.28 0.84/0.68 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1251.002 0.63/0.79 0.77/1.71 0.93/0.53 0.63/0.67 0.30/1.30 0.40/0.19 0.87/1.04 0.88/1.08 0.92/0.66 0.80/0.14 0.91/0.31 0.79/0.76 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1251.003 0.63/0.82 0.80/1.71 0.93/0.66 0.71/0.64 0.14/1.98 0.29/0.18 0.82/1.21 0.91/1.04 0.94/0.49 0.81/0.13 0.92/0.26 0.80/0.81 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1251.004 0.60/1.02 0.82/2.01 0.93/0.59 0.70/0.80 0.52/1.39 0.78/0.11 0.84/1.49 0.93/1.36 0.94/0.46 0.79/0.16 0.92/0.29 0.84/0.82 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1281.001 0.41/1.01 0.58/2.26 0.92/0.58 0.80/0.60 0.21/1.44 0.77/0.12 0.86/1.01 0.89/0.75 0.95/0.53 0.80/0.12 0.92/0.25 0.80/0.73 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1281.002 0.70/0.76 0.83/1.57 0.93/0.56 0.71/0.68 -0.06/1.44 0.76/0.12 0.93/0.86 0.94/0.81 0.93/0.51 0.79/0.13 0.92/0.27 0.84/0.69 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5f 1281.004 0.59/0.82 0.69/1.97 0.91/0.41 0.78/0.57 -0.00/1.48 0.70/0.15 0.89/0.95 0.96/0.74 0.96/0.52 0.78/0.14 0.92/0.26 0.82/0.70 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1001.001 0.69/0.77 0.80/1.74 0.92/0.82 0.82/0.64 0.14/1.51 0.73/0.13 0.84/1.36 0.90/1.35 0.90/0.64 0.79/0.15 0.92/0.30 0.81/0.81 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1001_nopert 0.61/0.88 0.68/1.98 0.92/0.59 0.86/0.63 0.44/1.22 0.62/0.14 0.92/0.69 0.92/0.77 0.93/0.58 0.77/0.15 0.92/0.29 0.83/0.70 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1021.002 0.63/0.90 0.82/1.66 0.92/0.58 0.75/0.76 -0.05/2.68 0.37/0.19 0.88/0.84 0.93/0.75 0.79/0.88 0.82/0.13 0.92/0.26 0.78/0.88 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1021.nopert 0.52/1.17 0.66/2.20 0.87/0.86 0.74/0.70 0.39/1.15 0.80/0.10 0.90/1.18 0.86/1.17 0.93/0.58 0.80/0.12 0.92/0.27 0.80/0.80 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1041.003 0.65/0.84 0.81/1.65 0.90/0.66 0.80/0.58 0.37/1.18 0.77/0.13 0.87/1.18 0.91/1.19 0.93/0.54 0.78/0.15 0.92/0.29 0.83/0.73 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1041.nopert 0.66/0.91 0.84/1.60 0.90/0.55 0.81/0.58 0.22/1.51 0.78/0.13 0.87/1.23 0.92/0.91 0.88/0.66 0.80/0.12 0.92/0.24 0.82/0.73 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1061.004 0.54/1.03 0.67/2.27 0.90/0.86 0.81/0.57 -0.00/2.02 0.70/0.14 0.91/0.83 0.93/0.71 0.93/0.53 0.77/0.14 0.93/0.25 0.81/0.81 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1061.nopert 0.58/0.82 0.61/2.17 0.91/0.59 0.83/0.56 0.47/1.14 0.76/0.14 0.85/1.20 0.95/0.79 0.92/0.55 0.81/0.13 0.93/0.25 0.83/0.70 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1081.nopert 0.62/0.89 0.67/2.21 0.92/0.73 0.81/0.72 0.23/1.18 0.77/0.15 0.93/0.91 0.91/0.86 0.73/0.94 0.79/0.15 0.92/0.31 0.81/0.79 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1101.nopert 0.57/0.91 0.65/2.19 0.93/0.50 0.73/0.66 0.10/3.20 0.76/0.12 0.89/1.22 0.94/0.90 0.92/0.58 0.80/0.12 0.92/0.24 0.82/0.89 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1121.nopert 0.61/0.99 0.77/1.94 0.92/0.71 0.87/0.89 0.29/1.50 0.76/0.15 0.92/0.86 0.85/0.87 0.85/0.85 0.78/0.17 0.92/0.30 0.82/0.83 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1141.nopert 0.62/0.83 0.79/1.70 0.91/0.74 0.83/0.62 0.09/1.90 0.69/0.14 0.87/1.17 0.94/0.77 0.94/0.49 0.79/0.15 0.92/0.29 0.83/0.78 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1251.001 0.72/0.73 0.84/1.43 0.88/0.72 0.84/0.89 0.45/1.51 0.79/0.12 0.93/0.71 0.94/0.53 0.90/0.76 0.78/0.14 0.92/0.28 0.85/0.72 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1251.002 0.64/0.77 0.72/1.79 0.92/0.63 0.89/0.42 0.30/1.30 0.40/0.19 0.86/1.02 0.90/1.01 0.92/0.57 0.81/0.12 0.91/0.28 0.81/0.72 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1251.003 0.65/0.87 0.78/1.93 0.93/0.59 0.84/0.72 0.14/1.98 0.29/0.18 0.83/1.14 0.91/1.15 0.92/0.58 0.82/0.11 0.92/0.25 0.80/0.83 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1251.004 0.60/1.00 0.82/1.85 0.91/0.68 0.79/0.75 0.53/1.38 0.78/0.11 0.85/1.32 0.92/1.31 0.92/0.55 0.80/0.16 0.92/0.30 0.84/0.81 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1281.001 0.44/0.98 0.57/2.31 0.91/0.63 0.87/0.66 0.21/1.44 0.77/0.12 0.81/1.10 0.92/0.69 0.95/0.50 0.80/0.12 0.92/0.24 0.81/0.74 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1281.002 0.65/0.90 0.81/1.70 0.93/0.43 0.85/0.73 -0.06/1.44 0.76/0.12 0.94/0.72 0.94/0.71 0.93/0.53 0.79/0.12 0.92/0.26 0.84/0.68 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb 1281.004 0.57/0.84 0.52/2.40 0.91/0.48 0.80/0.51 -0.00/1.48 0.70/0.15 0.89/0.96 0.96/0.72 0.96/0.47 0.77/0.13 0.92/0.25 0.82/0.71