Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 SO (10%) 0.51/0.76 0.58/1.52 0.87/0.43 0.73/0.50 -0.05/1.15 0.37/0.11 0.83/0.70 0.88/0.65 0.77/0.49 0.78/0.11 0.91/0.23 0.80/0.66 CESM2 SO (Avg) 0.62/0.86 0.74/1.89 0.91/0.64 0.81/0.62 0.23/1.62 0.70/0.14 0.89/1.04 0.93/0.88 0.91/0.62 0.79/0.13 0.92/0.26 0.82/0.75 CESM2 SO (90%) 0.66/0.96 0.83/2.23 0.93/0.80 0.86/0.70 0.45/2.02 0.78/0.18 0.93/1.28 0.95/1.20 0.94/0.87 0.81/0.14 0.92/0.29 0.84/0.84 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5 (10%) 0.52/0.76 0.65/1.57 0.89/0.41 0.70/0.49 -0.04/1.14 0.37/0.11 0.82/0.68 0.87/0.65 0.77/0.49 0.77/0.12 0.91/0.25 0.80/0.68 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5 (Avg) 0.61/0.88 0.75/1.92 0.92/0.65 0.78/0.65 0.23/1.62 0.70/0.14 0.89/1.06 0.92/0.92 0.91/0.63 0.79/0.14 0.92/0.27 0.82/0.77 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_pcmip5 (90%) 0.65/1.02 0.83/2.17 0.93/0.80 0.83/0.78 0.45/2.02 0.78/0.18 0.93/1.31 0.94/1.25 0.94/0.88 0.80/0.16 0.92/0.31 0.84/0.83 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb (10%) 0.52/0.77 0.57/1.60 0.88/0.48 0.74/0.51 -0.05/1.15 0.37/0.11 0.83/0.71 0.86/0.69 0.79/0.49 0.77/0.12 0.92/0.24 0.80/0.70 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb (Avg) 0.61/0.90 0.74/1.93 0.91/0.65 0.82/0.66 0.23/1.62 0.70/0.14 0.89/1.03 0.92/0.90 0.91/0.62 0.79/0.14 0.92/0.27 0.82/0.77 CESM2 SO_mcmip6_psmbb (90%) 0.66/1.00 0.82/2.27 0.93/0.82 0.87/0.76 0.45/2.02 0.78/0.18 0.93/1.23 0.94/1.19 0.94/0.85 0.81/0.15 0.92/0.30 0.84/0.83