Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 BSSP3-7.0 #4 0.90/0.41 0.92/0.89 0.94/0.26 0.94/0.34 0.51/0.94 0.65/0.14 0.98/0.49 0.99/0.33 0.95/0.37 0.95/0.07 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.42 CESM2 BSSP3-7.0 #10 0.86/0.51 0.85/1.39 0.94/0.27 0.94/0.36 0.58/0.83 0.56/0.18 0.96/0.74 0.98/0.33 0.95/0.48 0.95/0.07 0.99/0.11 0.92/0.50 CESM2 BSSP3-7.0 #11 0.92/0.39 0.95/0.75 0.97/0.17 0.98/0.18 0.61/0.82 0.69/0.12 0.94/0.60 0.99/0.30 0.94/0.50 0.95/0.06 0.99/0.10 0.95/0.38 CESM2-LENS 1001.001 0.88/0.50 0.88/1.18 0.93/0.27 0.95/0.39 0.41/1.14 0.68/0.15 0.97/0.50 0.98/0.36 0.98/0.41 0.93/0.08 0.99/0.10 0.93/0.49 CESM2-LENS 1021.002 0.92/0.40 0.93/0.90 0.98/0.15 0.95/0.24 0.61/0.83 0.79/0.09 0.93/0.71 0.95/0.55 0.93/0.44 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.94/0.38 CESM2-LENS 1031.003 0.93/0.35 0.91/0.97 0.95/0.24 0.99/0.12 0.20/1.35 0.62/0.13 0.97/0.49 0.98/0.38 0.98/0.27 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.42 CESM2-LENS 1061.004 0.86/0.54 0.84/1.44 0.94/0.28 0.96/0.24 0.38/0.98 0.50/0.18 0.97/0.60 0.97/0.54 0.95/0.39 0.93/0.06 0.99/0.10 0.92/0.50 CESM2-LENS 1081.005 0.86/0.63 0.88/1.41 0.95/0.32 0.98/0.22 0.48/0.89 0.47/0.20 0.93/0.65 0.95/0.52 0.95/0.40 0.91/0.07 0.99/0.10 0.92/0.52 CESM2-LENS 1101.006 0.88/0.51 0.85/1.38 0.97/0.23 0.91/0.38 0.31/1.17 0.57/0.17 0.95/0.63 0.97/0.46 0.96/0.33 0.93/0.07 0.99/0.09 0.92/0.51 CESM2-LENS 1121.007 0.92/0.38 0.91/1.02 0.94/0.27 0.92/0.35 0.54/1.26 0.68/0.14 0.97/0.59 0.95/0.58 0.96/0.46 0.92/0.07 0.99/0.09 0.93/0.48 CESM2-LENS 1141.008 0.87/0.51 0.85/1.26 0.96/0.28 0.99/0.15 0.54/0.95 0.80/0.10 0.91/0.77 0.95/0.57 0.95/0.50 0.94/0.07 0.99/0.10 0.93/0.45 CESM2-LENS 1161.009 0.85/0.52 0.82/1.55 0.96/0.27 0.96/0.24 0.16/1.21 0.47/0.17 0.94/0.63 0.96/0.53 0.97/0.37 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.92/0.51 CESM2-LENS 1181.010 0.91/0.40 0.94/0.83 0.97/0.21 0.97/0.30 0.36/1.09 0.68/0.14 0.93/0.64 0.95/0.55 0.97/0.31 0.94/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.93/0.43 CESM2-LENS 1231.001 0.93/0.42 0.92/0.98 0.93/0.41 0.95/0.46 0.57/1.05 0.62/0.16 0.97/0.54 0.97/0.44 0.98/0.26 0.90/0.08 0.99/0.10 0.93/0.48 CESM2-LENS 1231.002 0.87/0.56 0.80/1.54 0.95/0.29 0.94/0.34 0.36/1.21 0.42/0.20 0.93/0.75 0.98/0.35 0.96/0.37 0.92/0.08 0.99/0.10 0.91/0.55 CESM2-LENS 1231.003 0.89/0.48 0.89/1.10 0.97/0.24 0.97/0.34 0.53/0.95 0.56/0.16 0.96/0.61 0.99/0.36 0.94/0.42 0.91/0.07 0.99/0.09 0.93/0.47 CESM2-LENS 1231.004 0.88/0.46 0.86/1.28 0.99/0.12 0.98/0.21 0.15/1.29 0.57/0.16 0.98/0.63 0.96/0.58 0.95/0.39 0.95/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.93/0.48 CESM2-LENS 1231.005 0.87/0.52 0.82/1.56 0.98/0.21 0.98/0.24 0.37/0.95 0.57/0.17 0.95/0.59 0.97/0.47 0.96/0.36 0.93/0.08 0.99/0.11 0.93/0.48 CESM2-LENS 1231.006 0.87/0.47 0.80/1.61 0.97/0.21 0.99/0.18 0.54/0.84 0.72/0.12 0.96/0.60 0.99/0.35 0.97/0.29 0.93/0.06 0.99/0.08 0.94/0.41 CESM2-LENS 1231.007 0.87/0.49 0.88/1.15 0.98/0.16 0.92/0.32 0.49/0.91 0.38/0.17 0.97/0.59 0.95/0.51 0.98/0.35 0.94/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.93/0.46 CESM2-LENS 1231.008 0.87/0.47 0.79/1.51 0.96/0.20 0.97/0.30 0.27/1.31 0.66/0.13 0.97/0.65 0.96/0.59 0.96/0.38 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.93/0.49 CESM2-LENS 1231.009 0.91/0.42 0.90/1.04 0.96/0.25 0.98/0.38 0.56/0.89 0.71/0.13 0.93/0.74 0.99/0.43 0.96/0.33 0.94/0.07 0.99/0.10 0.94/0.44 CESM2-LENS 1231.010 0.87/0.47 0.86/1.26 0.94/0.30 0.94/0.30 0.27/1.03 0.80/0.09 0.96/0.53 0.95/0.53 0.97/0.30 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.09 0.92/0.43 CESM2-LENS 1251.001 0.86/0.51 0.88/1.23 0.95/0.23 0.94/0.39 0.51/0.94 0.64/0.15 0.88/0.81 0.94/0.59 0.97/0.30 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.92/0.48 CESM2-LENS 1251.002 0.88/0.51 0.91/1.05 0.99/0.21 0.95/0.38 0.43/1.10 0.66/0.16 0.97/0.41 0.97/0.42 0.95/0.37 0.91/0.09 0.99/0.10 0.93/0.47 CESM2-LENS 1251.003 0.89/0.45 0.85/1.32 0.96/0.21 0.98/0.18 0.55/0.87 0.82/0.10 0.98/0.47 0.97/0.43 0.95/0.39 0.93/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.39 CESM2-LENS 1251.004 0.88/0.48 0.84/1.50 0.97/0.19 0.98/0.25 0.70/0.72 0.44/0.18 0.97/0.77 0.96/0.59 0.98/0.25 0.95/0.07 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.46 CESM2-LENS 1251.005 0.87/0.53 0.81/1.52 0.98/0.19 0.97/0.19 0.65/0.78 0.54/0.15 0.97/0.44 0.98/0.48 0.90/0.50 0.94/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.93/0.44 CESM2-LENS 1251.006 0.87/0.53 0.83/1.55 0.93/0.29 0.96/0.26 0.35/0.99 0.72/0.13 0.95/0.67 0.98/0.40 0.90/0.52 0.94/0.08 0.99/0.11 0.92/0.48 CESM2-LENS 1251.007 0.87/0.55 0.88/1.23 0.98/0.19 0.93/0.41 0.47/0.95 0.46/0.18 0.97/0.60 0.97/0.51 0.94/0.40 0.88/0.10 0.99/0.11 0.92/0.51 CESM2-LENS 1251.008 0.88/0.47 0.84/1.32 0.97/0.20 0.93/0.29 0.32/1.01 0.76/0.11 0.95/0.57 0.97/0.40 0.95/0.42 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.93/0.43 CESM2-LENS 1251.009 0.86/0.52 0.87/1.13 0.93/0.30 0.96/0.28 0.56/0.92 0.54/0.17 0.96/0.69 0.95/0.53 0.97/0.37 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.10 0.93/0.48 CESM2-LENS 1251.010 0.82/0.56 0.82/1.35 0.98/0.16 0.98/0.18 0.67/0.72 0.58/0.15 0.97/0.68 0.97/0.58 0.94/0.43 0.94/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.44 CESM2-LENS 1281.001 0.87/0.48 0.87/1.19 0.96/0.26 0.97/0.20 0.34/1.02 0.66/0.14 0.96/0.65 0.98/0.45 0.96/0.35 0.91/0.07 0.99/0.09 0.93/0.45 CESM2-LENS 1281.002 0.90/0.41 0.86/1.28 0.97/0.20 0.96/0.25 0.20/1.09 0.63/0.14 0.95/0.58 0.99/0.31 0.95/0.42 0.94/0.06 0.99/0.08 0.93/0.45 CESM2-LENS 1281.003 0.90/0.41 0.94/0.81 0.98/0.20 0.98/0.22 0.65/0.75 0.75/0.11 0.98/0.37 0.98/0.40 0.98/0.25 0.92/0.07 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.35 CESM2-LENS 1281.004 0.90/0.44 0.91/1.05 0.95/0.24 0.97/0.27 0.20/1.20 0.71/0.14 0.96/0.52 0.97/0.41 0.98/0.51 0.92/0.07 0.99/0.09 0.93/0.47 CESM2-LENS 1281.005 0.86/0.51 0.82/1.54 0.98/0.17 0.99/0.16 0.63/0.76 0.67/0.13 0.97/0.61 0.98/0.39 0.96/0.32 0.93/0.06 0.99/0.08 0.94/0.41 CESM2-LENS 1281.006 0.88/0.50 0.95/0.74 0.95/0.23 0.95/0.42 0.59/0.83 0.73/0.14 0.98/0.34 0.98/0.36 0.99/0.28 0.92/0.08 0.99/0.10 0.95/0.41 CESM2-LENS 1281.007 0.92/0.36 0.95/0.71 0.97/0.27 0.95/0.25 0.46/1.20 0.50/0.17 0.98/0.44 0.99/0.33 0.98/0.28 0.93/0.07 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.44 CESM2-LENS 1281.008 0.94/0.34 0.93/0.95 0.94/0.28 0.97/0.19 0.30/1.24 0.75/0.10 0.97/0.53 0.98/0.37 0.98/0.38 0.96/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.95/0.42 CESM2-LENS 1281.009 0.85/0.49 0.87/1.14 0.98/0.21 0.98/0.22 0.51/0.99 0.82/0.08 0.95/0.70 0.98/0.39 0.98/0.27 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.39 CESM2-LENS 1281.010 0.82/0.61 0.79/1.56 0.98/0.15 0.99/0.23 0.22/1.32 0.74/0.13 0.98/0.66 0.94/0.70 0.98/0.23 0.94/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.94/0.49 CESM2-LENS 1301.001 0.87/0.52 0.92/0.96 0.93/0.29 0.97/0.41 0.19/1.18 0.63/0.18 0.95/0.66 0.96/0.49 0.98/0.30 0.93/0.07 0.99/0.10 0.92/0.51 CESM2-LENS 1301.002 0.85/0.53 0.85/1.36 0.94/0.33 0.95/0.37 -0.01/1.42 0.56/0.16 0.97/0.46 0.98/0.37 0.98/0.23 0.95/0.06 0.99/0.09 0.93/0.52 CESM2-LENS 1301.003 0.93/0.38 0.94/0.91 0.95/0.31 0.99/0.15 0.72/0.68 0.51/0.17 0.97/0.48 0.98/0.46 0.98/0.26 0.95/0.06 0.99/0.10 0.95/0.40 CESM2-LENS 1301.004 0.88/0.53 0.87/1.36 0.94/0.26 0.96/0.42 0.35/1.06 0.70/0.13 0.93/0.72 0.98/0.41 0.94/0.41 0.95/0.07 0.99/0.11 0.92/0.49 CESM2-LENS 1301.005 0.93/0.34 0.91/0.99 0.98/0.15 0.96/0.22 0.33/0.99 0.65/0.14 0.92/0.69 0.97/0.40 0.96/0.35 0.93/0.06 0.99/0.08 0.93/0.41 CESM2-LENS 1301.006 0.90/0.49 0.89/1.16 0.92/0.31 0.98/0.30 0.56/0.88 0.77/0.11 0.89/0.85 0.96/0.51 0.97/0.40 0.94/0.08 0.99/0.10 0.93/0.45 CESM2-LENS 1301.007 0.91/0.45 0.95/0.80 0.94/0.31 0.96/0.35 0.16/1.18 0.74/0.11 0.91/0.78 0.97/0.41 0.94/0.45 0.92/0.07 0.99/0.09 0.92/0.46 CESM2-LENS 1301.008 0.90/0.42 0.96/0.64 0.92/0.44 0.97/0.30 0.43/1.01 0.54/0.16 0.97/0.44 0.94/0.61 0.97/0.36 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.93/0.46 CESM2-LENS 1301.009 0.89/0.46 0.89/1.10 0.97/0.19 0.99/0.15 0.64/0.76 0.58/0.14 0.96/0.51 0.98/0.39 0.96/0.31 0.96/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.95/0.39 CESM2-LENS 1301.010 0.88/0.46 0.80/1.53 0.97/0.18 0.99/0.18 0.17/1.30 0.86/0.08 0.97/0.61 0.98/0.35 0.94/0.42 0.95/0.05 0.99/0.08 0.94/0.43