Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) HadISST ERSST v5_1 HadISST_1 canesm2_lens r1i1p1 canesm2_lens r2i1p1 canesm2_lens r3i1p1 canesm2_lens r4i1p1 canesm2_lens r5i1p1 canesm2_lens r6i1p1 canesm2_lens r7i1p1 canesm2_lens r8i1p1 canesm2_lens r9i1p1 canesm2_lens r10i1p1 canesm2_lens r11i1p1 canesm2_lens r12i1p1 canesm2_lens r13i1p1 canesm2_lens r14i1p1 canesm2_lens r15i1p1 canesm2_lens r16i1p1 canesm2_lens r17i1p1 canesm2_lens r18i1p1 canesm2_lens r19i1p1 canesm2_lens r20i1p1 canesm2_lens r21i1p1 canesm2_lens r22i1p1 canesm2_lens r23i1p1 canesm2_lens r24i1p1 canesm2_lens r25i1p1 canesm2_lens r26i1p1 canesm2_lens r27i1p1 canesm2_lens r28i1p1 canesm2_lens r29i1p1 canesm2_lens r30i1p1 canesm2_lens r31i1p1 canesm2_lens r32i1p1 canesm2_lens r33i1p1 canesm2_lens r34i1p1 canesm2_lens r35i1p1 canesm2_lens r36i1p1 canesm2_lens r37i1p1 canesm2_lens r38i1p1 canesm2_lens r39i1p1 canesm2_lens r40i1p1 canesm2_lens r41i1p1 canesm2_lens r42i1p1 canesm2_lens r43i1p1 canesm2_lens r44i1p1 canesm2_lens r45i1p1 canesm2_lens r46i1p1 canesm2_lens r47i1p1 canesm2_lens r48i1p1 canesm2_lens r49i1p1 canesm2_lens r50i1p1 cesm_lens r1i1p1 cesm_lens r2i1p1 cesm_lens r3i1p1 cesm_lens r4i1p1 cesm_lens r5i1p1 cesm_lens r6i1p1 cesm_lens r7i1p1 cesm_lens r8i1p1 cesm_lens r9i1p1 cesm_lens r10i1p1 cesm_lens r11i1p1 cesm_lens r12i1p1 cesm_lens r13i1p1 cesm_lens r14i1p1 cesm_lens r15i1p1 cesm_lens r16i1p1 cesm_lens r17i1p1 cesm_lens r18i1p1 cesm_lens r19i1p1 cesm_lens r20i1p1 cesm_lens r21i1p1 cesm_lens r22i1p1 cesm_lens r23i1p1 cesm_lens r24i1p1 cesm_lens r25i1p1 cesm_lens r26i1p1 cesm_lens r27i1p1 cesm_lens r28i1p1 cesm_lens r29i1p1 cesm_lens r30i1p1 cesm_lens r31i1p1 cesm_lens r32i1p1 cesm_lens r33i1p1 cesm_lens r34i1p1 cesm_lens r35i1p1 cesm_lens r36i1p1 cesm_lens r37i1p1 cesm_lens r38i1p1 cesm_lens r39i1p1 cesm_lens r40i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r1i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r2i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r3i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r4i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r5i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r6i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r7i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r8i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r9i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r10i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r11i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r12i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r13i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r14i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r15i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r16i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r17i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r18i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r19i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r20i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r21i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r22i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r23i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r24i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r25i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r26i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r27i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r28i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r29i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r30i1p1 ec_earth_lens r1i1p1 ec_earth_lens r2i1p1 ec_earth_lens r3i1p1 ec_earth_lens r4i1p1 ec_earth_lens r5i1p1 ec_earth_lens r6i1p1 ec_earth_lens r7i1p1 ec_earth_lens r8i1p1 ec_earth_lens r9i1p1 ec_earth_lens r10i1p1 ec_earth_lens r11i1p1 ec_earth_lens r12i1p1 ec_earth_lens r13i1p1 ec_earth_lens r14i1p1 ec_earth_lens r15i1p1 ec_earth_lens r16i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r1i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r2i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r3i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r4i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r5i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r6i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r7i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r8i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r9i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r10i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r11i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r12i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r13i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r14i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r15i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r16i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r17i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r18i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r19i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r20i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r1i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r2i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r3i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r4i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r5i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r6i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r7i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r8i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r9i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r10i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r11i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r12i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r13i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r14i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r15i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r16i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r17i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r18i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r19i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r20i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r21i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r22i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r23i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r24i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r25i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r26i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r27i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r28i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r29i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r30i1p1 mpi_lens r1i1p1 mpi_lens r2i1p1 mpi_lens r3i1p1 mpi_lens r4i1p1 mpi_lens r5i1p1 mpi_lens r6i1p1 mpi_lens r7i1p1 mpi_lens r8i1p1 mpi_lens r9i1p1 mpi_lens r10i1p1 mpi_lens r11i1p1 mpi_lens r12i1p1 mpi_lens r13i1p1 mpi_lens r14i1p1 mpi_lens r15i1p1 mpi_lens r16i1p1 mpi_lens r17i1p1 mpi_lens r18i1p1 mpi_lens r19i1p1 mpi_lens r20i1p1 mpi_lens r21i1p1 mpi_lens r22i1p1 mpi_lens r23i1p1 mpi_lens r24i1p1 mpi_lens r25i1p1 mpi_lens r26i1p1 mpi_lens r27i1p1 mpi_lens r28i1p1 mpi_lens r29i1p1 mpi_lens r30i1p1 mpi_lens r31i1p1 mpi_lens r32i1p1 mpi_lens r33i1p1 mpi_lens r34i1p1 mpi_lens r35i1p1 mpi_lens r36i1p1 mpi_lens r37i1p1 mpi_lens r38i1p1 mpi_lens r39i1p1 mpi_lens r40i1p1 mpi_lens r41i1p1 mpi_lens r42i1p1 mpi_lens r43i1p1 mpi_lens r44i1p1 mpi_lens r45i1p1 mpi_lens r46i1p1 mpi_lens r47i1p1 mpi_lens r48i1p1 mpi_lens r49i1p1 mpi_lens r50i1p1 mpi_lens r51i1p1 mpi_lens r52i1p1 mpi_lens r53i1p1 mpi_lens r54i1p1 mpi_lens r55i1p1 mpi_lens r56i1p1 mpi_lens r57i1p1 mpi_lens r58i1p1 mpi_lens r59i1p1 mpi_lens r60i1p1 mpi_lens r61i1p1 mpi_lens r62i1p1 mpi_lens r63i1p1 mpi_lens r64i1p1 mpi_lens r65i1p1 mpi_lens r66i1p1 mpi_lens r67i1p1 mpi_lens r68i1p1 mpi_lens r69i1p1 mpi_lens r70i1p1 mpi_lens r71i1p1 mpi_lens r72i1p1 mpi_lens r73i1p1 mpi_lens r74i1p1 mpi_lens r75i1p1 mpi_lens r76i1p1 mpi_lens r77i1p1 mpi_lens r78i1p1 mpi_lens r79i1p1 mpi_lens r80i1p1 mpi_lens r81i1p1 mpi_lens r82i1p1 mpi_lens r83i1p1 mpi_lens r84i1p1 mpi_lens r85i1p1 mpi_lens r86i1p1 mpi_lens r87i1p1 mpi_lens r88i1p1 mpi_lens r89i1p1 mpi_lens r90i1p1 mpi_lens r91i1p1 mpi_lens r92i1p1 mpi_lens r93i1p1 mpi_lens r94i1p1 mpi_lens r95i1p1 mpi_lens r96i1p1 mpi_lens r97i1p1 mpi_lens r98i1p1 mpi_lens r99i1p1 mpi_lens r100i1p1 ---------- ---------- ---------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- 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---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ----------------- PDO (Monthly) 0.96/0.03 0.91/0.05 0.93/0.05 0.02/0.25 0.04/0.24 0.12/0.23 0.14/0.23 0.07/0.24 0.00/0.25 0.07/0.23 0.09/0.24 -0.09/0.26 0.03/0.24 0.05/0.25 -0.00/0.25 0.04/0.25 0.20/0.22 0.10/0.25 0.00/0.25 0.08/0.24 0.05/0.25 0.02/0.25 0.09/0.24 -0.00/0.25 0.03/0.24 0.09/0.24 0.08/0.24 -0.01/0.26 0.09/0.23 0.13/0.22 0.03/0.25 0.04/0.24 -0.00/0.25 0.09/0.25 -0.03/0.25 0.03/0.24 0.01/0.24 -0.04/0.25 0.14/0.21 0.01/0.25 0.12/0.23 0.15/0.23 0.04/0.25 -0.05/0.25 0.16/0.23 0.20/0.22 0.01/0.26 0.06/0.24 -0.07/0.27 0.15/0.23 0.15/0.23 0.06/0.24 0.11/0.23 0.32/0.17 0.21/0.18 0.34/0.17 0.22/0.19 0.34/0.17 0.22/0.18 0.33/0.16 0.33/0.18 0.24/0.17 0.22/0.19 0.28/0.18 0.23/0.18 0.38/0.16 0.28/0.18 0.36/0.16 0.18/0.19 0.24/0.18 0.27/0.17 0.43/0.16 0.21/0.18 0.24/0.18 0.36/0.17 0.32/0.17 0.34/0.17 0.24/0.18 0.18/0.18 0.27/0.17 0.24/0.17 0.25/0.19 0.21/0.18 0.39/0.16 0.35/0.16 0.28/0.17 0.21/0.18 0.18/0.19 0.22/0.19 0.24/0.19 0.39/0.17 0.36/0.17 0.28/0.18 0.16/0.24 0.11/0.24 0.15/0.25 -0.13/0.28 0.02/0.24 -0.09/0.26 0.07/0.21 0.18/0.24 -0.08/0.27 -0.02/0.25 0.13/0.24 -0.02/0.26 0.05/0.23 0.04/0.23 -0.05/0.25 -0.06/0.25 0.06/0.26 0.10/0.25 -0.14/0.28 0.15/0.25 -0.05/0.25 0.09/0.22 -0.07/0.26 0.16/0.19 0.07/0.25 -0.01/0.24 0.00/0.23 -0.05/0.24 0.03/0.23 0.07/0.21 0.46/0.12 0.63/0.10 0.49/0.12 0.52/0.11 0.62/0.10 0.62/0.10 0.47/0.12 -0.30/0.21 -0.33/0.21 0.52/0.11 0.56/0.10 0.49/0.11 0.51/0.11 0.49/0.11 0.58/0.10 0.53/0.11 0.18/0.29 0.16/0.30 0.19/0.31 0.20/0.29 0.17/0.30 0.19/0.30 0.17/0.30 0.19/0.29 0.17/0.30 0.15/0.30 0.20/0.30 0.19/0.30 0.21/0.29 0.18/0.31 0.18/0.31 0.17/0.28 0.17/0.29 0.23/0.29 0.18/0.30 0.21/0.30 0.41/0.17 0.43/0.17 0.43/0.18 0.38/0.19 0.48/0.16 0.37/0.18 0.45/0.16 0.50/0.15 0.44/0.18 0.48/0.17 0.53/0.15 0.44/0.19 0.47/0.17 0.41/0.17 0.49/0.16 0.48/0.17 0.39/0.19 0.45/0.15 0.47/0.18 0.39/0.17 0.43/0.17 0.52/0.15 0.47/0.15 0.49/0.16 0.43/0.18 0.50/0.16 0.39/0.18 0.40/0.19 0.42/0.18 0.36/0.20 0.43/0.15 0.42/0.15 0.57/0.13 0.50/0.14 0.51/0.14 0.43/0.16 0.41/0.17 0.47/0.15 0.46/0.16 0.34/0.17 0.52/0.14 0.44/0.15 0.59/0.13 0.53/0.14 0.42/0.16 0.46/0.16 0.53/0.14 0.51/0.15 0.44/0.15 0.53/0.13 0.49/0.15 0.27/0.18 0.46/0.15 0.41/0.16 0.46/0.15 0.51/0.15 0.46/0.16 0.38/0.16 0.36/0.18 0.49/0.14 0.44/0.15 0.37/0.16 0.46/0.16 0.33/0.17 0.37/0.18 0.36/0.16 0.51/0.14 0.48/0.14 0.48/0.16 0.49/0.16 0.48/0.14 0.41/0.17 0.38/0.18 0.46/0.17 0.49/0.14 0.50/0.14 0.48/0.16 0.50/0.15 0.51/0.15 0.44/0.15 0.45/0.17 0.48/0.15 0.41/0.17 0.39/0.16 0.48/0.16 0.46/0.15 0.44/0.16 0.41/0.16 0.54/0.14 0.36/0.17 0.47/0.16 0.43/0.16 0.38/0.17 0.32/0.17 0.46/0.17 0.32/0.17 0.52/0.15 0.45/0.17 0.35/0.18 0.49/0.16 0.40/0.16 0.50/0.15 0.45/0.17 0.40/0.16 0.50/0.14 0.39/0.16 0.44/0.16 0.40/0.17 0.28/0.18 0.34/0.17 0.43/0.15 0.42/0.17 0.43/0.15 0.53/0.14 0.42/0.17 0.29/0.17 0.46/0.14 0.46/0.15 0.60/0.11 0.43/0.16 0.43/0.16 0.54/0.15 0.53/0.15 0.52/0.14 0.43/0.17 0.45/0.16 0.33/0.18 0.40/0.16 0.47/0.15 0.37/0.17