Pattern Correlations Observations vs. Model(s) CERA20C_ERAI ERAI MERRA2 canesm2_lens r1i1p1 canesm2_lens r2i1p1 canesm2_lens r3i1p1 canesm2_lens r4i1p1 canesm2_lens r5i1p1 canesm2_lens r6i1p1 canesm2_lens r7i1p1 canesm2_lens r8i1p1 canesm2_lens r9i1p1 canesm2_lens r10i1p1 canesm2_lens r11i1p1 canesm2_lens r12i1p1 canesm2_lens r13i1p1 canesm2_lens r14i1p1 canesm2_lens r15i1p1 canesm2_lens r16i1p1 canesm2_lens r17i1p1 canesm2_lens r18i1p1 canesm2_lens r19i1p1 canesm2_lens r20i1p1 canesm2_lens r21i1p1 canesm2_lens r22i1p1 canesm2_lens r23i1p1 canesm2_lens r24i1p1 canesm2_lens r25i1p1 canesm2_lens r26i1p1 canesm2_lens r27i1p1 canesm2_lens r28i1p1 canesm2_lens r29i1p1 canesm2_lens r30i1p1 canesm2_lens r31i1p1 canesm2_lens r32i1p1 canesm2_lens r33i1p1 canesm2_lens r34i1p1 canesm2_lens r35i1p1 canesm2_lens r36i1p1 canesm2_lens r37i1p1 canesm2_lens r38i1p1 canesm2_lens r39i1p1 canesm2_lens r40i1p1 canesm2_lens r41i1p1 canesm2_lens r42i1p1 canesm2_lens r43i1p1 canesm2_lens r44i1p1 canesm2_lens r45i1p1 canesm2_lens r46i1p1 canesm2_lens r47i1p1 canesm2_lens r48i1p1 canesm2_lens r49i1p1 canesm2_lens r50i1p1 cesm_lens r1i1p1 cesm_lens r2i1p1 cesm_lens r3i1p1 cesm_lens r4i1p1 cesm_lens r5i1p1 cesm_lens r6i1p1 cesm_lens r7i1p1 cesm_lens r8i1p1 cesm_lens r9i1p1 cesm_lens r10i1p1 cesm_lens r11i1p1 cesm_lens r12i1p1 cesm_lens r13i1p1 cesm_lens r14i1p1 cesm_lens r15i1p1 cesm_lens r16i1p1 cesm_lens r17i1p1 cesm_lens r18i1p1 cesm_lens r19i1p1 cesm_lens r20i1p1 cesm_lens r21i1p1 cesm_lens r22i1p1 cesm_lens r23i1p1 cesm_lens r24i1p1 cesm_lens r25i1p1 cesm_lens r26i1p1 cesm_lens r27i1p1 cesm_lens r28i1p1 cesm_lens r29i1p1 cesm_lens r30i1p1 cesm_lens r31i1p1 cesm_lens r32i1p1 cesm_lens r33i1p1 cesm_lens r34i1p1 cesm_lens r35i1p1 cesm_lens r36i1p1 cesm_lens r37i1p1 cesm_lens r38i1p1 cesm_lens r39i1p1 cesm_lens r40i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r1i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r2i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r3i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r4i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r5i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r6i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r7i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r8i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r9i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r10i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r11i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r12i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r13i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r14i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r15i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r16i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r17i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r18i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r19i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r20i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r21i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r22i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r23i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r24i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r25i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r26i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r27i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r28i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r29i1p1 csiro_mk36_lens r30i1p1 ec_earth_lens r1i1p1 ec_earth_lens r2i1p1 ec_earth_lens r3i1p1 ec_earth_lens r4i1p1 ec_earth_lens r5i1p1 ec_earth_lens r6i1p1 ec_earth_lens r7i1p1 ec_earth_lens r8i1p1 ec_earth_lens r9i1p1 ec_earth_lens r10i1p1 ec_earth_lens r11i1p1 ec_earth_lens r12i1p1 ec_earth_lens r13i1p1 ec_earth_lens r14i1p1 ec_earth_lens r15i1p1 ec_earth_lens r16i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r1i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r2i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r3i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r4i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r5i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r6i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r7i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r8i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r9i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r10i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r11i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r12i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r13i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r14i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r15i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r16i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r17i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r18i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r19i1p1 gfdl_cm3_lens r20i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r1i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r2i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r3i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r4i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r5i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r6i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r7i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r8i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r9i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r10i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r11i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r12i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r13i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r14i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r15i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r16i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r17i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r18i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r19i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r20i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r21i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r22i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r23i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r24i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r25i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r26i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r27i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r28i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r29i1p1 gfdl_esm2m_lens r30i1p1 mpi_lens r1i1p1 mpi_lens r2i1p1 mpi_lens r3i1p1 mpi_lens r4i1p1 mpi_lens r5i1p1 mpi_lens r6i1p1 mpi_lens r7i1p1 mpi_lens r8i1p1 mpi_lens r9i1p1 mpi_lens r10i1p1 mpi_lens r11i1p1 mpi_lens r12i1p1 mpi_lens r13i1p1 mpi_lens r14i1p1 mpi_lens r15i1p1 mpi_lens r16i1p1 mpi_lens r17i1p1 mpi_lens r18i1p1 mpi_lens r19i1p1 mpi_lens r20i1p1 mpi_lens r21i1p1 mpi_lens r22i1p1 mpi_lens r23i1p1 mpi_lens r24i1p1 mpi_lens r25i1p1 mpi_lens r26i1p1 mpi_lens r27i1p1 mpi_lens r28i1p1 mpi_lens r29i1p1 mpi_lens r30i1p1 mpi_lens r31i1p1 mpi_lens r32i1p1 mpi_lens r33i1p1 mpi_lens r34i1p1 mpi_lens r35i1p1 mpi_lens r36i1p1 mpi_lens r37i1p1 mpi_lens r38i1p1 mpi_lens r39i1p1 mpi_lens r40i1p1 mpi_lens r41i1p1 mpi_lens r42i1p1 mpi_lens r43i1p1 mpi_lens r44i1p1 mpi_lens r45i1p1 mpi_lens r46i1p1 mpi_lens r47i1p1 mpi_lens r48i1p1 mpi_lens r49i1p1 mpi_lens r50i1p1 mpi_lens r51i1p1 mpi_lens r52i1p1 mpi_lens r53i1p1 mpi_lens r54i1p1 mpi_lens r55i1p1 mpi_lens r56i1p1 mpi_lens r57i1p1 mpi_lens r58i1p1 mpi_lens r59i1p1 mpi_lens r60i1p1 mpi_lens r61i1p1 mpi_lens r62i1p1 mpi_lens r63i1p1 mpi_lens r64i1p1 mpi_lens r65i1p1 mpi_lens r66i1p1 mpi_lens r67i1p1 mpi_lens r68i1p1 mpi_lens r69i1p1 mpi_lens r70i1p1 mpi_lens r71i1p1 mpi_lens r72i1p1 mpi_lens r73i1p1 mpi_lens r74i1p1 mpi_lens r75i1p1 mpi_lens r76i1p1 mpi_lens r77i1p1 mpi_lens r78i1p1 mpi_lens r79i1p1 mpi_lens r80i1p1 mpi_lens r81i1p1 mpi_lens r82i1p1 mpi_lens r83i1p1 mpi_lens r84i1p1 mpi_lens r85i1p1 mpi_lens r86i1p1 mpi_lens r87i1p1 mpi_lens r88i1p1 mpi_lens r89i1p1 mpi_lens r90i1p1 mpi_lens r91i1p1 mpi_lens r92i1p1 mpi_lens r93i1p1 mpi_lens r94i1p1 mpi_lens r95i1p1 mpi_lens r96i1p1 mpi_lens r97i1p1 mpi_lens r98i1p1 mpi_lens r99i1p1 mpi_lens r100i1p1 ------------ ---------- ---------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- ------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ----------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- -------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- --------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- ----------------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- --------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ---------------- ----------------- NAM (DJF) 1.00/0.06 0.98/0.19 0.99/0.14 0.84/0.70 0.84/0.71 0.85/0.61 0.84/0.68 0.76/0.75 0.82/0.77 0.86/0.72 0.76/0.78 0.75/0.85 0.80/0.74 0.81/0.75 0.79/0.72 0.84/0.66 0.87/0.69 0.86/0.63 0.84/0.71 0.81/0.70 0.79/0.78 0.78/0.83 0.88/0.58 0.79/0.82 0.84/0.71 0.80/0.76 0.79/0.77 0.78/0.88 0.83/0.76 0.83/0.67 0.83/0.72 0.83/0.69 0.79/0.79 0.82/0.72 0.77/0.74 0.83/0.74 0.87/0.65 0.79/0.75 0.81/0.79 0.85/0.60 0.84/0.66 0.86/0.64 0.78/0.75 0.83/0.72 0.84/0.63 0.81/0.71 0.82/0.76 0.81/0.71 0.90/0.56 0.88/0.56 0.86/0.64 0.82/0.65 0.76/0.79 0.86/0.56 0.91/0.42 0.83/0.62 0.83/0.61 0.85/0.59 0.87/0.57 0.92/0.44 0.88/0.59 0.85/0.58 0.87/0.56 0.88/0.48 0.85/0.60 0.86/0.55 0.88/0.53 0.79/0.66 0.85/0.58 0.90/0.48 0.77/0.67 0.89/0.52 0.80/0.65 0.91/0.47 0.90/0.48 0.92/0.42 0.88/0.49 0.87/0.53 0.85/0.57 0.90/0.45 0.83/0.62 0.84/0.55 0.85/0.56 0.90/0.52 0.91/0.45 0.90/0.48 0.80/0.62 0.89/0.51 0.81/0.65 0.89/0.51 0.86/0.59 0.86/0.59 0.87/0.54 0.76/0.65 0.82/0.52 0.83/0.53 0.83/0.51 0.83/0.53 0.85/0.50 0.71/0.67 0.86/0.47 0.85/0.49 0.85/0.47 0.84/0.49 0.87/0.46 0.85/0.48 0.82/0.52 0.83/0.49 0.83/0.54 0.81/0.54 0.80/0.55 0.82/0.54 0.79/0.59 0.78/0.57 0.74/0.63 0.89/0.42 0.84/0.50 0.84/0.49 0.86/0.48 0.88/0.45 0.79/0.59 0.74/0.64 0.82/0.53 0.98/0.25 0.98/0.21 0.96/0.27 0.98/0.20 0.96/0.29 0.97/0.25 0.95/0.31 0.95/0.30 0.97/0.25 0.98/0.20 0.98/0.22 0.97/0.23 0.98/0.22 0.97/0.24 0.98/0.20 0.97/0.25 0.94/0.38 0.94/0.40 0.90/0.51 0.93/0.40 0.94/0.40 0.94/0.38 0.94/0.40 0.90/0.51 0.93/0.40 0.94/0.40 0.96/0.37 0.95/0.34 0.95/0.42 0.95/0.38 0.90/0.48 0.93/0.45 0.95/0.39 0.90/0.56 0.93/0.53 0.92/0.46 0.96/0.31 0.96/0.35 0.96/0.30 0.97/0.28 0.97/0.27 0.96/0.38 0.97/0.27 0.96/0.32 0.95/0.45 0.95/0.37 0.96/0.37 0.96/0.32 0.96/0.28 0.97/0.24 0.93/0.41 0.96/0.33 0.97/0.27 0.96/0.32 0.94/0.41 0.96/0.32 0.96/0.30 0.96/0.28 0.95/0.34 0.96/0.33 0.96/0.33 0.95/0.34 0.96/0.32 0.97/0.31 0.95/0.33 0.95/0.36 0.96/0.30 0.94/0.34 0.96/0.32 0.98/0.22 0.94/0.37 0.95/0.35 0.94/0.38 0.95/0.29 0.96/0.29 0.93/0.38 0.93/0.39 0.94/0.37 0.96/0.31 0.97/0.23 0.95/0.34 0.95/0.34 0.95/0.37 0.96/0.32 0.96/0.32 0.95/0.33 0.96/0.31 0.95/0.32 0.94/0.36 0.93/0.40 0.96/0.31 0.94/0.36 0.96/0.32 0.96/0.29 0.96/0.30 0.95/0.34 0.96/0.31 0.97/0.29 0.96/0.31 0.92/0.40 0.96/0.28 0.97/0.29 0.96/0.29 0.97/0.23 0.93/0.42 0.93/0.41 0.94/0.35 0.94/0.35 0.95/0.33 0.94/0.35 0.95/0.34 0.97/0.28 0.91/0.43 0.96/0.35 0.94/0.43 0.94/0.37 0.93/0.43 0.94/0.41 0.95/0.35 0.97/0.24 0.93/0.42 0.94/0.35 0.95/0.36 0.94/0.35 0.92/0.42 0.95/0.35 0.94/0.38 0.93/0.35 0.96/0.29 0.95/0.30 0.96/0.33 0.97/0.25 0.96/0.31 0.93/0.41 0.96/0.33 0.92/0.42 0.93/0.42 0.95/0.35 0.96/0.34 0.95/0.31 0.96/0.31 0.96/0.31 0.95/0.33 0.96/0.30 0.94/0.35 0.96/0.29 0.96/0.33 0.93/0.35 0.94/0.42 0.95/0.35 0.94/0.35 0.95/0.35 0.97/0.28 0.96/0.28 0.97/0.27 0.95/0.36 0.95/0.36 0.95/0.35 0.92/0.45 0.97/0.28 0.97/0.29 0.94/0.38 0.98/0.20 0.95/0.31 0.95/0.35 0.96/0.28