Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.94/0.29 0.99/0.31 0.99/0.11 0.97/0.13 0.79/0.44 0.96/0.04 1.00/0.14 1.00/0.09 0.99/0.81 0.87/0.08 1.00/0.00 ----/0.23 OBS 3 0.86/0.42 0.95/0.92 0.96/0.25 0.91/0.27 0.63/0.80 0.91/0.07 0.97/0.41 0.97/0.32 0.95/1.25 0.95/0.06 0.94/0.12 0.93/0.43 OBS 4 0.84/0.43 0.95/0.69 0.96/0.22 0.82/0.34 0.59/0.68 0.92/0.07 0.97/0.45 0.96/0.34 0.94/1.30 0.87/0.10 0.93/0.12 0.91/0.42 CESM2-LENS 1001.001 0.67/0.96 0.86/1.23 0.93/0.65 0.93/0.74 0.40/1.00 0.88/0.10 0.89/0.92 0.96/0.58 0.88/1.46 0.77/0.25 0.84/0.25 0.86/0.80 CESM2-LENS 1021.002 0.68/0.86 0.87/1.09 0.93/0.50 0.91/0.56 0.44/0.94 0.67/0.14 0.93/0.78 0.96/0.57 0.89/1.43 0.76/0.24 0.84/0.23 0.85/0.73 CESM2-LENS 1041.003 0.69/0.81 0.84/1.15 0.95/0.51 0.90/0.59 0.35/1.11 0.59/0.18 0.93/0.77 0.96/0.63 0.89/1.43 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.23 0.85/0.78 CESM2-LENS 1061.004 0.70/0.90 0.87/1.26 0.94/0.57 0.91/0.64 0.39/1.13 0.83/0.12 0.89/0.91 0.97/0.66 0.89/1.46 0.78/0.25 0.83/0.24 0.86/0.79 CESM2-LENS 1081.005 0.72/0.95 0.88/1.38 0.94/0.75 0.91/0.68 0.35/1.18 0.76/0.13 0.94/0.64 0.95/0.59 0.85/1.57 0.78/0.23 0.84/0.25 0.86/0.83 CESM2-LENS 1101.006 0.72/0.79 0.84/1.26 0.93/0.51 0.92/0.59 0.36/1.14 0.58/0.20 0.93/0.71 0.94/0.61 0.86/1.58 0.78/0.24 0.84/0.24 0.84/0.80 CESM2-LENS 1121.007 0.68/0.95 0.87/1.22 0.94/0.58 0.91/0.64 0.37/1.08 0.78/0.13 0.93/0.76 0.95/0.64 0.87/1.52 0.76/0.25 0.84/0.23 0.85/0.79 CESM2-LENS 1141.008 0.69/1.01 0.85/1.17 0.95/0.61 0.92/0.75 0.32/1.25 0.62/0.17 0.93/0.71 0.97/0.48 0.90/1.35 0.77/0.25 0.84/0.24 0.86/0.84 CESM2-LENS 1161.009 0.69/0.83 0.88/1.20 0.94/0.56 0.90/0.67 0.33/1.20 0.66/0.17 0.91/0.84 0.95/0.78 0.87/1.49 0.78/0.23 0.84/0.23 0.84/0.82 CESM2-LENS 1181.010 0.71/0.86 0.85/1.16 0.93/0.57 0.92/0.70 0.44/0.94 0.81/0.11 0.92/0.75 0.95/0.59 0.87/1.57 0.78/0.23 0.84/0.23 0.85/0.75 CESM2-LENS 1011.001 0.75/0.73 0.85/1.13 0.93/0.48 0.91/0.58 0.44/0.97 0.82/0.12 0.92/0.72 0.96/0.54 0.87/1.56 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.22 0.86/0.70 CESM2-LENS 1031.002 0.71/0.90 0.90/1.17 0.94/0.51 0.91/0.85 0.29/1.27 0.54/0.19 0.91/0.96 0.96/0.59 0.87/1.54 0.77/0.25 0.83/0.23 0.84/0.87 CESM2-LENS 1051.003 0.73/0.80 0.86/1.06 0.94/0.60 0.90/0.67 0.34/1.24 0.76/0.13 0.88/1.03 0.94/0.82 0.90/1.40 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.23 0.84/0.81 CESM2-LENS 1071.004 0.72/0.90 0.86/1.15 0.93/0.54 0.91/0.64 0.44/0.96 0.76/0.12 0.89/0.98 0.95/0.91 0.91/1.36 0.77/0.22 0.84/0.22 0.85/0.77 CESM2-LENS 1091.005 0.69/0.81 0.85/1.18 0.93/0.43 0.92/0.63 0.44/0.97 0.85/0.10 0.91/0.80 0.96/0.68 0.89/1.41 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.22 0.86/0.71 CESM2-LENS 1111.006 0.68/0.93 0.83/1.26 0.94/0.63 0.90/0.72 0.35/1.16 0.59/0.19 0.92/0.76 0.95/0.61 0.87/1.54 0.76/0.24 0.83/0.24 0.83/0.85 CESM2-LENS 1131.007 0.72/0.90 0.84/1.40 0.95/0.58 0.92/0.77 0.39/1.10 0.79/0.13 0.93/0.77 0.97/0.61 0.87/1.53 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.24 0.86/0.81 CESM2-LENS 1151.008 0.71/0.95 0.87/1.15 0.93/0.57 0.92/0.59 0.37/1.10 0.70/0.16 0.91/0.78 0.95/0.70 0.87/1.45 0.76/0.24 0.84/0.23 0.85/0.80 CESM2-LENS 1171.009 0.70/0.92 0.89/1.12 0.93/0.46 0.93/0.73 0.37/1.07 0.75/0.14 0.94/0.64 0.96/0.48 0.88/1.42 0.75/0.25 0.84/0.23 0.86/0.76 CESM2-LENS 1191.010 0.73/0.91 0.86/1.21 0.94/0.52 0.92/0.70 0.37/1.10 0.66/0.16 0.92/0.79 0.96/0.63 0.85/1.58 0.79/0.24 0.84/0.23 0.85/0.80 CESM1-LENS 001 0.51/1.18 0.84/1.37 0.93/0.56 0.90/0.71 0.12/1.65 -0.35/0.35 0.87/0.93 0.90/0.76 0.85/1.56 0.68/0.25 0.76/0.22 0.74/1.05 CESM1-LENS 002 0.44/1.17 0.83/1.20 0.92/0.43 0.91/0.59 0.12/1.78 -0.23/0.33 0.90/0.77 0.92/0.61 0.87/1.53 0.69/0.23 0.77/0.21 0.76/0.98 CESM1-LENS 003 0.51/1.29 0.81/1.56 0.93/0.63 0.90/0.71 0.12/1.65 -0.36/0.35 0.86/0.94 0.90/0.78 0.89/1.45 0.69/0.25 0.76/0.22 0.75/1.08 CESM1-LENS 004 0.44/1.28 0.85/1.23 0.93/0.47 0.88/0.71 0.07/1.72 -0.25/0.35 0.88/0.87 0.93/0.66 0.88/1.51 0.70/0.23 0.76/0.22 0.76/1.03 CESM1-LENS 005 0.52/1.18 0.83/1.39 0.92/0.62 0.89/0.62 0.18/1.44 -0.36/0.36 0.88/0.87 0.93/0.71 0.88/1.46 0.73/0.24 0.76/0.22 0.76/1.01 CESM1-LENS 006 0.37/1.27 0.78/1.52 0.91/0.52 0.88/0.77 0.14/1.41 -0.24/0.33 0.87/0.97 0.92/0.78 0.87/1.52 0.70/0.23 0.76/0.22 0.73/1.02 CESM1-LENS 007 0.49/1.05 0.82/1.25 0.87/0.56 0.90/0.63 0.16/1.58 -0.36/0.34 0.92/0.76 0.91/0.72 0.86/1.55 0.71/0.25 0.76/0.22 0.75/0.99 CESM1-LENS 008 0.37/1.42 0.79/1.64 0.93/0.54 0.89/0.56 0.04/1.82 -0.34/0.36 0.85/1.09 0.91/0.87 0.85/1.55 0.71/0.25 0.76/0.22 0.73/1.11 CESM1-LENS 009 0.41/1.41 0.85/1.33 0.92/0.61 0.92/0.61 0.16/1.50 -0.27/0.33 0.86/0.96 0.91/0.76 0.86/1.48 0.70/0.22 0.76/0.22 0.75/1.03 CESM1-LENS 010 0.42/1.22 0.80/1.26 0.93/0.49 0.92/0.54 0.14/1.60 -0.24/0.35 0.89/0.85 0.92/0.74 0.83/1.66 0.70/0.24 0.76/0.22 0.75/1.00