Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (10%) 0.67/0.79 0.84/1.09 0.93/0.50 0.90/0.56 0.32/0.94 0.58/0.10 0.89/0.64 0.94/0.48 0.85/1.35 0.76/0.23 0.83/0.23 0.84/0.73 CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (Avg) 0.70/0.89 0.86/1.21 0.94/0.58 0.91/0.66 0.38/1.10 0.74/0.15 0.92/0.78 0.96/0.61 0.88/1.49 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.24 0.85/0.79 CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (90%) 0.72/0.96 0.88/1.26 0.95/0.65 0.92/0.74 0.44/1.20 0.83/0.18 0.93/0.91 0.97/0.66 0.89/1.57 0.78/0.25 0.84/0.25 0.86/0.83 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (10%) 0.68/0.73 0.83/1.06 0.93/0.43 0.90/0.58 0.29/0.96 0.54/0.10 0.88/0.64 0.94/0.48 0.85/1.36 0.75/0.22 0.83/0.22 0.83/0.70 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (Avg) 0.71/0.88 0.86/1.18 0.94/0.53 0.92/0.69 0.38/1.09 0.73/0.14 0.92/0.82 0.96/0.66 0.88/1.48 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.23 0.85/0.79 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (90%) 0.73/0.93 0.89/1.26 0.94/0.60 0.92/0.77 0.44/1.24 0.82/0.19 0.93/0.98 0.96/0.82 0.90/1.56 0.77/0.25 0.84/0.24 0.86/0.85 CESM1-LENS (10%) 0.37/1.05 0.78/1.20 0.87/0.43 0.88/0.54 0.04/1.41 -0.36/0.33 0.85/0.76 0.90/0.61 0.83/1.45 0.68/0.22 0.76/0.21 0.73/0.98 CESM1-LENS (Avg) 0.45/1.25 0.82/1.37 0.92/0.54 0.90/0.64 0.12/1.61 -0.30/0.35 0.88/0.90 0.92/0.74 0.87/1.53 0.70/0.24 0.76/0.22 0.75/1.03 CESM1-LENS (90%) 0.51/1.41 0.85/1.56 0.93/0.62 0.92/0.71 0.16/1.78 -0.24/0.36 0.90/0.97 0.93/0.78 0.88/1.56 0.71/0.25 0.76/0.22 0.76/1.08