Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO' TAS ENSO' PSL El Nino' La Nina' AMV' LP PDV' NAO' PNA' SAM' SST sigma' PR sigma' Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.94/0.29 0.99/0.31 0.99/0.11 0.97/0.13 0.79/0.44 0.96/0.04 1.00/0.14 1.00/0.09 0.99/0.81 0.87/0.08 1.00/0.00 ----/0.23 OBS 3 0.86/0.42 0.95/0.92 0.96/0.25 0.91/0.27 0.63/0.80 0.91/0.07 0.97/0.41 0.97/0.32 0.95/1.25 0.95/0.06 0.94/0.12 0.93/0.43 OBS 4 0.84/0.43 0.95/0.69 0.96/0.22 0.82/0.34 0.59/0.68 0.92/0.07 0.97/0.45 0.96/0.34 0.94/1.30 0.87/0.10 0.93/0.12 0.91/0.42 CESM2.1 piControl 1-100 0.72/0.63 0.79/1.22 0.92/0.38 0.90/0.38 0.61/0.65 0.86/0.11 0.98/0.43 0.97/0.34 0.91/1.50 0.79/0.10 0.85/0.17 0.88/0.54 CESM2.1 piControl 101-200 0.56/0.77 0.72/1.46 0.92/0.35 0.87/0.36 0.31/1.17 0.88/0.09 0.94/0.62 0.96/0.42 0.90/1.44 0.79/0.09 0.86/0.17 0.85/0.62 CESM2.1 piControl 201-300 0.71/0.66 0.77/1.35 0.91/0.39 0.88/0.36 0.27/0.99 0.84/0.12 0.94/0.63 0.96/0.41 0.91/1.51 0.76/0.10 0.85/0.17 0.85/0.61 CESM2.1 piControl 301-400 0.62/0.70 0.82/1.17 0.90/0.33 0.88/0.38 0.37/0.85 0.88/0.10 0.92/0.69 0.96/0.45 0.92/1.35 0.76/0.10 0.86/0.17 0.85/0.57 CESM2 r1i1p1f1 0.78/0.54 0.84/1.13 0.81/0.43 0.78/0.85 0.11/1.76 0.88/0.08 0.96/0.61 0.90/0.57 0.87/1.76 0.75/0.11 0.83/0.19 0.82/0.77 CESM2 r2i1p1f1 0.78/0.54 0.84/1.13 0.85/0.72 0.90/0.33 0.11/1.76 0.88/0.08 0.96/0.61 0.90/0.57 0.87/1.76 0.75/0.11 0.83/0.19 0.84/0.73 MPI #1 0.60/1.02 0.73/2.00 0.86/0.75 0.67/0.55 0.24/1.18 0.77/0.12 0.89/0.81 0.93/0.63 0.91/1.48 0.66/0.14 0.78/0.21 0.78/0.82 MPI #2 0.52/0.73 0.66/1.52 0.66/0.48 0.82/0.30 0.20/0.97 0.72/0.12 0.91/0.74 0.88/0.81 0.91/1.28 0.56/0.15 0.78/0.22 0.74/0.67 MPI #3 0.72/0.60 0.62/1.67 0.62/0.71 0.78/0.39 0.08/1.72 0.80/0.10 0.88/0.88 0.91/0.58 0.94/1.10 0.64/0.13 0.77/0.22 0.76/0.77 MPI #4 0.69/0.69 0.64/1.69 0.71/0.50 0.86/0.30 0.09/1.55 0.80/0.10 0.95/0.56 0.88/0.78 0.92/1.27 0.64/0.13 0.78/0.21 0.78/0.72 MPI #5 0.59/1.09 0.73/2.11 0.36/1.49 0.80/0.49 0.17/1.27 0.84/0.13 0.88/0.84 0.96/0.38 0.92/1.44 0.71/0.15 0.79/0.21 0.77/0.93 CESM2-hs370 r1i1p1f1 0.73/0.59 0.86/1.03 0.94/0.40 0.87/0.48 0.42/0.87 0.90/0.07 0.93/0.66 0.95/0.42 0.90/1.71 0.78/0.09 0.84/0.19 0.87/0.57 CESM2-hs370 r2i1p1f1 0.75/0.59 0.86/1.11 0.91/0.58 0.84/0.60 0.18/0.96 0.90/0.08 0.94/0.61 0.94/0.46 0.87/1.68 0.77/0.09 0.82/0.20 0.85/0.64 CESM2-hs370 r3i1p1f1 0.71/0.61 0.80/1.18 0.94/0.38 0.91/0.46 0.26/0.96 0.89/0.09 0.91/0.75 0.96/0.41 0.90/1.55 0.76/0.10 0.83/0.19 0.86/0.60 CESM1-LENS 003 0.66/0.85 0.82/1.80 0.92/0.58 0.88/0.52 0.11/1.16 0.84/0.13 0.78/1.19 0.88/0.77 0.86/1.82 0.67/0.12 0.74/0.23 0.79/0.81 CESM1-LENS 004 0.66/0.69 0.80/1.32 0.87/0.38 0.85/0.35 0.01/1.36 0.87/0.09 0.82/1.03 0.92/0.62 0.88/1.72 0.71/0.11 0.74/0.22 0.79/0.69 CESM1-LENS 005 0.62/0.76 0.80/1.32 0.90/0.50 0.85/0.44 0.02/1.48 0.85/0.11 0.88/0.88 0.93/0.54 0.88/1.70 0.70/0.11 0.74/0.22 0.80/0.74