Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO' TAS ENSO' PSL El Nino' La Nina' AMV' LP PDV' NAO' PNA' SAM' SST sigma' PR sigma' Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.94/0.29 0.99/0.31 0.99/0.11 0.97/0.13 0.79/0.44 0.96/0.04 1.00/0.14 1.00/0.09 0.99/0.81 0.87/0.08 1.00/0.00 ----/0.23 OBS 3 0.86/0.42 0.95/0.92 0.96/0.25 0.91/0.27 0.63/0.80 0.91/0.07 0.97/0.41 0.97/0.32 0.95/1.25 0.95/0.06 0.94/0.12 0.93/0.43 OBS 4 0.84/0.43 0.95/0.69 0.96/0.22 0.82/0.34 0.59/0.68 0.92/0.07 0.97/0.45 0.96/0.34 0.94/1.30 0.87/0.10 0.93/0.12 0.91/0.42 CESM2-LENS 1001.001 0.70/0.75 0.85/1.27 0.94/0.62 0.92/0.55 0.50/0.69 0.90/0.10 0.90/0.84 0.97/0.42 0.88/1.48 0.77/0.13 0.84/0.22 0.87/0.65 CESM2-LENS 1021.002 0.76/0.63 0.87/1.21 0.92/0.55 0.91/0.49 0.62/0.58 0.90/0.08 0.93/0.73 0.96/0.52 0.91/1.42 0.79/0.10 0.84/0.21 0.88/0.58 CESM2-LENS 1041.003 0.73/0.62 0.87/1.02 0.93/0.54 0.90/0.52 0.17/1.12 0.91/0.07 0.94/0.65 0.97/0.45 0.90/1.45 0.78/0.10 0.84/0.21 0.87/0.63 CESM2-LENS 1061.004 0.72/0.70 0.83/1.37 0.94/0.62 0.90/0.51 0.09/1.10 0.89/0.11 0.89/0.86 0.96/0.56 0.90/1.50 0.78/0.11 0.83/0.22 0.86/0.71 CESM2-LENS 1081.005 0.70/0.75 0.83/1.55 0.94/0.66 0.88/0.58 0.54/0.67 0.90/0.10 0.94/0.65 0.95/0.54 0.87/1.58 0.77/0.11 0.84/0.22 0.86/0.67 CESM2-LENS 1101.006 0.68/0.70 0.82/1.24 0.93/0.42 0.91/0.58 0.38/0.80 0.91/0.09 0.92/0.68 0.95/0.50 0.89/1.57 0.77/0.12 0.84/0.21 0.86/0.63 CESM2-LENS 1121.007 0.74/0.66 0.88/1.13 0.94/0.52 0.91/0.52 0.46/0.76 0.89/0.10 0.94/0.65 0.96/0.49 0.89/1.50 0.77/0.11 0.84/0.21 0.87/0.62 CESM2-LENS 1141.008 0.74/0.62 0.85/1.13 0.94/0.48 0.91/0.46 0.38/0.85 0.89/0.09 0.94/0.62 0.97/0.34 0.90/1.45 0.78/0.12 0.84/0.21 0.88/0.59 CESM2-LENS 1161.009 0.67/0.71 0.88/1.10 0.93/0.46 0.88/0.56 0.37/0.90 0.90/0.09 0.91/0.81 0.95/0.63 0.89/1.51 0.78/0.11 0.85/0.21 0.86/0.65 CESM2-LENS 1181.010 0.70/0.66 0.85/1.19 0.94/0.57 0.87/0.56 0.38/0.87 0.91/0.09 0.91/0.78 0.95/0.54 0.90/1.49 0.79/0.11 0.84/0.21 0.86/0.65 CESM2-LENS 1011.001 0.72/0.64 0.85/1.15 0.93/0.52 0.93/0.44 0.59/0.71 0.91/0.09 0.92/0.69 0.97/0.46 0.88/1.58 0.78/0.11 0.84/0.21 0.88/0.59 CESM2-LENS 1031.002 0.78/0.63 0.93/1.03 0.95/0.57 0.91/0.48 0.62/0.58 0.84/0.10 0.90/0.85 0.96/0.44 0.89/1.55 0.77/0.11 0.84/0.21 0.88/0.59 CESM2-LENS 1051.003 0.77/0.62 0.86/1.15 0.94/0.61 0.91/0.51 0.33/0.87 0.91/0.09 0.87/1.04 0.95/0.76 0.90/1.40 0.78/0.12 0.84/0.21 0.86/0.67 CESM2-LENS 1071.004 0.75/0.63 0.86/1.12 0.93/0.52 0.91/0.46 0.50/0.72 0.91/0.08 0.89/0.89 0.95/0.70 0.91/1.41 0.80/0.10 0.84/0.20 0.87/0.60 CESM2-LENS 1091.005 0.73/0.63 0.82/1.25 0.93/0.45 0.92/0.47 0.64/0.64 0.92/0.08 0.91/0.77 0.95/0.59 0.91/1.44 0.79/0.10 0.84/0.20 0.88/0.58 CESM2-LENS 1111.006 0.73/0.69 0.85/1.25 0.93/0.69 0.86/0.66 0.25/1.00 0.89/0.10 0.90/0.82 0.97/0.42 0.88/1.56 0.77/0.12 0.83/0.22 0.85/0.71 CESM2-LENS 1131.007 0.80/0.59 0.87/1.17 0.95/0.48 0.92/0.60 0.53/0.67 0.89/0.09 0.94/0.69 0.97/0.56 0.89/1.49 0.77/0.12 0.84/0.21 0.88/0.61 CESM2-LENS 1151.008 0.75/0.61 0.85/1.19 0.93/0.43 0.88/0.51 0.54/0.70 0.92/0.09 0.92/0.74 0.96/0.54 0.88/1.51 0.78/0.11 0.84/0.21 0.87/0.59 CESM2-LENS 1171.009 0.73/0.61 0.86/1.08 0.93/0.43 0.91/0.44 0.61/0.59 0.88/0.09 0.95/0.55 0.95/0.43 0.90/1.43 0.77/0.11 0.85/0.20 0.87/0.54 CESM2-LENS 1191.010 0.76/0.60 0.87/1.08 0.93/0.44 0.89/0.48 0.53/0.77 0.85/0.10 0.92/0.78 0.95/0.58 0.87/1.55 0.78/0.11 0.84/0.21 0.86/0.60 CESM1-LENS 001 0.69/0.70 0.84/1.28 0.92/0.52 0.91/0.40 0.18/0.94 0.88/0.09 0.88/0.90 0.91/0.73 0.88/1.49 0.72/0.11 0.76/0.22 0.83/0.66 CESM1-LENS 002 0.66/0.66 0.81/1.22 0.92/0.37 0.91/0.32 0.17/1.07 0.88/0.08 0.91/0.71 0.93/0.52 0.89/1.53 0.73/0.10 0.76/0.21 0.83/0.60 CESM1-LENS 003 0.64/0.80 0.79/1.49 0.93/0.48 0.91/0.45 0.26/0.92 0.88/0.11 0.85/0.96 0.91/0.78 0.91/1.46 0.72/0.11 0.76/0.22 0.83/0.69 CESM1-LENS 004 0.59/0.78 0.81/1.35 0.93/0.43 0.89/0.44 0.12/0.95 0.88/0.10 0.87/0.89 0.94/0.61 0.89/1.52 0.72/0.11 0.76/0.22 0.82/0.66 CESM1-LENS 005 0.63/0.85 0.82/1.68 0.92/0.60 0.88/0.66 0.22/0.89 0.86/0.11 0.88/0.87 0.93/0.69 0.91/1.44 0.74/0.12 0.76/0.22 0.82/0.74 CESM1-LENS 006 0.55/0.82 0.77/1.53 0.92/0.48 0.92/0.37 0.42/0.74 0.88/0.09 0.86/0.99 0.92/0.74 0.89/1.55 0.73/0.11 0.76/0.22 0.82/0.65 CESM1-LENS 007 0.56/0.85 0.78/1.55 0.91/0.45 0.91/0.43 0.36/0.93 0.88/0.10 0.92/0.76 0.92/0.72 0.87/1.56 0.74/0.11 0.76/0.21 0.83/0.68 CESM1-LENS 008 0.55/0.92 0.75/1.84 0.94/0.48 0.89/0.41 0.26/0.83 0.89/0.09 0.85/1.07 0.92/0.84 0.89/1.51 0.74/0.11 0.76/0.21 0.82/0.70 CESM1-LENS 009 0.58/0.77 0.82/1.33 0.92/0.39 0.87/0.49 0.17/1.02 0.88/0.09 0.86/0.93 0.92/0.69 0.88/1.48 0.74/0.11 0.76/0.21 0.81/0.67 CESM1-LENS 010 0.57/0.81 0.79/1.46 0.93/0.40 0.91/0.36 0.11/1.02 0.90/0.09 0.88/0.85 0.93/0.71 0.86/1.64 0.74/0.10 0.76/0.21 0.82/0.66