Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2 (10%) 0.62/0.57 0.72/1.16 0.81/0.56 0.76/0.52 0.17/0.70 0.86/0.08 0.90/0.54 0.92/0.45 0.88/1.37 0.76/0.10 0.85/0.19 0.82/0.61 CESM2 (Avg) 0.72/0.66 0.80/1.35 0.83/0.65 0.80/0.59 0.38/1.00 0.88/0.09 0.93/0.78 0.95/0.64 0.91/1.48 0.78/0.11 0.85/0.20 0.84/0.67 CESM2 (90%) 0.79/0.78 0.83/1.56 0.85/0.73 0.83/0.64 0.52/1.32 0.89/0.10 0.94/0.95 0.96/0.81 0.92/1.61 0.79/0.12 0.86/0.21 0.85/0.75 CESM1 (10%) 0.40/0.70 0.66/1.26 0.81/0.51 0.72/0.32 0.10/0.73 0.83/0.08 0.86/0.64 0.88/0.51 0.89/1.38 0.71/0.10 0.78/0.19 0.77/0.62 CESM1 (Avg) 0.54/0.84 0.72/1.54 0.84/0.61 0.77/0.46 0.29/1.07 0.85/0.09 0.90/0.80 0.92/0.64 0.91/1.52 0.72/0.11 0.79/0.20 0.79/0.70 CESM1 (90%) 0.61/0.96 0.78/1.76 0.85/0.71 0.81/0.58 0.47/1.43 0.87/0.10 0.93/0.89 0.93/0.77 0.92/1.63 0.74/0.11 0.79/0.20 0.81/0.77