Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (10%) 0.64/0.79 0.81/1.07 0.87/0.45 0.87/0.58 0.37/0.56 0.88/0.08 0.90/0.63 0.95/0.47 0.86/1.40 0.75/0.23 0.83/0.22 0.85/0.63 CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (Avg) 0.69/0.90 0.86/1.20 0.89/0.51 0.89/0.70 0.53/0.73 0.90/0.09 0.93/0.74 0.96/0.59 0.87/1.50 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.23 0.86/0.68 CESM2-LENS CMIP6 Forcing (90%) 0.73/1.01 0.89/1.38 0.91/0.57 0.91/0.81 0.67/0.91 0.91/0.10 0.95/0.86 0.97/0.74 0.89/1.60 0.78/0.25 0.84/0.24 0.87/0.74 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (10%) 0.63/0.81 0.82/1.06 0.86/0.44 0.88/0.58 0.35/0.58 0.87/0.07 0.90/0.63 0.95/0.48 0.85/1.41 0.75/0.23 0.83/0.22 0.85/0.64 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (Avg) 0.69/0.91 0.86/1.19 0.89/0.53 0.90/0.71 0.52/0.73 0.90/0.09 0.93/0.77 0.96/0.62 0.87/1.51 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.23 0.86/0.69 CESM2-LENS SMBB Forcing (90%) 0.73/0.98 0.89/1.31 0.91/0.59 0.91/0.83 0.65/0.90 0.91/0.11 0.95/0.92 0.97/0.76 0.89/1.59 0.78/0.25 0.84/0.24 0.87/0.73 CESM1-LENS (10%) 0.37/1.08 0.79/1.19 0.84/0.55 0.82/0.62 0.23/0.66 0.85/0.08 0.86/0.73 0.90/0.60 0.84/1.49 0.68/0.22 0.76/0.21 0.79/0.71 CESM1-LENS (Avg) 0.45/1.22 0.82/1.35 0.86/0.61 0.85/0.73 0.39/0.81 0.88/0.09 0.89/0.84 0.92/0.70 0.86/1.56 0.70/0.24 0.76/0.22 0.80/0.76 CESM1-LENS (90%) 0.52/1.34 0.85/1.55 0.87/0.67 0.87/0.86 0.52/0.94 0.89/0.10 0.91/0.95 0.93/0.82 0.88/1.64 0.71/0.25 0.77/0.23 0.81/0.80