Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.94/0.29 0.99/0.31 0.92/0.07 0.95/0.10 0.79/0.44 0.96/0.04 1.00/0.14 1.00/0.09 0.99/0.81 0.87/0.08 1.00/0.00 ----/0.21 OBS 3 0.86/0.42 0.95/0.92 0.98/0.21 0.91/0.32 0.63/0.80 0.91/0.07 0.97/0.41 0.97/0.32 0.95/1.25 0.95/0.06 0.94/0.12 0.94/0.42 OBS 4 0.85/0.44 0.95/0.92 0.77/0.16 0.92/0.14 0.59/0.68 0.93/0.06 0.97/0.42 0.97/0.33 0.95/1.26 0.87/0.09 0.94/0.12 0.91/0.38 CanESM5 r10i1p1f1 0.57/0.79 0.81/1.15 0.91/0.42 0.86/0.30 0.34/0.89 0.87/0.08 0.93/0.77 0.90/0.77 0.92/1.23 0.65/0.17 0.77/0.23 0.82/0.60 CanESM5 r10i1p2f1 0.58/0.87 0.78/1.35 0.93/0.39 0.89/0.32 0.48/0.74 0.87/0.08 0.95/0.68 0.90/0.88 0.91/1.32 0.68/0.16 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.61 CanESM5 r11i1p1f1 0.51/0.86 0.78/1.21 0.93/0.40 0.92/0.22 0.49/0.79 0.87/0.08 0.94/0.69 0.91/0.69 0.93/1.21 0.69/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.57 CanESM5 r11i1p2f1 0.63/0.82 0.72/1.36 0.88/0.52 0.91/0.27 0.56/0.68 0.86/0.08 0.94/0.73 0.89/0.73 0.92/1.26 0.70/0.17 0.78/0.23 0.83/0.59 CanESM5 r12i1p1f1 0.46/1.01 0.77/1.33 0.91/0.47 0.91/0.29 0.42/0.81 0.84/0.09 0.92/0.79 0.89/0.93 0.92/1.25 0.70/0.16 0.78/0.24 0.82/0.65 CanESM5 r12i1p2f1 0.45/0.91 0.78/1.21 0.91/0.35 0.88/0.30 0.47/0.78 0.84/0.09 0.92/0.76 0.91/0.90 0.91/1.32 0.69/0.15 0.76/0.23 0.82/0.61 CanESM5 r13i1p1f1 0.55/0.90 0.84/1.05 0.94/0.33 0.90/0.25 0.34/0.90 0.87/0.08 0.95/0.64 0.91/0.80 0.92/1.17 0.71/0.15 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.59 CanESM5 r13i1p2f1 0.57/0.87 0.76/1.37 0.93/0.36 0.89/0.25 0.57/0.72 0.87/0.08 0.94/0.68 0.92/0.73 0.92/1.28 0.68/0.17 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.58 CanESM5 r14i1p1f1 0.53/0.81 0.81/1.12 0.91/0.40 0.90/0.24 0.65/0.57 0.85/0.08 0.94/0.65 0.92/0.65 0.92/1.18 0.67/0.16 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.54 CanESM5 r14i1p2f1 0.34/1.00 0.68/1.42 0.90/0.43 0.87/0.29 0.44/0.83 0.83/0.09 0.94/0.68 0.91/0.70 0.91/1.29 0.66/0.16 0.77/0.23 0.81/0.63 CanESM5 r15i1p1f1 0.52/1.01 0.88/0.95 0.96/0.34 0.90/0.25 0.57/0.64 0.87/0.08 0.93/0.76 0.93/0.69 0.91/1.24 0.68/0.16 0.77/0.24 0.85/0.56 CanESM5 r15i1p2f1 0.60/0.82 0.85/1.03 0.92/0.37 0.86/0.30 0.57/0.65 0.85/0.08 0.95/0.67 0.87/0.90 0.92/1.25 0.71/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.57 CanESM5 r16i1p1f1 0.59/0.77 0.81/1.16 0.88/0.39 0.87/0.28 0.50/0.73 0.84/0.09 0.93/0.69 0.89/0.82 0.92/1.20 0.66/0.17 0.77/0.24 0.82/0.58 CanESM5 r16i1p2f1 0.59/0.79 0.81/1.15 0.89/0.39 0.90/0.27 0.60/0.61 0.85/0.08 0.92/0.79 0.91/0.87 0.92/1.23 0.69/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.57 CanESM5 r17i1p1f1 0.64/0.69 0.82/1.11 0.86/0.46 0.84/0.31 0.38/0.95 0.88/0.07 0.94/0.68 0.92/0.69 0.93/1.24 0.68/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.59 CanESM5 r17i1p2f1 0.54/0.88 0.79/1.23 0.90/0.39 0.90/0.26 0.39/0.81 0.87/0.08 0.93/0.78 0.93/0.69 0.92/1.27 0.73/0.14 0.77/0.24 0.83/0.59 CanESM5 r18i1p1f1 0.43/0.96 0.76/1.26 0.90/0.44 0.84/0.31 0.60/0.61 0.85/0.08 0.95/0.64 0.87/0.85 0.92/1.25 0.70/0.14 0.77/0.23 0.82/0.59 CanESM5 r18i1p2f1 0.55/0.92 0.80/1.17 0.91/0.39 0.87/0.31 0.49/0.71 0.86/0.08 0.93/0.74 0.90/0.73 0.93/1.21 0.71/0.16 0.77/0.24 0.83/0.59 CanESM5 r19i1p1f1 0.51/0.91 0.77/1.26 0.93/0.37 0.87/0.28 0.48/0.72 0.86/0.08 0.95/0.66 0.93/0.70 0.92/1.23 0.69/0.15 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.58 CanESM5 r19i1p2f1 0.41/1.11 0.77/1.24 0.89/0.54 0.88/0.27 0.55/0.66 0.84/0.09 0.94/0.63 0.93/0.69 0.93/1.21 0.68/0.18 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.62 CanESM5 r1i1p1f1 0.62/0.75 0.83/1.09 0.94/0.34 0.90/0.25 0.38/0.83 0.85/0.09 0.93/0.77 0.91/0.77 0.91/1.29 0.66/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.57 CanESM5 r1i1p2f1 0.62/0.80 0.83/1.08 0.92/0.37 0.90/0.25 0.48/0.68 0.85/0.08 0.91/0.84 0.91/0.76 0.92/1.21 0.69/0.16 0.77/0.24 0.83/0.57 CanESM5 r20i1p1f1 0.64/0.68 0.79/1.20 0.89/0.42 0.84/0.32 0.48/0.71 0.85/0.08 0.96/0.62 0.92/0.65 0.92/1.23 0.68/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.55 CanESM5 r20i1p2f1 0.48/0.91 0.80/1.20 0.89/0.43 0.89/0.26 0.44/0.87 0.85/0.08 0.92/0.76 0.90/0.90 0.93/1.19 0.68/0.15 0.78/0.23 0.82/0.62 CanESM5 r21i1p1f1 0.49/0.86 0.77/1.24 0.92/0.37 0.90/0.25 0.64/0.60 0.86/0.08 0.94/0.69 0.92/0.65 0.92/1.23 0.70/0.15 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.55 CanESM5 r21i1p2f1 0.57/0.77 0.76/1.28 0.92/0.36 0.91/0.24 0.38/0.90 0.84/0.09 0.95/0.60 0.89/0.84 0.91/1.31 0.68/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.59 CanESM5 r22i1p1f1 0.55/0.86 0.73/1.31 0.92/0.36 0.88/0.27 0.40/0.74 0.84/0.09 0.96/0.61 0.90/0.73 0.91/1.31 0.69/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.58 CanESM5 r22i1p2f1 0.32/1.11 0.71/1.36 0.91/0.44 0.88/0.27 0.51/0.67 0.86/0.08 0.96/0.60 0.92/0.73 0.92/1.23 0.68/0.16 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.61 CanESM5 r23i1p1f1 0.62/0.68 0.79/1.20 0.94/0.36 0.88/0.27 0.45/0.73 0.85/0.08 0.95/0.62 0.93/0.61 0.90/1.33 0.67/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.54 CanESM5 r23i1p2f1 0.47/0.93 0.75/1.30 0.88/0.41 0.84/0.31 0.51/0.72 0.85/0.08 0.94/0.69 0.89/0.83 0.92/1.29 0.69/0.15 0.78/0.23 0.82/0.60 CanESM5 r24i1p1f1 0.44/0.95 0.67/1.44 0.87/0.56 0.86/0.29 0.59/0.60 0.86/0.08 0.94/0.67 0.90/0.73 0.92/1.29 0.70/0.14 0.77/0.24 0.81/0.60 CanESM5 r24i1p2f1 0.53/0.87 0.68/1.44 0.91/0.38 0.90/0.26 0.48/0.76 0.85/0.08 0.93/0.79 0.93/0.68 0.91/1.27 0.66/0.17 0.77/0.23 0.82/0.60 CanESM5 r25i1p1f1 0.55/0.76 0.70/1.38 0.93/0.45 0.89/0.26 0.64/0.56 0.84/0.09 0.95/0.64 0.87/0.79 0.92/1.27 0.66/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.56 CanESM5 r25i1p2f1 0.61/0.73 0.84/1.06 0.88/0.46 0.90/0.25 0.43/0.75 0.85/0.08 0.92/0.77 0.89/0.85 0.93/1.19 0.68/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.58 CanESM5 r2i1p1f1 0.46/0.91 0.74/1.34 0.92/0.41 0.92/0.23 0.55/0.66 0.87/0.08 0.93/0.75 0.93/0.71 0.92/1.23 0.68/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.58 CanESM5 r2i1p2f1 0.54/0.84 0.84/1.04 0.92/0.40 0.90/0.25 0.37/0.87 0.85/0.08 0.92/0.73 0.90/0.82 0.92/1.24 0.68/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.59 CanESM5 r3i1p1f1 0.57/0.91 0.79/1.23 0.90/0.44 0.89/0.26 0.50/0.74 0.87/0.08 0.94/0.70 0.94/0.66 0.92/1.21 0.69/0.16 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.59 CanESM5 r3i1p2f1 0.50/0.88 0.74/1.31 0.93/0.47 0.88/0.29 0.41/0.91 0.86/0.08 0.93/0.73 0.92/0.70 0.92/1.23 0.67/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.82/0.62 CanESM5 r4i1p1f1 0.57/0.85 0.78/1.27 0.92/0.35 0.88/0.31 0.45/0.74 0.86/0.08 0.93/0.74 0.95/0.66 0.92/1.28 0.68/0.16 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.58 CanESM5 r4i1p2f1 0.52/0.85 0.66/1.48 0.92/0.39 0.91/0.23 0.48/0.67 0.87/0.08 0.92/0.78 0.93/0.60 0.91/1.28 0.69/0.14 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.57 CanESM5 r5i1p1f1 0.55/0.76 0.71/1.36 0.92/0.33 0.88/0.29 0.58/0.74 0.86/0.08 0.96/0.55 0.92/0.64 0.92/1.27 0.70/0.14 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.55 CanESM5 r5i1p2f1 0.44/1.08 0.80/1.17 0.89/0.41 0.87/0.30 0.52/0.75 0.88/0.08 0.95/0.66 0.89/0.85 0.92/1.21 0.67/0.17 0.77/0.24 0.83/0.62 CanESM5 r6i1p1f1 0.46/0.97 0.70/1.50 0.90/0.43 0.90/0.27 0.59/0.61 0.87/0.08 0.93/0.74 0.91/0.77 0.92/1.25 0.70/0.15 0.78/0.24 0.83/0.60 CanESM5 r6i1p2f1 0.55/0.79 0.71/1.37 0.91/0.48 0.91/0.25 0.47/0.72 0.85/0.08 0.94/0.68 0.91/0.66 0.91/1.25 0.66/0.15 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.58 CanESM5 r7i1p1f1 0.65/0.68 0.73/1.38 0.88/0.42 0.86/0.31 0.46/0.83 0.89/0.07 0.93/0.74 0.89/0.85 0.92/1.24 0.67/0.15 0.76/0.24 0.82/0.59 CanESM5 r7i1p2f1 0.45/0.89 0.76/1.25 0.91/0.40 0.86/0.29 0.47/0.74 0.86/0.08 0.94/0.68 0.91/0.73 0.92/1.21 0.67/0.15 0.76/0.23 0.82/0.59 CanESM5 r8i1p1f1 0.55/0.84 0.79/1.18 0.93/0.36 0.90/0.24 0.50/0.72 0.88/0.08 0.92/0.77 0.89/0.77 0.92/1.28 0.66/0.16 0.77/0.24 0.83/0.57 CanESM5 r8i1p2f1 0.57/0.72 0.79/1.20 0.88/0.43 0.89/0.27 0.57/0.70 0.86/0.08 0.94/0.65 0.91/0.77 0.93/1.20 0.68/0.17 0.77/0.23 0.83/0.57 CanESM5 r9i1p1f1 0.45/0.95 0.82/1.11 0.92/0.34 0.92/0.23 0.61/0.63 0.85/0.08 0.95/0.66 0.90/0.77 0.92/1.24 0.71/0.15 0.77/0.24 0.84/0.56 CanESM5 r9i1p2f1 0.54/0.82 0.80/1.16 0.92/0.36 0.92/0.22 0.56/0.66 0.85/0.08 0.93/0.75 0.92/0.79 0.91/1.27 0.67/0.17 0.77/0.23 0.84/0.57 MIROC-ES2L r10i1p1f2 0.76/0.77 0.81/1.39 0.85/1.12 0.75/0.95 0.49/0.74 0.81/0.14 0.82/1.08 0.80/0.81 0.96/0.98 0.69/0.20 0.77/0.19 0.80/0.80 MIROC-ES2L r1i1p1f2 0.71/0.88 0.83/1.48 0.86/1.19 0.77/1.06 0.39/0.97 0.78/0.19 0.86/0.95 0.75/0.96 0.94/1.08 0.70/0.22 0.78/0.19 0.79/0.91 MIROC-ES2L r2i1p1f2 0.69/0.82 0.77/1.41 0.88/1.08 0.77/0.93 0.51/0.73 0.77/0.16 0.88/0.94 0.76/0.86 0.96/1.03 0.67/0.20 0.77/0.19 0.80/0.81 MIROC-ES2L r3i1p1f2 0.66/0.89 0.78/1.52 0.85/1.12 0.78/1.08 0.48/0.75 0.78/0.16 0.82/1.01 0.71/1.00 0.96/0.96 0.69/0.21 0.76/0.19 0.78/0.86 MIROC-ES2L r4i1p1f2 0.66/0.78 0.77/1.39 0.87/0.83 0.75/0.81 0.45/0.84 0.78/0.14 0.87/0.96 0.83/0.73 0.96/1.01 0.70/0.17 0.75/0.20 0.80/0.75 MIROC-ES2L r5i1p1f2 0.68/0.85 0.77/1.58 0.84/1.12 0.73/1.07 0.47/0.81 0.76/0.19 0.80/1.04 0.71/1.01 0.96/1.11 0.68/0.22 0.77/0.19 0.77/0.89 MIROC-ES2L r6i1p1f2 0.69/0.80 0.76/1.39 0.85/1.05 0.79/0.90 0.48/0.78 0.79/0.15 0.83/1.04 0.85/0.69 0.96/1.07 0.67/0.20 0.77/0.19 0.80/0.79 MIROC-ES2L r7i1p1f2 0.68/0.79 0.80/1.33 0.88/1.04 0.79/0.92 0.57/0.70 0.78/0.17 0.84/1.02 0.82/0.76 0.96/1.03 0.69/0.21 0.77/0.19 0.80/0.79 MIROC-ES2L r8i1p1f2 0.68/0.79 0.79/1.32 0.88/0.98 0.73/1.04 0.56/0.69 0.80/0.15 0.80/1.10 0.79/0.80 0.96/1.12 0.70/0.20 0.78/0.19 0.79/0.80 MIROC-ES2L r9i1p1f2 0.67/0.80 0.72/1.51 0.83/1.09 0.79/0.90 0.31/0.99 0.79/0.14 0.89/0.87 0.83/0.73 0.96/1.02 0.70/0.18 0.77/0.19 0.79/0.81