Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ACCESS-ESM1-5 (10%) 0.17/1.38 0.58/1.07 0.81/0.53 0.81/0.37 0.27/0.61 0.78/0.08 0.90/0.62 0.94/0.32 0.91/1.18 0.56/0.31 0.81/0.22 0.78/0.72 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (Avg) 0.24/1.62 0.75/1.30 0.86/0.64 0.84/0.43 0.45/0.87 0.83/0.09 0.92/0.71 0.96/0.41 0.92/1.28 0.60/0.34 0.82/0.23 0.81/0.76 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (90%) 0.31/1.77 0.83/1.44 0.89/0.78 0.86/0.51 0.54/1.11 0.86/0.10 0.93/0.75 0.97/0.44 0.92/1.31 0.62/0.36 0.82/0.23 0.82/0.79 CanESM5 (10%) 0.10/2.20 0.61/1.22 0.85/0.72 0.79/0.52 0.38/0.60 0.85/0.08 0.92/0.58 0.84/0.80 0.87/1.28 0.50/0.46 0.75/0.26 0.77/0.90 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.17/2.39 0.72/1.35 0.90/0.82 0.85/0.61 0.50/0.72 0.86/0.08 0.93/0.68 0.88/0.98 0.88/1.32 0.53/0.47 0.76/0.27 0.79/0.95 CanESM5 (90%) 0.23/2.56 0.78/1.54 0.93/0.91 0.89/0.70 0.62/0.82 0.88/0.08 0.95/0.79 0.91/1.13 0.89/1.35 0.55/0.48 0.76/0.27 0.80/0.98 EC-Earth3 (10%) 0.28/1.19 0.69/1.07 -0.11/0.33 0.63/0.45 0.59/0.55 0.70/0.08 0.90/0.66 0.93/0.54 0.93/1.20 0.43/0.35 0.85/0.17 0.77/0.66 EC-Earth3 (Avg) 0.37/1.33 0.82/1.15 0.09/0.39 0.69/0.53 0.64/0.66 0.84/0.09 0.93/0.73 0.95/0.64 0.94/1.30 0.47/0.39 0.85/0.17 0.78/0.70 EC-Earth3 (90%) 0.44/1.42 0.84/1.16 0.14/0.41 0.73/0.57 0.69/0.70 0.87/0.09 0.94/0.81 0.95/0.76 0.95/1.36 0.48/0.42 0.85/0.17 0.78/0.74 EC-Earth3-Veg (10%) 0.29/1.17 0.69/0.93 -0.11/0.34 0.66/0.48 0.58/0.57 0.82/0.08 0.92/0.61 0.92/0.48 0.93/1.22 0.42/0.36 0.84/0.17 0.77/0.68 EC-Earth3-Veg (Avg) 0.36/1.32 0.82/1.15 0.05/0.38 0.70/0.55 0.63/0.66 0.85/0.09 0.93/0.71 0.95/0.59 0.94/1.30 0.47/0.39 0.85/0.17 0.78/0.69 EC-Earth3-Veg (90%) 0.43/1.44 0.85/1.21 0.15/0.40 0.72/0.60 0.66/0.70 0.85/0.09 0.94/0.76 0.96/0.64 0.94/1.34 0.49/0.39 0.85/0.17 0.79/0.71 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.50/1.15 0.60/1.33 0.76/0.77 0.65/0.79 0.47/0.53 0.75/0.08 0.86/0.71 0.68/1.02 0.86/1.12 0.67/0.27 0.68/0.27 0.74/0.82 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.57/1.32 0.71/1.64 0.80/0.84 0.71/0.94 0.61/0.67 0.80/0.12 0.90/0.84 0.78/1.34 0.90/1.28 0.68/0.28 0.71/0.29 0.76/0.89 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.62/1.39 0.77/1.84 0.81/0.88 0.76/1.05 0.71/0.73 0.84/0.13 0.91/0.93 0.88/1.53 0.92/1.40 0.69/0.29 0.72/0.31 0.78/0.93 MIROC6 (10%) 0.51/1.15 0.85/1.05 0.88/0.66 0.86/0.78 0.32/0.65 0.84/0.13 0.91/0.62 0.89/0.56 0.96/0.93 0.64/0.26 0.81/0.20 0.84/0.74 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.56/1.23 0.87/1.21 0.89/0.73 0.88/0.88 0.46/0.79 0.86/0.14 0.94/0.72 0.91/0.61 0.97/0.99 0.66/0.27 0.81/0.21 0.85/0.79 MIROC6 (90%) 0.61/1.33 0.89/1.33 0.90/0.80 0.90/1.00 0.54/0.95 0.87/0.16 0.96/0.82 0.93/0.67 0.97/1.05 0.67/0.29 0.82/0.21 0.86/0.83 MIROC-ES2L (10%) 0.53/0.87 0.73/1.32 0.83/0.92 0.67/0.98 0.32/0.60 0.75/0.14 0.81/0.88 0.78/0.62 0.96/0.81 0.65/0.29 0.77/0.19 0.78/0.83 MIROC-ES2L (Avg) 0.57/1.12 0.77/1.41 0.86/1.08 0.74/1.13 0.47/0.75 0.78/0.16 0.84/1.01 0.83/0.75 0.97/0.89 0.67/0.31 0.77/0.19 0.79/0.88 MIROC-ES2L (90%) 0.59/1.18 0.79/1.49 0.87/1.15 0.78/1.20 0.56/0.85 0.79/0.18 0.86/1.05 0.88/0.84 0.97/0.97 0.67/0.32 0.78/0.19 0.80/0.92 MPI-ESM1-2-LR (10%) 0.34/0.95 0.85/0.79 0.87/0.58 0.87/0.40 0.38/0.70 0.83/0.08 0.90/0.56 0.90/0.47 0.95/0.89 0.63/0.22 0.81/0.18 0.83/0.61 MPI-ESM1-2-LR (Avg) 0.53/1.13 0.88/0.93 0.89/0.69 0.91/0.51 0.44/0.80 0.86/0.09 0.93/0.71 0.93/0.70 0.95/0.92 0.67/0.23 0.81/0.18 0.85/0.67 MPI-ESM1-2-LR (90%) 0.62/1.28 0.91/1.02 0.91/0.77 0.93/0.65 0.47/0.86 0.88/0.09 0.94/0.77 0.96/0.82 0.96/0.96 0.69/0.23 0.82/0.18 0.86/0.70