Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Reference Dataset 1 vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ACCESS-ESM1-5 (10%) 0.17/2.24 0.45/1.38 0.76/0.79 0.66/0.70 0.19/0.44 0.54/0.56 0.84/0.67 0.87/0.46 0.92/0.43 0.57/0.46 0.89/0.29 0.75/1.13 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (Avg) 0.22/2.67 0.60/1.62 0.87/0.93 0.76/0.90 0.29/0.50 0.60/0.60 0.90/0.80 0.92/0.58 0.94/0.56 0.60/0.49 0.89/0.31 0.77/1.19 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (90%) 0.28/2.96 0.70/1.82 0.91/1.13 0.81/1.09 0.36/0.55 0.65/0.62 0.93/0.93 0.95/0.73 0.96/0.65 0.62/0.51 0.89/0.33 0.79/1.26 CanESM2 (10%) 0.10/2.74 0.36/2.00 0.68/0.80 0.71/0.73 0.35/0.39 0.48/0.62 0.79/0.83 0.85/0.73 0.89/0.61 0.61/0.48 0.82/0.26 0.70/1.24 CanESM2 (Avg) 0.15/3.09 0.46/2.31 0.78/0.96 0.78/0.89 0.41/0.43 0.53/0.64 0.85/1.01 0.89/0.91 0.92/0.69 0.63/0.50 0.82/0.26 0.72/1.32 CanESM2 (90%) 0.20/3.44 0.54/2.60 0.83/1.13 0.83/1.01 0.46/0.45 0.58/0.66 0.90/1.19 0.92/1.09 0.93/0.77 0.65/0.51 0.83/0.27 0.74/1.40 CanESM5 (10%) 0.12/4.12 0.25/2.02 0.60/1.33 0.54/1.17 0.37/0.39 0.41/1.06 0.81/0.68 0.82/0.68 0.85/0.64 0.48/0.90 0.83/0.26 0.65/1.81 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.16/4.44 0.35/2.20 0.71/1.54 0.69/1.37 0.40/0.41 0.44/1.07 0.88/0.92 0.87/0.97 0.89/0.75 0.50/0.92 0.83/0.27 0.68/1.89 CanESM5 (90%) 0.19/4.80 0.46/2.39 0.81/1.72 0.81/1.59 0.44/0.43 0.47/1.10 0.93/1.19 0.91/1.20 0.91/0.86 0.51/0.94 0.84/0.28 0.70/1.98 CESM1 (10%) 0.24/2.02 0.61/1.52 0.85/0.64 0.76/0.79 0.05/0.54 0.36/0.57 0.77/0.93 0.86/0.76 0.87/0.67 0.60/0.45 0.85/0.22 0.73/1.16 CESM1 (Avg) 0.29/2.45 0.69/1.81 0.90/0.82 0.85/1.00 0.15/0.61 0.46/0.60 0.83/1.11 0.89/0.97 0.91/0.78 0.62/0.48 0.86/0.24 0.75/1.24 CESM1 (90%) 0.35/2.86 0.75/2.22 0.93/0.99 0.89/1.18 0.21/0.67 0.54/0.62 0.88/1.31 0.91/1.14 0.92/0.86 0.65/0.50 0.87/0.25 0.76/1.30 CESM2 (10%) 0.43/1.54 0.60/1.58 0.89/0.63 0.82/0.75 -0.04/0.77 0.28/0.53 0.81/0.79 0.87/0.67 0.86/0.60 0.63/0.43 0.87/0.27 0.76/1.09 CESM2 (Avg) 0.49/1.85 0.69/1.82 0.93/0.74 0.86/0.96 0.01/0.93 0.37/0.55 0.88/0.99 0.91/0.87 0.90/0.73 0.66/0.45 0.88/0.30 0.77/1.16 CESM2 (90%) 0.56/2.16 0.75/2.07 0.94/0.84 0.88/1.14 0.07/1.06 0.45/0.57 0.92/1.19 0.94/1.06 0.93/0.85 0.69/0.47 0.89/0.31 0.79/1.23 CSIRO-Mk360 (10%) 0.21/2.53 0.21/1.95 0.17/1.22 0.35/1.12 0.11/0.53 0.42/0.57 0.77/0.83 0.68/0.53 0.87/0.58 0.39/0.48 0.78/0.41 0.58/1.32 CSIRO-Mk360 (Avg) 0.28/2.94 0.34/2.18 0.35/1.58 0.48/1.34 0.20/0.61 0.51/0.66 0.85/1.01 0.84/0.70 0.92/0.70 0.43/0.55 0.79/0.44 0.61/1.50 CSIRO-Mk360 (90%) 0.33/3.30 0.45/2.40 0.49/1.80 0.59/1.54 0.25/0.70 0.57/0.72 0.90/1.15 0.91/0.94 0.94/0.82 0.46/0.60 0.81/0.46 0.64/1.60