Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Reference Dataset 1 vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CESM1-HR (10%) 0.26/0.67 0.48/1.46 0.61/0.39 0.58/0.37 -0.06/0.52 -0.79/0.16 0.72/0.54 0.83/0.66 0.87/0.37 0.42/0.16 0.87/0.20 0.65/0.61 CESM1-HR (Avg) 0.44/0.86 0.64/1.83 0.75/0.56 0.70/0.42 0.45/0.73 -0.41/0.32 0.91/0.79 0.89/1.02 0.95/0.55 0.54/0.17 0.89/0.22 0.72/0.73 CESM1-HR (90%) 0.56/1.02 0.75/2.10 0.82/0.68 0.74/0.47 0.61/1.02 0.65/0.42 0.95/1.19 0.91/1.22 0.96/0.66 0.65/0.19 0.90/0.23 0.74/0.80 CESM1-LR (10%) 0.34/0.66 0.58/1.45 0.78/0.41 0.64/0.33 0.15/0.55 -0.77/0.16 0.83/0.62 0.74/0.60 0.95/0.48 0.63/0.11 0.84/0.23 0.69/0.61 CESM1-LR (Avg) 0.51/0.86 0.71/1.75 0.83/0.50 0.76/0.46 0.36/0.65 -0.54/0.32 0.90/0.80 0.84/0.85 0.97/0.59 0.67/0.12 0.86/0.25 0.73/0.70 CESM1-LR (90%) 0.62/1.06 0.79/2.01 0.84/0.56 0.83/0.53 0.49/0.73 0.24/0.38 0.93/0.99 0.88/1.06 0.97/0.63 0.69/0.14 0.86/0.26 0.75/0.76 CESM1-LENS (10%) 0.38/0.88 0.66/1.55 0.82/0.46 0.75/0.36 -0.08/0.61 -0.74/0.19 0.84/0.67 0.83/0.64 0.88/0.46 0.68/0.12 0.86/0.22 0.69/0.68 CESM1-LENS (Avg) 0.48/1.04 0.74/1.81 0.88/0.60 0.83/0.48 0.16/0.76 -0.57/0.33 0.89/0.85 0.88/0.84 0.93/0.60 0.70/0.13 0.87/0.23 0.73/0.76 CESM1-LENS (90%) 0.54/1.26 0.81/2.08 0.92/0.77 0.87/0.60 0.43/0.89 0.04/0.38 0.93/1.00 0.91/1.00 0.95/0.69 0.73/0.15 0.87/0.24 0.77/0.83