Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ACCESS-ESM1-5 (10%) 0.61/0.59 0.67/1.21 0.85/0.35 0.67/0.49 0.19/0.71 0.45/0.08 0.90/0.55 0.91/0.43 0.97/0.34 0.59/0.15 0.84/0.17 0.80/0.56 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (Avg) 0.65/0.64 0.74/1.37 0.87/0.40 0.71/0.56 0.36/0.81 0.75/0.11 0.92/0.67 0.93/0.51 0.97/0.43 0.63/0.17 0.84/0.17 0.82/0.60 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (90%) 0.69/0.68 0.80/1.51 0.89/0.46 0.74/0.61 0.46/0.92 0.85/0.15 0.95/0.74 0.95/0.59 0.98/0.50 0.67/0.18 0.85/0.18 0.84/0.63 CanESM2 (10%) 0.46/0.81 0.65/1.52 0.83/0.40 0.67/0.50 0.05/0.83 0.75/0.10 0.85/0.70 0.87/0.69 0.97/0.31 0.63/0.12 0.65/0.23 0.76/0.65 CanESM2 (Avg) 0.50/0.88 0.70/1.70 0.85/0.44 0.71/0.58 0.20/0.93 0.78/0.11 0.89/0.87 0.90/0.85 0.97/0.36 0.65/0.13 0.66/0.24 0.78/0.69 CanESM2 (90%) 0.54/0.95 0.73/1.87 0.86/0.49 0.75/0.64 0.34/1.03 0.81/0.11 0.92/0.99 0.92/0.95 0.98/0.40 0.68/0.13 0.67/0.24 0.79/0.72 CanESM5 (10%) 0.54/0.67 0.69/1.21 0.77/0.39 0.72/0.33 0.28/0.74 0.76/0.09 0.90/0.61 0.88/0.65 0.96/0.34 0.55/0.14 0.75/0.22 0.78/0.58 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.59/0.73 0.75/1.41 0.81/0.45 0.78/0.36 0.35/0.85 0.81/0.10 0.92/0.72 0.90/0.80 0.97/0.38 0.58/0.15 0.76/0.22 0.80/0.61 CanESM5 (90%) 0.64/0.79 0.81/1.56 0.84/0.50 0.81/0.40 0.47/0.98 0.84/0.11 0.94/0.87 0.92/0.96 0.97/0.42 0.61/0.16 0.77/0.23 0.81/0.64 CESM1 (10%) 0.48/0.78 0.71/1.41 0.88/0.43 0.87/0.34 0.10/0.76 0.79/0.09 0.85/0.73 0.90/0.65 0.92/0.39 0.72/0.11 0.75/0.20 0.81/0.61 CESM1 (Avg) 0.54/0.86 0.75/1.67 0.91/0.53 0.89/0.41 0.27/0.92 0.84/0.10 0.89/0.87 0.92/0.79 0.95/0.46 0.74/0.12 0.76/0.20 0.82/0.66 CESM1 (90%) 0.59/0.95 0.78/1.87 0.92/0.60 0.91/0.49 0.44/1.03 0.88/0.11 0.91/1.02 0.93/0.91 0.96/0.53 0.75/0.14 0.76/0.21 0.83/0.71 CESM2 (10%) 0.68/0.61 0.76/1.22 0.91/0.49 0.84/0.51 0.20/0.67 0.79/0.08 0.89/0.68 0.93/0.56 0.94/0.37 0.79/0.13 0.82/0.21 0.85/0.60 CESM2 (Avg) 0.72/0.68 0.82/1.37 0.92/0.59 0.87/0.59 0.37/0.81 0.86/0.10 0.92/0.81 0.95/0.69 0.95/0.44 0.80/0.14 0.83/0.22 0.86/0.64 CESM2 (90%) 0.76/0.75 0.86/1.55 0.94/0.69 0.89/0.65 0.53/0.94 0.90/0.11 0.94/0.97 0.97/0.83 0.96/0.50 0.81/0.15 0.83/0.23 0.87/0.68 CSIRO-Mk360 (10%) 0.48/0.61 0.58/1.29 0.55/0.59 0.50/0.51 0.11/0.77 0.71/0.10 0.77/0.87 0.79/0.56 0.95/0.34 0.52/0.16 0.77/0.21 0.71/0.66 CSIRO-Mk360 (Avg) 0.57/0.71 0.69/1.49 0.59/0.66 0.55/0.58 0.30/0.88 0.77/0.11 0.82/1.00 0.84/0.67 0.96/0.38 0.54/0.17 0.78/0.22 0.73/0.69 CSIRO-Mk360 (90%) 0.66/0.77 0.77/1.65 0.66/0.73 0.59/0.63 0.39/1.10 0.81/0.12 0.87/1.10 0.89/0.77 0.97/0.41 0.56/0.18 0.79/0.22 0.75/0.72