Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ACCESS-ESM1-5 (10%) 0.51/0.68 0.58/1.40 0.85/0.38 0.69/0.53 0.16/0.83 0.68/0.08 0.86/0.60 0.89/0.47 0.93/0.37 0.58/0.14 0.82/0.19 0.78/0.62 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (Avg) 0.58/0.76 0.67/1.62 0.88/0.48 0.73/0.63 0.33/1.08 0.79/0.10 0.91/0.71 0.93/0.58 0.95/0.48 0.62/0.16 0.82/0.19 0.80/0.68 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (90%) 0.64/0.83 0.75/1.82 0.90/0.60 0.77/0.74 0.47/1.40 0.85/0.12 0.94/0.83 0.95/0.69 0.97/0.58 0.65/0.17 0.83/0.20 0.82/0.76 CanESM2 (10%) 0.37/0.83 0.54/1.61 0.79/0.39 0.62/0.41 0.16/0.89 0.74/0.10 0.82/0.73 0.88/0.68 0.93/0.44 0.58/0.12 0.60/0.24 0.73/0.68 CanESM2 (Avg) 0.44/0.91 0.62/1.92 0.82/0.44 0.70/0.54 0.28/1.04 0.78/0.11 0.87/0.90 0.91/0.86 0.95/0.52 0.61/0.13 0.62/0.25 0.75/0.72 CanESM2 (90%) 0.51/1.01 0.69/2.14 0.85/0.49 0.76/0.64 0.41/1.17 0.81/0.11 0.92/1.08 0.93/1.00 0.96/0.59 0.64/0.13 0.63/0.25 0.76/0.76 CanESM5 (10%) 0.51/0.73 0.61/1.40 0.70/0.37 0.72/0.34 0.21/0.81 0.76/0.10 0.85/0.61 0.87/0.60 0.90/0.45 0.54/0.13 0.74/0.24 0.74/0.63 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.54/0.82 0.69/1.65 0.80/0.45 0.78/0.39 0.30/0.95 0.80/0.10 0.90/0.85 0.90/0.82 0.93/0.57 0.58/0.13 0.74/0.26 0.77/0.67 CanESM5 (90%) 0.58/0.92 0.76/1.88 0.85/0.57 0.81/0.45 0.43/1.12 0.83/0.11 0.95/1.10 0.93/1.00 0.95/0.68 0.62/0.14 0.75/0.27 0.79/0.71 CESM1 (10%) 0.45/0.83 0.62/1.67 0.86/0.45 0.80/0.35 -0.00/0.75 0.74/0.09 0.80/0.84 0.88/0.78 0.89/0.52 0.70/0.11 0.73/0.21 0.78/0.66 CESM1 (Avg) 0.51/0.95 0.70/1.96 0.90/0.58 0.86/0.48 0.27/1.05 0.82/0.11 0.86/1.02 0.90/0.95 0.92/0.60 0.71/0.13 0.74/0.22 0.79/0.76 CESM1 (90%) 0.54/1.03 0.75/2.22 0.92/0.78 0.89/0.58 0.45/1.36 0.87/0.13 0.90/1.22 0.93/1.13 0.94/0.68 0.73/0.15 0.74/0.23 0.81/0.84 CESM2 (10%) 0.62/0.69 0.67/1.52 0.90/0.48 0.77/0.56 0.12/0.75 0.74/0.08 0.82/0.75 0.91/0.60 0.88/0.45 0.78/0.11 0.80/0.23 0.81/0.67 CESM2 (Avg) 0.67/0.76 0.74/1.71 0.92/0.63 0.83/0.68 0.35/0.96 0.85/0.10 0.89/0.95 0.94/0.80 0.92/0.56 0.79/0.12 0.81/0.25 0.83/0.73 CESM2 (90%) 0.72/0.83 0.81/1.96 0.93/0.77 0.87/0.78 0.49/1.31 0.89/0.12 0.93/1.15 0.96/0.98 0.95/0.66 0.80/0.14 0.81/0.27 0.84/0.78 CSIRO-Mk360 (10%) 0.40/0.66 0.36/1.39 0.52/0.56 0.53/0.50 0.11/0.82 0.59/0.10 0.77/0.83 0.77/0.52 0.92/0.42 0.49/0.16 0.77/0.21 0.67/0.68 CSIRO-Mk360 (Avg) 0.54/0.77 0.57/1.71 0.62/0.69 0.59/0.62 0.25/1.10 0.72/0.12 0.83/0.98 0.85/0.65 0.94/0.51 0.52/0.17 0.78/0.22 0.70/0.75 CSIRO-Mk360 (90%) 0.61/0.87 0.73/1.99 0.68/0.81 0.64/0.75 0.39/1.31 0.79/0.13 0.87/1.08 0.90/0.72 0.96/0.57 0.55/0.18 0.79/0.22 0.73/0.83