Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ACCESS-ESM1-5 (10%) 0.60/0.58 0.68/1.19 0.84/0.36 0.69/0.46 0.30/0.71 0.76/0.08 0.90/0.57 0.90/0.44 0.97/0.34 0.58/0.15 0.83/0.17 0.81/0.55 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (Avg) 0.65/0.63 0.75/1.37 0.87/0.39 0.72/0.54 0.43/0.81 0.82/0.09 0.92/0.67 0.93/0.51 0.97/0.42 0.62/0.16 0.84/0.17 0.83/0.58 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (90%) 0.71/0.68 0.80/1.51 0.89/0.44 0.75/0.60 0.53/0.89 0.86/0.10 0.94/0.74 0.95/0.58 0.98/0.49 0.65/0.18 0.85/0.18 0.84/0.60 CanESM2 (10%) 0.46/0.79 0.65/1.51 0.83/0.39 0.66/0.51 0.18/0.68 0.78/0.10 0.86/0.70 0.88/0.70 0.97/0.31 0.63/0.12 0.65/0.23 0.77/0.63 CanESM2 (Avg) 0.51/0.87 0.70/1.68 0.85/0.44 0.72/0.57 0.36/0.83 0.80/0.10 0.89/0.87 0.90/0.84 0.97/0.36 0.65/0.12 0.66/0.24 0.79/0.67 CanESM2 (90%) 0.53/0.94 0.73/1.91 0.86/0.49 0.75/0.63 0.49/0.96 0.82/0.11 0.92/0.97 0.92/0.97 0.98/0.41 0.67/0.13 0.67/0.24 0.80/0.71 CanESM5 (10%) 0.56/0.66 0.72/1.25 0.76/0.41 0.72/0.33 0.23/0.70 0.81/0.09 0.89/0.57 0.88/0.64 0.96/0.35 0.60/0.12 0.76/0.21 0.78/0.56 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.59/0.72 0.75/1.41 0.80/0.45 0.77/0.36 0.37/0.82 0.82/0.09 0.92/0.71 0.90/0.77 0.97/0.39 0.64/0.13 0.76/0.22 0.80/0.59 CanESM5 (90%) 0.62/0.77 0.79/1.56 0.83/0.51 0.82/0.40 0.52/0.95 0.84/0.10 0.94/0.83 0.92/0.91 0.97/0.44 0.66/0.13 0.77/0.22 0.82/0.63 CESM1 (10%) 0.50/0.76 0.70/1.44 0.88/0.42 0.86/0.34 0.26/0.69 0.82/0.08 0.85/0.70 0.90/0.64 0.93/0.38 0.73/0.10 0.75/0.20 0.81/0.59 CESM1 (Avg) 0.55/0.84 0.75/1.65 0.91/0.50 0.89/0.39 0.42/0.80 0.85/0.09 0.89/0.85 0.92/0.77 0.95/0.46 0.74/0.12 0.76/0.20 0.83/0.63 CESM1 (90%) 0.60/0.92 0.78/1.85 0.92/0.55 0.90/0.44 0.55/0.90 0.88/0.10 0.91/0.99 0.94/0.91 0.96/0.52 0.75/0.13 0.76/0.21 0.84/0.69 CESM2 (10%) 0.68/0.61 0.77/1.18 0.91/0.48 0.84/0.53 0.28/0.67 0.83/0.08 0.89/0.68 0.93/0.54 0.94/0.37 0.79/0.12 0.82/0.21 0.86/0.59 CESM2 (Avg) 0.72/0.68 0.82/1.35 0.92/0.58 0.87/0.59 0.43/0.79 0.88/0.09 0.92/0.80 0.95/0.69 0.95/0.43 0.80/0.13 0.83/0.22 0.87/0.63 CESM2 (90%) 0.76/0.75 0.86/1.54 0.94/0.70 0.89/0.66 0.56/0.93 0.90/0.10 0.94/0.95 0.97/0.82 0.97/0.50 0.81/0.15 0.83/0.23 0.88/0.68 CSIRO-Mk360 (10%) 0.50/0.62 0.61/1.33 0.52/0.60 0.49/0.50 0.21/0.77 0.66/0.10 0.77/0.87 0.79/0.55 0.95/0.34 0.52/0.16 0.77/0.21 0.71/0.66 CSIRO-Mk360 (Avg) 0.57/0.70 0.70/1.48 0.59/0.66 0.56/0.58 0.30/0.90 0.76/0.11 0.82/1.00 0.85/0.67 0.96/0.38 0.54/0.17 0.78/0.21 0.73/0.69 CSIRO-Mk360 (90%) 0.65/0.77 0.75/1.64 0.64/0.74 0.60/0.64 0.38/1.03 0.80/0.12 0.87/1.09 0.89/0.76 0.97/0.42 0.56/0.18 0.79/0.22 0.74/0.72