Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.93/0.28 0.98/0.38 0.92/0.08 0.95/0.10 0.87/0.40 0.96/0.05 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.89/0.07 1.00/0.00 ----/0.16 MIROC6 r10i1p1f1 0.72/0.90 0.86/1.47 0.85/0.87 0.68/0.73 0.27/1.20 0.85/0.16 0.91/0.73 0.91/0.65 0.96/0.47 0.71/0.18 0.82/0.20 0.82/0.75 MIROC6 r11i1p1f1 0.74/0.93 0.86/1.59 0.85/0.79 0.80/0.94 0.39/1.06 0.87/0.12 0.95/0.66 0.88/0.66 0.97/0.42 0.71/0.16 0.82/0.20 0.85/0.72 MIROC6 r12i1p1f1 0.76/0.86 0.84/1.63 0.89/0.78 0.79/0.70 0.22/1.20 0.84/0.14 0.93/0.75 0.87/0.69 0.99/0.30 0.72/0.17 0.82/0.20 0.85/0.72 MIROC6 r13i1p1f1 0.74/0.77 0.88/1.22 0.85/0.72 0.82/0.56 0.43/1.01 0.87/0.15 0.83/1.02 0.93/0.72 0.97/0.42 0.73/0.17 0.82/0.20 0.85/0.68 MIROC6 r14i1p1f1 0.76/0.79 0.80/1.35 0.83/0.71 0.83/0.82 0.44/0.97 0.83/0.16 0.86/0.97 0.89/0.69 0.98/0.32 0.73/0.17 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.70 MIROC6 r15i1p1f1 0.74/0.83 0.90/1.33 0.85/0.80 0.80/0.71 0.25/1.16 0.86/0.16 0.96/0.71 0.93/0.65 0.97/0.41 0.72/0.17 0.81/0.21 0.86/0.72 MIROC6 r16i1p1f1 0.70/0.89 0.80/1.63 0.87/0.81 0.85/0.65 0.33/1.39 0.84/0.19 0.91/0.83 0.84/0.75 0.97/0.37 0.69/0.19 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.79 MIROC6 r17i1p1f1 0.73/0.86 0.86/1.41 0.85/0.66 0.82/0.88 0.14/1.28 0.87/0.13 0.96/0.56 0.90/0.65 0.96/0.48 0.71/0.18 0.81/0.20 0.84/0.72 MIROC6 r18i1p1f1 0.75/0.84 0.90/1.46 0.87/0.70 0.82/0.86 0.44/0.98 0.85/0.16 0.96/0.52 0.93/0.61 0.97/0.39 0.73/0.17 0.82/0.20 0.86/0.69 MIROC6 r19i1p1f1 0.71/0.92 0.84/1.63 0.83/0.83 0.85/0.74 0.44/1.05 0.83/0.19 0.91/0.75 0.91/0.68 0.95/0.49 0.69/0.20 0.82/0.21 0.83/0.77 MIROC6 r1i1p1f1 0.67/0.98 0.85/1.41 0.85/0.79 0.83/0.75 0.47/1.18 0.88/0.12 0.91/0.72 0.91/0.72 0.99/0.25 0.73/0.17 0.82/0.20 0.86/0.71 MIROC6 r20i1p1f1 0.75/0.84 0.87/1.32 0.85/0.77 0.83/0.76 0.38/1.32 0.85/0.14 0.93/0.66 0.93/0.58 0.98/0.35 0.69/0.18 0.81/0.20 0.86/0.72 MIROC6 r21i1p1f1 0.75/0.84 0.88/1.39 0.84/0.71 0.82/0.77 0.38/1.48 0.85/0.14 0.95/0.64 0.93/0.56 0.96/0.42 0.70/0.16 0.81/0.20 0.85/0.73 MIROC6 r22i1p1f1 0.67/0.87 0.85/1.53 0.87/0.61 0.83/0.91 0.42/0.84 0.86/0.11 0.97/0.55 0.91/0.55 0.97/0.37 0.71/0.14 0.81/0.20 0.86/0.64 MIROC6 r23i1p1f1 0.74/0.73 0.82/1.37 0.84/0.69 0.82/0.82 0.43/1.31 0.85/0.16 0.95/0.70 0.89/0.60 0.96/0.42 0.71/0.18 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.72 MIROC6 r24i1p1f1 0.73/0.76 0.87/1.29 0.84/0.80 0.85/0.59 0.35/1.12 0.86/0.14 0.94/0.68 0.87/0.70 0.96/0.48 0.72/0.17 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.69 MIROC6 r25i1p1f1 0.73/0.77 0.76/1.66 0.86/0.66 0.81/0.82 0.17/1.75 0.83/0.12 0.93/0.71 0.89/0.61 0.97/0.37 0.71/0.13 0.81/0.19 0.82/0.75 MIROC6 r26i1p1f1 0.77/0.78 0.84/1.63 0.85/0.82 0.78/0.77 0.24/1.05 0.84/0.15 0.88/0.86 0.92/0.67 0.98/0.35 0.69/0.17 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.72 MIROC6 r27i1p1f1 0.69/0.89 0.81/1.44 0.86/0.76 0.84/0.75 0.02/1.34 0.85/0.16 0.96/0.63 0.85/0.83 0.98/0.33 0.71/0.18 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.75 MIROC6 r28i1p1f1 0.71/0.90 0.82/1.59 0.84/0.76 0.81/0.94 0.36/1.47 0.86/0.15 0.88/0.84 0.93/0.60 0.98/0.36 0.68/0.17 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.78 MIROC6 r29i1p1f1 0.75/0.90 0.86/1.43 0.85/0.83 0.86/0.87 0.34/1.00 0.86/0.14 0.87/0.94 0.92/0.56 0.99/0.27 0.72/0.18 0.81/0.20 0.85/0.72 MIROC6 r2i1p1f1 0.72/0.79 0.86/1.32 0.85/0.77 0.84/0.63 0.26/0.99 0.86/0.13 0.94/0.66 0.90/0.75 0.98/0.33 0.74/0.16 0.82/0.19 0.85/0.66 MIROC6 r30i1p1f1 0.75/0.79 0.86/1.56 0.83/0.76 0.84/0.64 0.43/1.09 0.86/0.14 0.91/0.76 0.92/0.61 0.95/0.55 0.71/0.16 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.69 MIROC6 r31i1p1f1 0.69/0.80 0.81/1.52 0.86/0.61 0.80/0.45 0.37/0.86 0.85/0.13 0.95/0.69 0.91/0.65 0.97/0.38 0.70/0.14 0.82/0.19 0.84/0.61 MIROC6 r32i1p1f1 0.73/0.90 0.89/1.47 0.84/0.80 0.81/0.70 0.42/1.12 0.87/0.13 0.95/0.69 0.92/0.74 0.97/0.40 0.71/0.19 0.81/0.21 0.85/0.72 MIROC6 r33i1p1f1 0.76/0.89 0.81/1.52 0.85/0.89 0.88/0.75 0.25/1.19 0.86/0.16 0.86/0.87 0.88/0.63 0.97/0.44 0.69/0.21 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.77 MIROC6 r34i1p1f1 0.72/0.89 0.86/1.35 0.84/0.81 0.84/0.91 0.32/1.39 0.86/0.15 0.76/1.17 0.92/0.60 0.98/0.38 0.69/0.18 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.78 MIROC6 r35i1p1f1 0.71/0.84 0.87/1.28 0.83/0.68 0.79/0.80 0.26/1.10 0.86/0.13 0.96/0.63 0.91/0.64 0.98/0.30 0.70/0.17 0.81/0.20 0.85/0.68 MIROC6 r36i1p1f1 0.68/1.03 0.83/1.55 0.85/0.84 0.82/0.81 0.59/0.92 0.85/0.15 0.95/0.60 0.92/0.67 0.98/0.32 0.73/0.18 0.82/0.20 0.86/0.72 MIROC6 r37i1p1f1 0.72/1.02 0.86/1.61 0.85/0.88 0.87/0.91 0.47/0.92 0.85/0.16 0.92/0.68 0.90/0.81 0.97/0.37 0.69/0.20 0.82/0.20 0.85/0.77 MIROC6 r38i1p1f1 0.65/0.89 0.83/1.42 0.86/0.59 0.82/0.94 0.41/1.34 0.87/0.13 0.79/1.12 0.91/0.53 0.97/0.38 0.69/0.16 0.81/0.20 0.83/0.74 MIROC6 r39i1p1f1 0.73/0.65 0.87/1.11 0.80/0.62 0.86/0.37 0.43/1.30 0.83/0.12 0.91/0.76 0.92/0.57 0.98/0.47 0.70/0.15 0.81/0.19 0.85/0.62 MIROC6 r3i1p1f1 0.72/0.85 0.88/1.52 0.84/0.72 0.82/0.78 0.21/1.42 0.83/0.17 0.89/0.79 0.91/0.69 0.95/0.50 0.71/0.18 0.81/0.20 0.82/0.77 MIROC6 r40i1p1f1 0.74/0.79 0.82/1.41 0.85/0.65 0.79/0.82 0.38/1.15 0.86/0.12 0.91/0.77 0.92/0.74 0.98/0.32 0.70/0.16 0.81/0.20 0.84/0.68 MIROC6 r41i1p1f1 0.68/0.95 0.85/1.31 0.83/0.91 0.81/0.60 0.12/1.51 0.86/0.12 0.88/0.82 0.92/0.50 0.97/0.37 0.70/0.15 0.82/0.19 0.83/0.73 MIROC6 r42i1p1f1 0.74/0.88 0.86/1.51 0.88/0.81 0.81/0.92 0.34/1.09 0.85/0.15 0.97/0.63 0.89/0.63 0.98/0.36 0.68/0.18 0.81/0.20 0.86/0.73 MIROC6 r43i1p1f1 0.78/0.80 0.86/1.27 0.87/0.73 0.86/0.68 0.38/0.98 0.87/0.14 0.85/0.96 0.91/0.73 0.97/0.35 0.72/0.17 0.81/0.20 0.85/0.68 MIROC6 r44i1p1f1 0.69/0.98 0.88/1.57 0.84/0.80 0.84/0.83 0.09/1.32 0.87/0.17 0.89/0.93 0.91/0.81 0.97/0.48 0.72/0.19 0.82/0.21 0.84/0.81 MIROC6 r45i1p1f1 0.70/0.85 0.84/1.54 0.88/0.79 0.81/0.74 0.26/1.55 0.84/0.13 0.94/0.63 0.89/0.70 0.97/0.38 0.70/0.18 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.76 MIROC6 r46i1p1f1 0.74/0.77 0.88/1.34 0.84/0.74 0.88/0.59 0.39/1.34 0.85/0.16 0.76/1.20 0.88/0.72 0.98/0.36 0.73/0.16 0.81/0.20 0.84/0.74 MIROC6 r47i1p1f1 0.74/1.03 0.89/1.57 0.83/0.92 0.85/0.76 0.54/0.98 0.87/0.17 0.94/0.72 0.90/0.81 0.97/0.38 0.72/0.20 0.81/0.21 0.86/0.77 MIROC6 r48i1p1f1 0.75/0.95 0.86/1.50 0.85/0.91 0.66/0.86 0.60/0.78 0.86/0.19 0.90/0.79 0.90/0.68 0.95/0.49 0.71/0.19 0.82/0.21 0.83/0.75 MIROC6 r49i1p1f1 0.74/0.87 0.86/1.53 0.85/0.94 0.85/0.81 0.24/1.36 0.86/0.19 0.88/0.82 0.90/0.73 0.98/0.48 0.70/0.20 0.81/0.21 0.84/0.82 MIROC6 r4i1p1f1 0.75/0.84 0.84/1.46 0.86/0.80 0.87/0.77 0.54/1.22 0.84/0.20 0.86/0.93 0.91/0.79 0.97/0.40 0.69/0.20 0.81/0.21 0.84/0.79 MIROC6 r50i1p1f1 0.71/0.72 0.83/1.48 0.82/0.61 0.71/0.46 0.34/1.10 0.82/0.11 0.94/0.60 0.92/0.56 0.98/0.33 0.73/0.13 0.82/0.19 0.84/0.60 MIROC6 r5i1p1f1 0.75/0.62 0.84/1.38 0.80/0.64 0.77/0.41 0.30/1.01 0.85/0.12 0.96/0.57 0.91/0.61 0.98/0.35 0.73/0.14 0.81/0.19 0.85/0.58 MIROC6 r6i1p1f1 0.71/0.92 0.81/1.63 0.82/0.85 0.84/0.81 0.21/1.78 0.85/0.16 0.90/0.78 0.85/0.80 0.98/0.33 0.70/0.17 0.82/0.20 0.83/0.83 MIROC6 r7i1p1f1 0.76/0.76 0.88/1.40 0.81/0.76 0.81/0.66 0.32/1.14 0.85/0.16 0.92/0.76 0.92/0.61 0.97/0.37 0.72/0.16 0.82/0.20 0.84/0.69 MIROC6 r8i1p1f1 0.72/0.78 0.87/1.21 0.87/0.68 0.81/0.82 0.34/0.93 0.86/0.13 0.89/0.86 0.92/0.61 0.97/0.37 0.72/0.17 0.81/0.20 0.84/0.66 MIROC6 r9i1p1f1 0.69/1.03 0.83/1.64 0.84/0.98 0.81/0.81 0.39/1.14 0.86/0.14 0.88/0.90 0.92/0.65 0.98/0.35 0.70/0.18 0.81/0.20 0.84/0.78