Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.94/0.28 1.00/0.00 0.94/0.08 0.97/0.09 0.83/0.57 0.97/0.05 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.92/0.06 0.91/0.18 ----/0.17 MIROC6 r10i1p1f1 0.69/0.94 0.82/1.69 0.85/0.93 0.75/0.71 0.41/1.65 0.79/0.19 0.85/0.89 0.88/0.72 0.95/0.47 0.71/0.21 0.90/0.31 0.82/0.79 MIROC6 r11i1p1f1 0.66/0.95 0.77/1.94 0.87/0.71 0.73/0.64 0.38/1.24 0.82/0.13 0.87/0.88 0.83/0.75 0.95/0.47 0.72/0.15 0.91/0.26 0.81/0.69 MIROC6 r12i1p1f1 0.73/0.86 0.79/1.79 0.88/0.79 0.75/0.80 0.26/1.35 0.78/0.16 0.91/0.81 0.78/0.94 0.95/0.51 0.72/0.18 0.91/0.30 0.81/0.75 MIROC6 r13i1p1f1 0.75/0.80 0.83/1.72 0.83/0.85 0.78/0.39 0.16/1.69 0.82/0.16 0.78/1.12 0.93/0.78 0.96/0.50 0.73/0.18 0.91/0.31 0.82/0.74 MIROC6 r14i1p1f1 0.71/0.98 0.78/1.72 0.84/0.82 0.69/0.96 0.30/1.20 0.74/0.20 0.81/1.07 0.76/0.94 0.96/0.42 0.74/0.19 0.91/0.30 0.79/0.79 MIROC6 r15i1p1f1 0.70/0.87 0.89/1.26 0.82/0.79 0.77/0.64 0.21/1.51 0.77/0.18 0.90/0.90 0.91/0.73 0.95/0.47 0.69/0.19 0.90/0.30 0.83/0.73 MIROC6 r16i1p1f1 0.73/0.88 0.87/1.44 0.87/0.85 0.78/0.60 0.34/1.96 0.80/0.20 0.80/1.10 0.85/0.77 0.95/0.50 0.70/0.20 0.91/0.31 0.82/0.81 MIROC6 r17i1p1f1 0.66/1.07 0.85/1.59 0.87/0.84 0.77/0.88 0.30/1.73 0.84/0.14 0.87/0.90 0.90/0.70 0.93/0.59 0.71/0.20 0.91/0.30 0.82/0.80 MIROC6 r18i1p1f1 0.68/0.91 0.86/1.59 0.81/0.73 0.78/0.77 0.34/1.21 0.79/0.21 0.89/0.79 0.90/0.77 0.96/0.51 0.73/0.20 0.91/0.31 0.83/0.74 MIROC6 r19i1p1f1 0.66/1.00 0.83/1.76 0.82/0.93 0.81/0.77 0.35/1.57 0.78/0.22 0.77/1.08 0.87/0.87 0.94/0.49 0.70/0.23 0.91/0.33 0.80/0.85 MIROC6 r1i1p1f1 0.69/0.92 0.85/1.47 0.85/0.75 0.78/0.73 0.39/1.31 0.81/0.16 0.85/0.98 0.91/0.75 0.97/0.40 0.74/0.18 0.91/0.30 0.83/0.72 MIROC6 r20i1p1f1 0.73/0.93 0.87/1.37 0.88/0.80 0.81/0.57 0.41/1.38 0.78/0.18 0.87/0.85 0.92/0.67 0.95/0.42 0.70/0.20 0.91/0.31 0.84/0.72 MIROC6 r21i1p1f1 0.73/0.90 0.88/1.35 0.86/0.68 0.78/0.60 0.45/1.61 0.80/0.16 0.88/0.84 0.89/0.63 0.96/0.46 0.72/0.18 0.91/0.28 0.84/0.70 MIROC6 r22i1p1f1 0.67/0.93 0.84/1.55 0.88/0.77 0.81/0.75 0.36/1.26 0.79/0.13 0.95/0.64 0.88/0.63 0.96/0.40 0.71/0.16 0.91/0.26 0.84/0.67 MIROC6 r23i1p1f1 0.68/0.87 0.77/1.72 0.82/0.68 0.81/0.87 0.41/1.35 0.77/0.21 0.86/0.91 0.83/0.75 0.94/0.48 0.69/0.20 0.90/0.30 0.80/0.76 MIROC6 r24i1p1f1 0.66/0.91 0.75/1.77 0.84/0.93 0.74/0.56 0.02/2.06 0.81/0.17 0.82/0.99 0.82/0.83 0.95/0.43 0.73/0.18 0.91/0.28 0.79/0.80 MIROC6 r25i1p1f1 0.71/0.81 0.80/1.55 0.86/0.79 0.79/0.69 0.24/1.71 0.78/0.14 0.85/0.90 0.84/0.80 0.97/0.40 0.71/0.15 0.91/0.25 0.82/0.72 MIROC6 r26i1p1f1 0.68/1.00 0.78/1.97 0.84/0.83 0.77/0.76 0.34/1.26 0.79/0.19 0.83/0.99 0.89/0.89 0.97/0.34 0.71/0.19 0.90/0.30 0.82/0.77 MIROC6 r27i1p1f1 0.60/1.12 0.73/1.92 0.85/0.79 0.41/0.79 0.04/1.92 0.78/0.18 0.92/0.67 0.81/0.94 0.97/0.36 0.71/0.21 0.90/0.33 0.78/0.83 MIROC6 r28i1p1f1 0.66/1.05 0.82/1.74 0.87/0.93 0.78/0.81 0.40/1.44 0.80/0.18 0.77/1.13 0.88/0.78 0.96/0.50 0.69/0.20 0.91/0.31 0.82/0.81 MIROC6 r29i1p1f1 0.70/1.01 0.80/1.78 0.85/0.78 0.71/0.87 0.26/1.29 0.81/0.15 0.72/1.27 0.90/0.64 0.97/0.34 0.73/0.18 0.91/0.27 0.81/0.74 MIROC6 r2i1p1f1 0.70/0.82 0.89/1.19 0.84/0.83 0.85/0.43 0.19/1.24 0.75/0.16 0.85/0.93 0.78/0.93 0.96/0.40 0.73/0.19 0.91/0.29 0.82/0.68 MIROC6 r30i1p1f1 0.69/0.87 0.81/1.83 0.83/0.76 0.80/0.55 0.40/1.42 0.82/0.16 0.91/0.73 0.93/0.71 0.91/0.64 0.72/0.18 0.90/0.28 0.83/0.71 MIROC6 r31i1p1f1 0.67/0.94 0.80/1.75 0.84/0.69 0.64/0.52 0.36/1.25 0.79/0.15 0.91/0.75 0.88/0.85 0.96/0.42 0.69/0.16 0.91/0.27 0.81/0.68 MIROC6 r32i1p1f1 0.68/1.02 0.84/1.82 0.83/0.84 0.64/0.84 0.39/1.39 0.80/0.18 0.93/0.70 0.92/0.79 0.95/0.50 0.71/0.22 0.90/0.32 0.83/0.79 MIROC6 r33i1p1f1 0.73/0.98 0.80/1.69 0.87/0.94 0.84/0.83 0.43/1.43 0.80/0.18 0.85/0.92 0.93/0.54 0.91/0.60 0.70/0.22 0.91/0.33 0.83/0.79 MIROC6 r34i1p1f1 0.67/1.00 0.85/1.52 0.84/0.78 0.74/0.91 0.48/1.34 0.79/0.18 0.72/1.22 0.88/0.82 0.96/0.52 0.69/0.21 0.90/0.32 0.81/0.80 MIROC6 r35i1p1f1 0.67/0.88 0.83/1.51 0.83/0.71 0.77/0.70 0.13/1.40 0.79/0.16 0.90/0.76 0.89/0.77 0.97/0.44 0.71/0.19 0.90/0.30 0.82/0.71 MIROC6 r36i1p1f1 0.67/1.07 0.86/1.63 0.85/0.87 0.80/0.84 0.45/1.34 0.81/0.17 0.88/0.86 0.92/0.73 0.97/0.47 0.72/0.20 0.91/0.30 0.84/0.77 MIROC6 r37i1p1f1 0.72/1.16 0.85/1.82 0.88/0.95 0.82/0.97 0.40/1.31 0.76/0.18 0.90/0.76 0.89/0.81 0.96/0.44 0.70/0.22 0.91/0.31 0.84/0.81 MIROC6 r38i1p1f1 0.66/1.02 0.80/1.60 0.87/0.81 0.76/0.96 0.46/1.42 0.80/0.19 0.62/1.36 0.88/0.68 0.96/0.61 0.70/0.20 0.90/0.31 0.80/0.82 MIROC6 r39i1p1f1 0.71/0.73 0.88/1.29 0.66/0.81 0.80/0.46 0.37/1.53 0.76/0.14 0.89/0.78 0.91/0.66 0.96/0.57 0.68/0.17 0.91/0.26 0.82/0.67 MIROC6 r3i1p1f1 0.68/0.97 0.87/1.53 0.81/0.76 0.73/0.94 0.02/2.20 0.80/0.19 0.82/1.00 0.89/0.80 0.94/0.50 0.72/0.20 0.90/0.30 0.80/0.85 MIROC6 r40i1p1f1 0.65/0.90 0.76/1.69 0.84/0.60 0.71/0.67 0.36/1.20 0.80/0.12 0.93/0.72 0.91/0.57 0.96/0.50 0.69/0.15 0.90/0.25 0.83/0.64 MIROC6 r41i1p1f1 0.63/1.12 0.79/1.82 0.86/1.05 0.77/0.55 -0.16/2.65 0.80/0.14 0.85/0.91 0.86/0.69 0.97/0.54 0.70/0.16 0.91/0.25 0.80/0.86 MIROC6 r42i1p1f1 0.68/1.08 0.77/2.00 0.87/0.85 0.73/0.83 0.13/1.54 0.80/0.20 0.94/0.69 0.86/0.75 0.96/0.44 0.71/0.20 0.90/0.31 0.82/0.80 MIROC6 r43i1p1f1 0.73/0.96 0.81/1.67 0.87/0.87 0.84/0.88 -0.09/1.67 0.82/0.17 0.76/1.14 0.88/0.85 0.97/0.47 0.72/0.20 0.91/0.31 0.81/0.82 MIROC6 r44i1p1f1 0.64/1.12 0.85/1.72 0.86/0.87 0.73/0.87 -0.05/1.91 0.82/0.17 0.89/0.87 0.90/0.83 0.97/0.62 0.74/0.21 0.91/0.32 0.82/0.86 MIROC6 r45i1p1f1 0.66/0.92 0.86/1.63 0.86/0.82 0.77/0.79 0.36/1.59 0.74/0.17 0.90/0.76 0.90/0.68 0.96/0.57 0.69/0.20 0.91/0.31 0.83/0.77 MIROC6 r46i1p1f1 0.62/1.08 0.82/2.02 0.85/0.85 0.81/0.84 0.39/1.19 0.79/0.19 0.75/1.20 0.83/0.92 0.94/0.51 0.72/0.18 0.91/0.30 0.80/0.81 MIROC6 r47i1p1f1 0.69/1.02 0.87/1.48 0.86/0.87 0.82/0.62 0.20/1.59 0.80/0.19 0.91/0.81 0.92/0.79 0.96/0.40 0.70/0.22 0.90/0.33 0.84/0.78 MIROC6 r48i1p1f1 0.70/1.06 0.82/1.69 0.87/0.90 0.48/0.83 0.48/1.00 0.79/0.22 0.80/1.06 0.90/0.73 0.96/0.39 0.72/0.21 0.90/0.33 0.81/0.78 MIROC6 r49i1p1f1 0.70/1.05 0.86/2.04 0.87/0.98 0.78/0.99 0.20/1.71 0.81/0.21 0.84/0.95 0.92/0.76 0.95/0.54 0.73/0.23 0.90/0.34 0.82/0.89 MIROC6 r4i1p1f1 0.69/0.95 0.86/1.43 0.86/0.78 0.81/0.92 0.58/1.39 0.79/0.23 0.80/1.06 0.92/0.75 0.95/0.47 0.70/0.23 0.91/0.35 0.83/0.81 MIROC6 r50i1p1f1 0.56/0.86 0.79/1.82 0.76/0.64 0.44/0.71 0.49/1.14 0.78/0.12 0.88/0.86 0.94/0.53 0.95/0.47 0.73/0.12 0.90/0.22 0.80/0.63 MIROC6 r5i1p1f1 0.66/0.78 0.76/1.73 0.78/0.70 0.65/0.49 -0.15/2.05 0.73/0.17 0.92/0.70 0.86/0.72 0.98/0.44 0.72/0.16 0.90/0.26 0.79/0.72 MIROC6 r6i1p1f1 0.63/1.04 0.77/1.95 0.75/0.90 0.80/0.81 0.28/1.72 0.80/0.19 0.87/0.84 0.84/0.84 0.96/0.38 0.70/0.19 0.89/0.29 0.80/0.82 MIROC6 r7i1p1f1 0.70/0.94 0.81/1.60 0.79/0.69 0.59/0.62 0.07/1.48 0.77/0.19 0.86/0.87 0.83/0.82 0.98/0.31 0.70/0.18 0.91/0.28 0.80/0.72 MIROC6 r8i1p1f1 0.69/0.88 0.87/1.31 0.86/0.73 0.74/0.93 0.13/1.75 0.81/0.16 0.86/0.92 0.87/0.78 0.96/0.43 0.72/0.20 0.91/0.30 0.82/0.77 MIROC6 r9i1p1f1 0.66/1.14 0.80/1.90 0.87/1.18 0.70/0.85 0.36/1.77 0.80/0.15 0.85/0.94 0.91/0.76 0.97/0.54 0.70/0.19 0.91/0.30 0.82/0.86