Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Reference Dataset 1 vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ACCESS-ESM1-5 (10%) 0.47/0.61 0.45/1.19 0.68/0.42 0.64/0.44 0.31/0.37 0.15/0.11 0.84/0.68 0.86/0.43 0.97/0.40 0.60/0.14 0.87/0.22 0.75/0.55 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (Avg) 0.58/0.76 0.66/1.45 0.79/0.52 0.69/0.54 0.39/0.42 0.48/0.15 0.89/0.85 0.91/0.58 0.97/0.51 0.63/0.17 0.88/0.23 0.78/0.59 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (90%) 0.68/0.93 0.77/1.74 0.84/0.62 0.74/0.65 0.47/0.46 0.67/0.18 0.93/0.97 0.94/0.74 0.98/0.63 0.66/0.19 0.89/0.24 0.80/0.64 CanESM2 (10%) 0.45/0.92 0.58/1.49 0.81/0.45 0.73/0.52 0.34/0.35 0.16/0.17 0.82/0.79 0.82/0.75 0.95/0.41 0.67/0.14 0.84/0.26 0.75/0.65 CanESM2 (Avg) 0.50/1.09 0.65/1.80 0.84/0.53 0.79/0.61 0.44/0.40 0.42/0.20 0.86/0.99 0.86/0.94 0.96/0.50 0.69/0.15 0.85/0.26 0.77/0.71 CanESM2 (90%) 0.54/1.24 0.70/2.19 0.87/0.61 0.82/0.71 0.50/0.45 0.59/0.22 0.90/1.18 0.90/1.13 0.97/0.59 0.71/0.16 0.85/0.27 0.79/0.78 CanESM5 (10%) 0.31/0.95 0.42/1.29 0.70/0.43 0.68/0.34 0.29/0.37 0.19/0.23 0.86/0.68 0.79/0.75 0.95/0.42 0.60/0.18 0.82/0.26 0.72/0.66 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.41/1.23 0.62/1.55 0.77/0.58 0.76/0.42 0.38/0.40 0.31/0.26 0.90/0.82 0.84/0.99 0.96/0.48 0.63/0.21 0.83/0.27 0.74/0.72 CanESM5 (90%) 0.52/1.49 0.74/1.95 0.81/0.69 0.81/0.50 0.48/0.43 0.42/0.30 0.93/0.95 0.88/1.19 0.97/0.58 0.67/0.24 0.84/0.28 0.76/0.79 CESM1 (10%) 0.46/0.77 0.65/1.44 0.88/0.46 0.83/0.39 0.04/0.43 -0.01/0.14 0.84/0.70 0.86/0.56 0.92/0.46 0.69/0.11 0.86/0.22 0.77/0.59 CESM1 (Avg) 0.56/0.88 0.72/1.69 0.91/0.56 0.87/0.48 0.20/0.51 0.37/0.23 0.87/0.90 0.90/0.73 0.94/0.55 0.71/0.12 0.87/0.23 0.79/0.67 CESM1 (90%) 0.62/0.97 0.76/1.95 0.92/0.67 0.90/0.60 0.32/0.60 0.51/0.30 0.92/1.03 0.93/0.89 0.96/0.63 0.72/0.13 0.87/0.24 0.81/0.74 CESM2 (10%) 0.65/0.63 0.71/1.21 0.90/0.47 0.86/0.48 0.17/0.38 0.00/0.14 0.85/0.66 0.88/0.54 0.92/0.47 0.72/0.13 0.90/0.21 0.80/0.59 CESM2 (Avg) 0.70/0.73 0.79/1.50 0.93/0.63 0.88/0.62 0.28/0.45 0.22/0.25 0.91/0.89 0.93/0.73 0.94/0.55 0.73/0.15 0.91/0.24 0.82/0.68 CESM2 (90%) 0.75/0.83 0.84/1.81 0.94/0.79 0.91/0.78 0.38/0.53 0.41/0.39 0.94/1.10 0.96/0.95 0.96/0.64 0.75/0.17 0.91/0.26 0.84/0.78 CSIRO-Mk360 (10%) 0.37/0.70 0.40/1.36 0.40/0.63 0.46/0.51 0.17/0.43 -0.07/0.16 0.67/0.95 0.73/0.60 0.94/0.40 0.49/0.14 0.74/0.36 0.63/0.70 CSIRO-Mk360 (Avg) 0.47/0.84 0.58/1.62 0.51/0.74 0.55/0.61 0.32/0.51 0.30/0.28 0.79/1.13 0.82/0.77 0.96/0.47 0.52/0.15 0.75/0.37 0.66/0.76 CSIRO-Mk360 (90%) 0.55/0.94 0.71/1.84 0.59/0.86 0.63/0.70 0.41/0.58 0.56/0.37 0.86/1.32 0.88/0.93 0.97/0.53 0.54/0.17 0.77/0.39 0.68/0.80