Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Reference Dataset 1 vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ACCESS-ESM1-5 (10%) 0.52/0.58 0.50/1.15 0.71/0.41 0.58/0.46 0.21/0.82 0.62/0.09 0.86/0.58 0.87/0.43 0.97/0.37 0.59/0.15 0.87/0.22 0.78/0.60 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (Avg) 0.63/0.66 0.69/1.49 0.79/0.48 0.65/0.56 0.36/1.03 0.76/0.11 0.90/0.75 0.92/0.55 0.98/0.51 0.63/0.17 0.88/0.23 0.80/0.66 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (90%) 0.70/0.75 0.80/1.70 0.83/0.54 0.70/0.65 0.49/1.23 0.83/0.13 0.94/0.90 0.94/0.68 0.98/0.68 0.65/0.18 0.88/0.24 0.83/0.70 CanESM2 (10%) 0.45/0.84 0.65/1.45 0.80/0.44 0.64/0.55 0.11/0.84 0.74/0.10 0.85/0.71 0.83/0.70 0.96/0.35 0.65/0.12 0.85/0.23 0.78/0.68 CanESM2 (Avg) 0.51/0.94 0.71/1.72 0.83/0.51 0.72/0.66 0.30/1.09 0.78/0.11 0.89/0.91 0.88/0.89 0.97/0.45 0.68/0.12 0.85/0.23 0.79/0.74 CanESM2 (90%) 0.56/1.02 0.76/1.96 0.86/0.60 0.76/0.75 0.45/1.35 0.80/0.12 0.92/1.08 0.91/1.07 0.98/0.55 0.70/0.13 0.86/0.24 0.81/0.81 CanESM5 (10%) 0.53/0.68 0.66/1.27 0.70/0.45 0.63/0.37 0.10/0.85 0.70/0.09 0.87/0.65 0.83/0.68 0.96/0.33 0.61/0.13 0.82/0.24 0.76/0.60 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.58/0.75 0.73/1.48 0.75/0.50 0.69/0.42 0.30/1.00 0.79/0.10 0.91/0.76 0.87/0.88 0.97/0.38 0.65/0.13 0.83/0.24 0.79/0.65 CanESM5 (90%) 0.63/0.82 0.79/1.76 0.79/0.59 0.75/0.48 0.44/1.21 0.84/0.11 0.93/0.91 0.92/1.04 0.98/0.45 0.67/0.14 0.84/0.25 0.80/0.70 CESM1 (10%) 0.47/0.77 0.69/1.40 0.84/0.43 0.81/0.32 0.04/0.88 0.76/0.09 0.85/0.60 0.88/0.56 0.93/0.36 0.71/0.10 0.87/0.20 0.81/0.61 CESM1 (Avg) 0.54/0.87 0.75/1.61 0.89/0.54 0.87/0.42 0.30/1.10 0.84/0.10 0.90/0.80 0.91/0.70 0.95/0.44 0.73/0.12 0.87/0.21 0.83/0.67 CESM1 (90%) 0.59/0.96 0.81/1.80 0.92/0.63 0.90/0.54 0.46/1.29 0.88/0.11 0.93/0.95 0.93/0.83 0.97/0.49 0.75/0.13 0.88/0.21 0.84/0.74 CESM2 (10%) 0.65/0.61 0.74/1.19 0.88/0.49 0.84/0.47 0.09/0.80 0.81/0.09 0.87/0.60 0.91/0.52 0.93/0.37 0.78/0.12 0.91/0.22 0.85/0.61 CESM2 (Avg) 0.71/0.72 0.82/1.41 0.91/0.63 0.87/0.60 0.30/1.12 0.86/0.10 0.92/0.84 0.94/0.69 0.95/0.45 0.79/0.14 0.91/0.24 0.86/0.70 CESM2 (90%) 0.76/0.83 0.87/1.74 0.93/0.76 0.90/0.74 0.48/1.48 0.89/0.12 0.95/1.04 0.96/0.89 0.97/0.54 0.81/0.17 0.91/0.27 0.87/0.78 CSIRO-Mk360 (10%) 0.38/0.69 0.56/1.36 0.40/0.59 0.40/0.55 0.13/0.79 0.65/0.11 0.66/0.88 0.73/0.65 0.94/0.35 0.51/0.14 0.73/0.35 0.66/0.71 CSIRO-Mk360 (Avg) 0.49/0.79 0.67/1.55 0.50/0.73 0.48/0.62 0.28/1.04 0.72/0.12 0.78/1.09 0.80/0.79 0.96/0.41 0.54/0.16 0.74/0.37 0.69/0.77 CSIRO-Mk360 (90%) 0.59/0.91 0.74/1.74 0.58/0.83 0.56/0.71 0.39/1.27 0.78/0.13 0.86/1.28 0.86/0.94 0.97/0.48 0.56/0.17 0.76/0.38 0.71/0.82