Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Reference Dataset 1 vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- E3SMv1 (10%) 0.51/0.58 0.37/1.15 0.84/0.39 0.75/0.36 0.17/0.41 -0.09/0.16 0.88/0.44 0.87/0.38 0.97/0.57 0.51/0.19 0.84/0.22 0.76/0.56 E3SMv1 (Avg) 0.65/0.71 0.73/1.39 0.88/0.50 0.82/0.47 0.31/0.44 0.15/0.24 0.92/0.70 0.92/0.58 0.98/0.70 0.57/0.21 0.86/0.24 0.80/0.63 E3SMv1 (90%) 0.74/0.83 0.80/1.73 0.91/0.61 0.85/0.58 0.41/0.47 0.33/0.42 0.96/0.83 0.96/0.70 0.98/0.83 0.60/0.22 0.87/0.25 0.82/0.69 E3SMv2 (10%) 0.63/0.56 0.68/1.05 0.89/0.30 0.81/0.35 0.22/0.46 -0.00/0.17 0.85/0.69 0.88/0.46 0.97/0.46 0.51/0.19 0.88/0.20 0.80/0.56 E3SMv2 (Avg) 0.69/0.70 0.77/1.33 0.93/0.48 0.88/0.49 0.29/0.49 0.16/0.24 0.89/0.83 0.92/0.59 0.98/0.63 0.55/0.20 0.89/0.21 0.82/0.63 E3SMv2 (90%) 0.73/0.82 0.86/1.53 0.95/0.60 0.92/0.62 0.36/0.53 0.35/0.35 0.92/0.92 0.95/0.79 0.98/0.78 0.58/0.21 0.90/0.23 0.83/0.71 GFDL-CM3 (10%) 0.46/0.82 -0.53/1.51 0.84/0.49 0.76/0.58 0.43/0.30 0.02/0.17 0.85/0.59 0.85/0.55 0.97/0.56 0.48/0.15 0.79/0.27 0.73/0.66 GFDL-CM3 (Avg) 0.55/0.97 0.16/2.10 0.87/0.68 0.79/0.71 0.54/0.34 0.37/0.20 0.91/0.75 0.90/0.70 0.98/0.77 0.54/0.17 0.80/0.28 0.77/0.73 GFDL-CM3 (90%) 0.61/1.10 0.73/2.57 0.89/0.84 0.82/0.80 0.61/0.38 0.51/0.22 0.93/0.86 0.92/0.82 0.98/0.93 0.59/0.19 0.81/0.28 0.80/0.75 GFDL-ESM2M_v2 (10%) 0.55/0.89 0.63/1.51 0.79/0.64 0.62/0.59 0.27/0.41 0.05/0.15 0.85/0.60 0.76/0.59 0.96/0.45 0.58/0.16 0.81/0.32 0.75/0.73 GFDL-ESM2M_v2 (Avg) 0.62/1.00 0.72/1.87 0.84/0.88 0.73/0.83 0.42/0.53 0.25/0.28 0.90/0.80 0.86/0.86 0.97/0.63 0.61/0.18 0.82/0.35 0.77/0.84 GFDL-ESM2M_v2 (90%) 0.66/1.10 0.77/2.33 0.87/1.12 0.80/1.08 0.51/0.66 0.45/0.35 0.93/0.93 0.92/1.25 0.97/0.79 0.64/0.20 0.83/0.37 0.79/0.92 GFDL-SPEAR (10%) 0.62/0.51 0.63/1.06 0.87/0.31 0.86/0.28 0.32/0.36 -0.06/0.15 0.84/0.59 0.88/0.41 0.97/0.31 0.65/0.12 0.86/0.22 0.80/0.47 GFDL-SPEAR (Avg) 0.70/0.64 0.76/1.28 0.90/0.41 0.89/0.35 0.40/0.42 0.30/0.21 0.91/0.75 0.93/0.50 0.98/0.40 0.69/0.14 0.87/0.23 0.83/0.53 GFDL-SPEAR (90%) 0.76/0.75 0.84/1.51 0.92/0.50 0.91/0.44 0.45/0.49 0.44/0.38 0.94/0.91 0.96/0.59 0.98/0.47 0.72/0.15 0.88/0.23 0.85/0.60 IPSL-CM6A (10%) 0.62/0.62 0.59/1.42 0.76/0.40 0.74/0.46 0.28/0.38 0.01/0.14 0.90/0.56 0.71/0.78 0.98/0.53 0.65/0.14 0.81/0.27 0.77/0.62 IPSL-CM6A (Avg) 0.66/0.69 0.65/1.56 0.83/0.53 0.78/0.52 0.43/0.44 0.24/0.22 0.93/0.70 0.80/1.05 0.98/0.69 0.67/0.15 0.82/0.28 0.78/0.66 IPSL-CM6A (90%) 0.69/0.76 0.68/1.59 0.86/0.64 0.79/0.56 0.45/0.50 0.33/0.34 0.95/0.78 0.84/1.15 0.98/0.82 0.68/0.17 0.82/0.28 0.79/0.68