Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Reference Dataset 1 vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- E3SMv1 (10%) 0.61/0.56 0.58/1.15 0.80/0.39 0.65/0.42 -0.06/0.79 0.49/0.10 0.86/0.45 0.86/0.37 0.97/0.49 0.54/0.17 0.84/0.21 0.79/0.60 E3SMv1 (Avg) 0.67/0.66 0.75/1.41 0.87/0.46 0.74/0.54 0.24/1.01 0.68/0.13 0.92/0.67 0.92/0.57 0.98/0.67 0.62/0.17 0.86/0.22 0.82/0.67 E3SMv1 (90%) 0.72/0.72 0.83/1.66 0.90/0.58 0.78/0.68 0.42/1.29 0.79/0.15 0.95/0.80 0.96/0.68 0.98/0.84 0.64/0.18 0.86/0.23 0.84/0.71 E3SMv2 (10%) 0.59/0.58 0.64/1.04 0.89/0.31 0.75/0.39 0.08/0.85 0.58/0.09 0.84/0.62 0.87/0.48 0.97/0.49 0.55/0.17 0.88/0.18 0.82/0.61 E3SMv2 (Avg) 0.68/0.71 0.79/1.35 0.93/0.47 0.81/0.55 0.25/1.05 0.74/0.12 0.89/0.78 0.92/0.58 0.98/0.67 0.60/0.18 0.89/0.19 0.84/0.67 E3SMv2 (90%) 0.74/0.79 0.86/1.64 0.94/0.68 0.87/0.69 0.41/1.28 0.83/0.14 0.93/0.90 0.94/0.72 0.98/0.80 0.64/0.19 0.90/0.20 0.85/0.74 GFDL-CM3 (10%) 0.54/0.72 -0.48/1.43 0.84/0.52 0.70/0.63 0.09/0.75 0.67/0.10 0.87/0.58 0.86/0.55 0.97/0.48 0.40/0.14 0.79/0.25 0.73/0.72 GFDL-CM3 (Avg) 0.61/0.78 0.19/2.13 0.87/0.67 0.74/0.78 0.29/1.01 0.74/0.11 0.91/0.70 0.91/0.66 0.98/0.66 0.48/0.15 0.80/0.25 0.77/0.77 GFDL-CM3 (90%) 0.66/0.83 0.78/2.75 0.88/0.83 0.76/0.88 0.43/1.21 0.79/0.12 0.93/0.82 0.93/0.83 0.98/0.79 0.54/0.17 0.81/0.26 0.80/0.79 GFDL-ESM2M_v2 (10%) 0.54/0.86 0.65/1.46 0.79/0.57 0.61/0.56 0.07/1.01 0.68/0.11 0.87/0.55 0.77/0.57 0.97/0.40 0.62/0.16 0.82/0.30 0.78/0.75 GFDL-ESM2M_v2 (Avg) 0.62/0.95 0.76/1.77 0.82/0.86 0.73/0.77 0.23/1.26 0.75/0.12 0.92/0.71 0.88/0.80 0.98/0.60 0.65/0.18 0.83/0.34 0.80/0.85 GFDL-ESM2M_v2 (90%) 0.65/1.05 0.81/1.98 0.86/1.07 0.77/1.11 0.38/1.60 0.79/0.13 0.94/0.85 0.93/1.08 0.98/0.82 0.68/0.20 0.84/0.37 0.82/0.96 GFDL-SPEAR (10%) 0.66/0.53 0.73/1.08 0.85/0.33 0.78/0.30 0.08/0.85 0.62/0.08 0.85/0.54 0.86/0.45 0.97/0.29 0.69/0.11 0.86/0.20 0.81/0.54 GFDL-SPEAR (Avg) 0.72/0.60 0.80/1.26 0.89/0.40 0.86/0.37 0.23/1.15 0.78/0.10 0.91/0.71 0.92/0.55 0.98/0.38 0.73/0.11 0.87/0.21 0.84/0.59 GFDL-SPEAR (90%) 0.76/0.67 0.85/1.41 0.91/0.48 0.89/0.44 0.37/1.35 0.84/0.12 0.94/0.87 0.94/0.66 0.98/0.49 0.75/0.12 0.88/0.22 0.86/0.63 IPSL-CM6A (10%) 0.59/0.63 0.59/1.41 0.77/0.43 0.61/0.48 0.20/0.78 0.77/0.09 0.90/0.51 0.77/0.77 0.97/0.42 0.68/0.13 0.81/0.26 0.79/0.63 IPSL-CM6A (Avg) 0.62/0.70 0.67/1.58 0.81/0.48 0.69/0.53 0.33/0.90 0.80/0.10 0.93/0.63 0.82/0.91 0.97/0.57 0.70/0.13 0.82/0.26 0.80/0.66 IPSL-CM6A (90%) 0.62/0.71 0.71/1.68 0.84/0.51 0.72/0.58 0.38/0.95 0.83/0.10 0.95/0.69 0.85/1.01 0.98/0.67 0.71/0.14 0.82/0.27 0.80/0.67