Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Reference Dataset 1 vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- MPI-GE (10%) 0.60/0.58 0.66/1.18 0.59/0.54 0.68/0.33 0.08/0.86 0.64/0.11 0.90/0.50 0.83/0.56 0.96/0.38 0.57/0.17 0.76/0.24 0.77/0.64 MPI-GE (Avg) 0.67/0.67 0.76/1.38 0.69/0.67 0.76/0.41 0.25/1.10 0.72/0.12 0.93/0.66 0.89/0.74 0.97/0.50 0.62/0.18 0.79/0.26 0.79/0.69 MPI-GE (90%) 0.74/0.76 0.83/1.57 0.76/0.82 0.81/0.48 0.38/1.42 0.79/0.14 0.95/0.79 0.92/0.95 0.98/0.64 0.66/0.19 0.82/0.28 0.81/0.74 MPI-GE-CMIP6 (10%) 0.64/0.55 0.75/1.00 0.66/0.44 0.76/0.33 0.11/0.82 0.64/0.11 0.88/0.61 0.85/0.52 0.97/0.40 0.60/0.16 0.81/0.24 0.79/0.60 MPI-GE-CMIP6 (Avg) 0.71/0.64 0.83/1.20 0.75/0.58 0.81/0.41 0.27/1.01 0.73/0.12 0.92/0.73 0.90/0.73 0.98/0.54 0.65/0.17 0.83/0.25 0.82/0.66 MPI-GE-CMIP6 (90%) 0.75/0.73 0.88/1.45 0.80/0.69 0.85/0.46 0.39/1.13 0.78/0.14 0.93/0.85 0.94/0.93 0.98/0.70 0.68/0.18 0.84/0.26 0.84/0.71 MIROC6 (10%) 0.62/0.76 0.81/1.18 0.75/0.67 0.71/0.57 0.12/0.87 0.80/0.12 0.83/0.53 0.82/0.62 0.95/0.27 0.69/0.14 0.90/0.20 0.82/0.67 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.68/0.86 0.86/1.41 0.83/0.82 0.77/0.73 0.27/1.07 0.84/0.15 0.92/0.72 0.89/0.72 0.97/0.38 0.71/0.17 0.90/0.22 0.84/0.77 MIROC6 (90%) 0.72/1.01 0.89/1.62 0.86/0.91 0.81/0.90 0.38/1.30 0.86/0.17 0.96/0.91 0.91/0.82 0.98/0.48 0.72/0.19 0.91/0.25 0.85/0.85 MIROC-ES2L (10%) 0.62/0.66 0.71/1.25 0.80/0.62 0.71/0.56 0.08/0.92 0.70/0.13 0.74/0.79 0.64/0.71 0.90/0.49 0.65/0.16 0.81/0.24 0.73/0.74 MIROC-ES2L (Avg) 0.68/0.76 0.79/1.39 0.83/0.76 0.80/0.68 0.30/1.13 0.75/0.15 0.82/0.96 0.79/0.80 0.92/0.58 0.68/0.18 0.82/0.25 0.77/0.79 MIROC-ES2L (90%) 0.70/0.81 0.84/1.53 0.84/0.85 0.84/0.76 0.42/1.26 0.78/0.16 0.87/1.09 0.84/0.92 0.93/0.62 0.69/0.19 0.84/0.26 0.79/0.88 EC-Earth3 (10%) 0.46/0.61 0.73/1.00 0.79/0.31 0.74/0.31 0.28/0.72 0.39/0.10 0.85/0.53 0.89/0.43 0.96/0.24 0.44/0.15 0.85/0.22 0.79/0.54 EC-Earth3 (Avg) 0.54/0.71 0.81/1.21 0.86/0.42 0.81/0.36 0.41/0.80 0.67/0.13 0.93/0.65 0.92/0.62 0.98/0.31 0.50/0.19 0.86/0.23 0.82/0.59 EC-Earth3 (90%) 0.64/0.76 0.83/1.31 0.88/0.50 0.84/0.39 0.48/0.88 0.78/0.13 0.95/0.77 0.93/0.76 0.99/0.39 0.55/0.20 0.86/0.24 0.83/0.61