Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Reference Dataset 1 vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV LP PDV NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- MPI-GE (10%) 0.55/0.59 0.60/1.21 0.56/0.55 0.65/0.35 0.09/0.87 0.69/0.10 0.86/0.62 0.85/0.54 0.95/0.34 0.55/0.15 0.77/0.24 0.75/0.64 MPI-GE (Avg) 0.64/0.69 0.73/1.47 0.67/0.67 0.73/0.44 0.23/1.10 0.75/0.12 0.91/0.81 0.90/0.81 0.96/0.41 0.60/0.16 0.80/0.26 0.78/0.70 MPI-GE (90%) 0.70/0.79 0.82/1.73 0.76/0.83 0.79/0.54 0.35/1.37 0.80/0.13 0.94/0.99 0.94/1.05 0.97/0.48 0.63/0.18 0.83/0.27 0.80/0.77 MPI-GE-CMIP6 (10%) 0.60/0.57 0.74/0.98 0.65/0.50 0.71/0.33 0.05/0.80 0.71/0.10 0.88/0.58 0.89/0.61 0.94/0.36 0.62/0.14 0.84/0.23 0.79/0.60 MPI-GE-CMIP6 (Avg) 0.69/0.67 0.83/1.21 0.74/0.61 0.81/0.42 0.20/1.09 0.77/0.11 0.91/0.79 0.93/0.76 0.96/0.45 0.65/0.16 0.85/0.24 0.81/0.67 MPI-GE-CMIP6 (90%) 0.74/0.78 0.87/1.42 0.79/0.68 0.86/0.55 0.32/1.38 0.82/0.12 0.95/0.92 0.95/0.93 0.97/0.50 0.69/0.17 0.86/0.25 0.83/0.72 MIROC6 (10%) 0.59/0.81 0.79/1.18 0.80/0.77 0.76/0.62 0.17/0.77 0.80/0.13 0.80/0.64 0.86/0.62 0.95/0.26 0.67/0.16 0.87/0.25 0.81/0.72 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.65/0.90 0.84/1.37 0.83/0.85 0.79/0.72 0.30/0.98 0.83/0.15 0.89/0.82 0.90/0.74 0.97/0.35 0.69/0.18 0.88/0.27 0.83/0.78 MIROC6 (90%) 0.70/0.98 0.87/1.55 0.85/0.97 0.81/0.82 0.44/1.20 0.86/0.18 0.94/1.05 0.92/0.86 0.98/0.45 0.70/0.20 0.88/0.29 0.85/0.84 MIROC-ES2L (10%) 0.60/0.72 0.70/1.33 0.71/0.86 0.69/0.68 0.13/0.88 0.66/0.14 0.62/0.91 0.75/0.63 0.92/0.44 0.66/0.18 0.75/0.30 0.72/0.79 MIROC-ES2L (Avg) 0.64/0.83 0.75/1.46 0.76/0.97 0.74/0.85 0.25/1.02 0.72/0.19 0.75/1.11 0.82/0.76 0.94/0.52 0.67/0.21 0.76/0.31 0.74/0.88 MIROC-ES2L (90%) 0.66/0.86 0.78/1.63 0.79/1.07 0.78/1.03 0.35/1.13 0.74/0.21 0.84/1.28 0.84/0.83 0.94/0.58 0.68/0.23 0.76/0.32 0.76/0.92 EC-Earth3 (10%) 0.46/0.71 0.62/1.37 0.80/0.54 0.70/0.48 0.32/0.71 0.76/0.09 0.83/0.75 0.91/0.48 0.96/0.34 0.51/0.16 0.85/0.22 0.79/0.61 EC-Earth3 (Avg) 0.52/0.85 0.72/1.57 0.82/0.77 0.77/0.59 0.39/0.79 0.82/0.10 0.87/0.98 0.94/0.65 0.97/0.38 0.55/0.19 0.86/0.24 0.80/0.71 EC-Earth3 (90%) 0.56/0.94 0.76/1.64 0.84/0.91 0.80/0.73 0.41/0.84 0.85/0.11 0.89/1.03 0.94/0.79 0.97/0.43 0.57/0.20 0.86/0.26 0.82/0.74