Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ACCESS-ESM1-5 (10%) 0.55/0.59 0.56/1.26 0.72/0.40 0.60/0.46 0.12/0.91 0.70/0.10 0.84/0.68 0.86/0.43 0.97/0.40 0.62/0.14 0.83/0.17 0.76/0.58 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (Avg) 0.62/0.67 0.70/1.47 0.79/0.47 0.66/0.54 0.31/1.23 0.78/0.11 0.89/0.85 0.91/0.58 0.97/0.51 0.68/0.16 0.83/0.17 0.79/0.65 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (90%) 0.68/0.75 0.78/1.68 0.82/0.54 0.71/0.65 0.45/1.53 0.83/0.12 0.93/0.97 0.94/0.74 0.98/0.62 0.70/0.17 0.84/0.18 0.81/0.70 CanESM2 (10%) 0.46/0.84 0.63/1.46 0.81/0.44 0.67/0.53 0.07/0.87 0.79/0.10 0.81/0.79 0.82/0.75 0.95/0.41 0.68/0.12 0.67/0.24 0.76/0.68 CanESM2 (Avg) 0.52/0.95 0.70/1.75 0.83/0.52 0.73/0.64 0.29/1.22 0.82/0.10 0.86/0.99 0.86/0.94 0.96/0.50 0.70/0.13 0.68/0.24 0.77/0.75 CanESM2 (90%) 0.57/1.09 0.76/2.06 0.85/0.59 0.78/0.74 0.46/1.57 0.83/0.11 0.90/1.18 0.90/1.13 0.97/0.59 0.72/0.13 0.70/0.24 0.79/0.80 CanESM5 (10%) 0.47/0.72 0.62/1.22 0.70/0.42 0.61/0.37 0.04/0.92 0.74/0.10 0.86/0.68 0.78/0.75 0.95/0.42 0.63/0.13 0.75/0.21 0.75/0.62 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.55/0.80 0.72/1.49 0.75/0.47 0.71/0.42 0.29/1.21 0.79/0.11 0.90/0.82 0.84/0.99 0.96/0.48 0.66/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.77/0.68 CanESM5 (90%) 0.63/0.94 0.80/1.69 0.78/0.51 0.78/0.50 0.46/1.54 0.83/0.12 0.93/0.95 0.88/1.19 0.97/0.58 0.71/0.16 0.77/0.22 0.79/0.74 CESM1 (10%) 0.47/0.75 0.67/1.39 0.87/0.41 0.84/0.35 0.05/0.94 0.82/0.09 0.84/0.71 0.86/0.56 0.92/0.46 0.72/0.10 0.76/0.21 0.80/0.62 CESM1 (Avg) 0.55/0.87 0.75/1.63 0.90/0.55 0.87/0.44 0.29/1.21 0.86/0.10 0.87/0.90 0.90/0.73 0.94/0.55 0.74/0.12 0.77/0.21 0.81/0.68 CESM1 (90%) 0.61/0.97 0.81/1.97 0.92/0.69 0.90/0.54 0.44/1.48 0.88/0.11 0.92/1.03 0.93/0.90 0.96/0.63 0.75/0.13 0.78/0.21 0.83/0.74 CESM2 (10%) 0.65/0.63 0.72/1.23 0.89/0.48 0.85/0.48 0.11/0.94 0.85/0.09 0.85/0.66 0.88/0.54 0.92/0.47 0.77/0.12 0.83/0.19 0.83/0.62 CESM2 (Avg) 0.71/0.73 0.81/1.46 0.91/0.65 0.88/0.60 0.32/1.27 0.88/0.10 0.90/0.89 0.93/0.74 0.94/0.55 0.79/0.14 0.84/0.20 0.85/0.71 CESM2 (90%) 0.75/0.83 0.87/1.72 0.93/0.82 0.90/0.74 0.48/1.79 0.89/0.12 0.94/1.10 0.96/0.95 0.96/0.64 0.81/0.17 0.85/0.21 0.86/0.80 CSIRO-Mk360 (10%) 0.37/0.72 0.53/1.35 0.38/0.57 0.41/0.55 0.20/0.80 0.61/0.12 0.67/0.95 0.73/0.60 0.94/0.40 0.51/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.66/0.69 CSIRO-Mk360 (Avg) 0.48/0.83 0.66/1.57 0.49/0.72 0.50/0.63 0.38/1.12 0.69/0.14 0.79/1.13 0.82/0.77 0.96/0.47 0.55/0.16 0.77/0.22 0.70/0.76 CSIRO-Mk360 (90%) 0.56/0.92 0.74/1.82 0.60/0.85 0.58/0.77 0.51/1.47 0.75/0.15 0.86/1.32 0.88/0.93 0.97/0.53 0.57/0.18 0.78/0.23 0.72/0.82