Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- ACCESS-ESM1-5 (10%) 0.52/0.68 0.55/1.34 0.84/0.38 0.70/0.53 0.04/0.93 0.71/0.09 0.84/0.67 0.87/0.46 0.92/0.43 0.59/0.14 0.82/0.19 0.76/0.61 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (Avg) 0.58/0.77 0.68/1.60 0.87/0.49 0.75/0.62 0.25/1.21 0.79/0.11 0.90/0.80 0.92/0.58 0.94/0.56 0.63/0.16 0.82/0.19 0.79/0.68 ACCESS-ESM1-5 (90%) 0.64/0.84 0.75/1.82 0.89/0.62 0.79/0.76 0.43/1.47 0.84/0.12 0.93/0.93 0.95/0.73 0.96/0.65 0.66/0.18 0.83/0.20 0.81/0.74 CanESM2 (10%) 0.41/0.80 0.52/1.66 0.79/0.38 0.63/0.42 0.15/0.84 0.79/0.10 0.79/0.83 0.85/0.73 0.89/0.61 0.59/0.12 0.60/0.25 0.71/0.67 CanESM2 (Avg) 0.46/0.91 0.60/1.98 0.82/0.42 0.71/0.53 0.36/1.06 0.81/0.10 0.85/1.01 0.89/0.91 0.92/0.69 0.62/0.13 0.62/0.25 0.74/0.72 CanESM2 (90%) 0.54/1.01 0.67/2.25 0.84/0.47 0.78/0.63 0.50/1.27 0.83/0.11 0.90/1.19 0.92/1.09 0.93/0.77 0.65/0.13 0.63/0.26 0.76/0.77 CanESM5 (10%) 0.49/0.71 0.57/1.46 0.74/0.37 0.75/0.32 0.07/0.89 0.77/0.10 0.81/0.69 0.82/0.68 0.85/0.64 0.51/0.14 0.74/0.25 0.72/0.64 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.56/0.81 0.67/1.68 0.80/0.43 0.80/0.38 0.31/1.11 0.80/0.11 0.88/0.92 0.87/0.97 0.89/0.75 0.55/0.15 0.74/0.26 0.75/0.69 CanESM5 (90%) 0.60/0.93 0.73/1.92 0.84/0.51 0.84/0.42 0.45/1.43 0.82/0.11 0.93/1.19 0.91/1.21 0.91/0.86 0.59/0.15 0.75/0.27 0.77/0.77 CESM1 (10%) 0.47/0.82 0.60/1.70 0.88/0.43 0.77/0.36 0.03/0.87 0.80/0.10 0.77/0.93 0.86/0.77 0.87/0.67 0.69/0.11 0.72/0.21 0.77/0.69 CESM1 (Avg) 0.52/0.95 0.69/1.98 0.91/0.57 0.86/0.48 0.25/1.14 0.84/0.11 0.83/1.11 0.89/0.97 0.91/0.78 0.71/0.13 0.73/0.22 0.79/0.76 CESM1 (90%) 0.56/1.08 0.74/2.31 0.93/0.74 0.90/0.57 0.47/1.48 0.86/0.13 0.88/1.31 0.91/1.14 0.92/0.86 0.72/0.15 0.74/0.23 0.80/0.85 CESM2 (10%) 0.60/0.69 0.65/1.54 0.90/0.52 0.78/0.56 0.18/0.78 0.79/0.09 0.81/0.79 0.87/0.67 0.86/0.60 0.77/0.11 0.80/0.23 0.80/0.68 CESM2 (Avg) 0.66/0.77 0.73/1.77 0.92/0.66 0.84/0.66 0.37/1.02 0.86/0.10 0.88/0.99 0.91/0.87 0.90/0.73 0.78/0.12 0.81/0.25 0.82/0.73 CESM2 (90%) 0.71/0.84 0.79/1.99 0.93/0.80 0.87/0.75 0.54/1.31 0.89/0.11 0.92/1.19 0.94/1.06 0.93/0.85 0.80/0.14 0.81/0.27 0.84/0.78 CSIRO-Mk360 (10%) 0.36/0.68 0.34/1.42 0.51/0.56 0.55/0.49 0.21/0.86 0.55/0.12 0.77/0.83 0.68/0.53 0.87/0.58 0.50/0.16 0.77/0.21 0.65/0.68 CSIRO-Mk360 (Avg) 0.52/0.80 0.57/1.71 0.60/0.69 0.62/0.61 0.36/1.09 0.67/0.14 0.85/1.01 0.84/0.70 0.92/0.70 0.53/0.17 0.78/0.22 0.70/0.75 CSIRO-Mk360 (90%) 0.60/0.94 0.71/1.97 0.67/0.80 0.67/0.73 0.50/1.27 0.75/0.16 0.90/1.15 0.91/0.94 0.94/0.82 0.55/0.19 0.79/0.22 0.73/0.80