Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- GFDL-CM3 (10%) 0.51/0.72 -0.63/1.49 0.82/0.55 0.72/0.53 0.11/0.87 0.78/0.10 0.45/0.69 0.89/0.72 0.93/0.52 0.48/0.13 0.73/0.21 0.69/0.67 GFDL-CM3 (Avg) 0.58/0.84 0.12/2.31 0.85/0.79 0.77/0.81 0.36/1.05 0.81/0.10 0.85/1.04 0.91/0.86 0.95/0.65 0.53/0.13 0.74/0.21 0.75/0.80 GFDL-CM3 (90%) 0.62/0.93 0.78/3.03 0.87/0.97 0.80/1.05 0.50/1.22 0.83/0.11 0.90/1.19 0.93/1.06 0.96/0.70 0.57/0.14 0.75/0.21 0.78/0.89 GFDL-ESM2M_v2 (10%) 0.52/0.80 0.67/1.40 0.81/0.42 0.71/0.42 0.09/0.92 0.71/0.10 0.87/0.71 0.85/0.58 0.94/0.43 0.62/0.12 0.74/0.26 0.78/0.64 GFDL-ESM2M_v2 (Avg) 0.61/0.88 0.76/1.67 0.85/0.62 0.77/0.57 0.33/1.18 0.77/0.11 0.90/0.85 0.91/0.81 0.95/0.49 0.66/0.13 0.75/0.28 0.79/0.73 GFDL-ESM2M_v2 (90%) 0.66/1.01 0.82/1.95 0.88/0.87 0.81/0.70 0.51/1.41 0.82/0.12 0.92/1.03 0.93/1.01 0.97/0.57 0.68/0.15 0.75/0.30 0.81/0.82 GFDL-SPEAR (10%) 0.62/0.63 0.79/0.96 0.86/0.44 0.81/0.41 0.16/0.90 0.72/0.09 0.81/0.63 0.84/0.45 0.96/0.37 0.70/0.11 0.86/0.17 0.82/0.58 GFDL-SPEAR (Avg) 0.69/0.71 0.85/1.15 0.89/0.64 0.85/0.51 0.34/1.19 0.80/0.11 0.90/0.80 0.92/0.61 0.97/0.43 0.73/0.11 0.86/0.17 0.85/0.64 GFDL-SPEAR (90%) 0.74/0.78 0.89/1.33 0.91/0.81 0.88/0.63 0.48/1.49 0.86/0.12 0.94/1.03 0.96/0.77 0.98/0.49 0.75/0.12 0.87/0.18 0.86/0.70 GISS-E2-G (10%) 0.42/0.96 0.44/1.94 0.71/0.57 0.54/0.67 0.27/0.79 0.55/0.11 0.86/0.74 0.71/0.87 0.88/0.50 0.69/0.15 0.66/0.24 0.69/0.79 GISS-E2-G (Avg) 0.47/1.06 0.58/2.10 0.78/0.76 0.63/0.80 0.45/1.06 0.75/0.13 0.88/0.90 0.77/1.31 0.92/0.62 0.71/0.17 0.70/0.27 0.73/0.87 GISS-E2-G (90%) 0.51/1.10 0.66/2.31 0.81/0.89 0.67/0.90 0.58/1.19 0.81/0.17 0.91/0.98 0.79/1.40 0.95/0.75 0.71/0.19 0.72/0.30 0.74/0.92 IPSL-CM6A (10%) 0.59/0.65 0.55/1.28 0.78/0.47 0.76/0.43 0.25/0.78 0.79/0.09 0.85/1.03 0.82/0.89 0.96/0.35 0.55/0.16 0.67/0.24 0.78/0.67 IPSL-CM6A (Avg) 0.64/0.75 0.70/1.62 0.82/0.57 0.79/0.52 0.39/0.94 0.82/0.10 0.88/1.10 0.87/0.99 0.97/0.49 0.57/0.17 0.68/0.25 0.79/0.70 IPSL-CM6A (90%) 0.68/0.80 0.75/1.72 0.84/0.64 0.80/0.58 0.48/0.99 0.82/0.11 0.90/1.15 0.87/1.05 0.98/0.56 0.59/0.17 0.69/0.26 0.79/0.72