Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- MPI-GE (10%) 0.59/0.59 0.66/1.15 0.61/0.48 0.69/0.35 0.16/0.87 0.67/0.11 0.88/0.56 0.80/0.59 0.96/0.39 0.61/0.16 0.77/0.21 0.77/0.62 MPI-GE (Avg) 0.67/0.68 0.77/1.35 0.71/0.62 0.76/0.42 0.34/1.15 0.75/0.12 0.92/0.71 0.87/0.80 0.97/0.50 0.65/0.17 0.78/0.21 0.79/0.67 MPI-GE (90%) 0.73/0.78 0.84/1.58 0.78/0.77 0.81/0.48 0.47/1.41 0.81/0.13 0.95/0.86 0.91/1.05 0.98/0.61 0.68/0.18 0.79/0.22 0.81/0.72 MPI-GE-CMIP6 (10%) 0.64/0.58 0.74/1.01 0.70/0.42 0.76/0.35 0.16/0.90 0.67/0.10 0.87/0.60 0.82/0.56 0.97/0.48 0.65/0.15 0.79/0.20 0.79/0.61 MPI-GE-CMIP6 (Avg) 0.70/0.67 0.83/1.20 0.78/0.55 0.81/0.44 0.32/1.11 0.78/0.12 0.91/0.78 0.88/0.78 0.97/0.60 0.68/0.16 0.80/0.20 0.82/0.65 MPI-GE-CMIP6 (90%) 0.74/0.77 0.89/1.44 0.82/0.70 0.86/0.55 0.47/1.37 0.83/0.13 0.94/0.92 0.94/1.03 0.98/0.75 0.71/0.18 0.81/0.21 0.84/0.70 MIROC6 (10%) 0.63/0.74 0.81/1.28 0.79/0.66 0.70/0.64 0.16/0.92 0.83/0.12 0.85/0.60 0.87/0.56 0.96/0.32 0.69/0.14 0.83/0.17 0.82/0.69 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.70/0.87 0.85/1.47 0.85/0.82 0.75/0.81 0.35/1.18 0.86/0.15 0.92/0.77 0.91/0.67 0.97/0.39 0.71/0.17 0.83/0.17 0.84/0.77 MIROC6 (90%) 0.74/0.99 0.88/1.63 0.87/0.94 0.78/0.93 0.47/1.44 0.87/0.17 0.96/0.96 0.93/0.79 0.98/0.48 0.73/0.20 0.84/0.18 0.85/0.84 MIROC-ES2L (10%) 0.67/0.69 0.67/1.32 0.83/0.71 0.74/0.71 0.05/0.93 0.77/0.13 0.78/0.82 0.63/0.61 0.92/0.51 0.67/0.17 0.75/0.21 0.76/0.75 MIROC-ES2L (Avg) 0.71/0.79 0.79/1.48 0.85/0.87 0.79/0.83 0.38/1.13 0.80/0.15 0.83/1.00 0.81/0.82 0.93/0.61 0.69/0.20 0.77/0.21 0.78/0.81 MIROC-ES2L (90%) 0.72/0.86 0.82/1.61 0.86/1.03 0.81/0.88 0.49/1.40 0.82/0.16 0.85/1.09 0.86/0.95 0.94/0.65 0.70/0.22 0.77/0.21 0.80/0.87 EC-Earth3 (10%) 0.46/0.67 0.73/1.15 0.80/0.34 0.70/0.34 0.42/0.74 0.70/0.10 0.87/0.60 0.87/0.61 0.95/0.29 0.52/0.14 0.83/0.18 0.80/0.54 EC-Earth3 (Avg) 0.54/0.73 0.79/1.29 0.85/0.47 0.80/0.39 0.52/0.87 0.76/0.11 0.93/0.69 0.90/0.74 0.97/0.42 0.59/0.16 0.84/0.19 0.82/0.59 EC-Earth3 (90%) 0.57/0.77 0.82/1.38 0.87/0.62 0.83/0.42 0.57/0.98 0.80/0.12 0.94/0.79 0.92/0.84 0.98/0.52 0.63/0.18 0.85/0.20 0.83/0.62