Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.96/0.29 0.97/0.42 0.97/0.24 0.95/0.18 0.72/0.56 0.93/0.06 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.81/0.10 1.00/0.00 ----/0.41 CanESM5 r10i1p1f1 0.37/0.89 0.54/1.58 0.82/0.34 0.83/0.32 0.15/1.25 0.68/0.12 0.93/0.73 0.93/0.54 0.96/0.62 0.49/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.76/0.95 CanESM5 r10i1p2f1 0.29/1.00 0.35/1.88 0.86/0.29 0.85/0.30 0.29/1.93 0.74/0.11 0.84/0.87 0.95/0.47 0.96/0.56 0.52/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.76/1.01 CanESM5 r11i1p1f1 0.56/0.76 0.68/1.35 0.84/0.32 0.83/0.31 0.09/1.25 0.74/0.11 0.87/0.88 0.85/1.00 0.95/0.67 0.47/0.16 0.76/0.20 0.76/0.93 CanESM5 r11i1p2f1 0.54/0.74 0.67/1.39 0.80/0.38 0.82/0.32 0.32/1.01 0.78/0.11 0.91/0.82 0.88/0.74 0.94/0.49 0.54/0.17 0.76/0.22 0.77/0.92 CanESM5 r12i1p1f1 0.38/0.91 0.43/2.09 0.83/0.33 0.73/0.44 0.25/0.95 0.73/0.11 0.82/1.08 0.93/0.71 0.95/0.53 0.55/0.14 0.77/0.22 0.74/0.99 CanESM5 r12i1p2f1 0.59/0.74 0.72/1.38 0.83/0.45 0.88/0.24 0.23/1.02 0.76/0.10 0.92/0.74 0.92/0.61 0.95/0.67 0.53/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.80/0.92 CanESM5 r13i1p1f1 0.55/0.78 0.45/1.63 0.87/0.29 0.82/0.29 0.07/1.41 0.84/0.09 0.85/0.90 0.91/0.66 0.96/0.71 0.59/0.14 0.76/0.22 0.77/0.91 CanESM5 r13i1p2f1 0.46/1.00 0.58/1.83 0.73/0.49 0.79/0.32 0.45/1.14 0.69/0.13 0.93/0.63 0.87/0.77 0.96/0.48 0.56/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.76/1.05 CanESM5 r14i1p1f1 0.45/0.85 0.39/1.94 0.76/0.38 0.82/0.37 0.40/1.00 0.74/0.11 0.87/0.84 0.87/1.01 0.96/0.66 0.56/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.75/1.00 CanESM5 r14i1p2f1 0.49/0.79 0.62/1.48 0.78/0.36 0.76/0.52 0.35/1.18 0.73/0.11 0.91/0.75 0.93/0.50 0.95/0.56 0.52/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.77/1.00 CanESM5 r15i1p1f1 0.33/1.09 0.47/2.15 0.67/0.66 0.71/0.40 0.08/1.59 0.79/0.10 0.89/0.78 0.89/0.76 0.96/0.69 0.56/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.73/1.27 CanESM5 r15i1p2f1 0.44/0.83 0.36/1.73 0.82/0.32 0.84/0.33 0.34/1.11 0.73/0.11 0.87/0.92 0.81/1.01 0.94/0.56 0.53/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.74/0.95 CanESM5 r1i1p1f1 0.68/0.69 0.73/1.24 0.79/0.38 0.80/0.37 0.13/2.15 0.74/0.11 0.93/0.68 0.93/0.53 0.95/0.59 0.55/0.14 0.76/0.22 0.79/1.04 CanESM5 r1i1p2f1 0.69/0.61 0.69/1.31 0.84/0.33 0.81/0.34 0.47/0.84 0.73/0.11 0.91/0.76 0.89/0.94 0.96/0.53 0.55/0.16 0.75/0.21 0.80/0.87 CanESM5 r2i1p1f1 0.64/0.76 0.69/1.50 0.78/0.39 0.87/0.30 0.19/1.59 0.74/0.11 0.89/0.82 0.94/0.77 0.97/0.51 0.54/0.15 0.75/0.22 0.80/1.00 CanESM5 r2i1p2f1 0.28/0.94 0.51/1.62 0.84/0.32 0.84/0.31 0.09/1.84 0.78/0.10 0.79/1.04 0.91/0.58 0.94/0.55 0.52/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.73/1.01 CanESM5 r3i1p1f1 0.48/0.82 0.56/1.52 0.87/0.29 0.87/0.25 -0.03/1.87 0.79/0.10 0.86/0.81 0.95/0.47 0.96/0.58 0.56/0.13 0.76/0.21 0.78/0.93 CanESM5 r3i1p2f1 0.58/0.88 0.68/1.91 0.82/0.44 0.86/0.41 0.48/0.86 0.78/0.10 0.92/0.88 0.96/0.85 0.96/0.66 0.54/0.16 0.75/0.22 0.81/1.04 CanESM5 r4i1p1f1 0.62/0.72 0.67/1.43 0.82/0.38 0.79/0.36 0.09/1.36 0.75/0.10 0.85/0.90 0.88/0.72 0.95/0.43 0.56/0.15 0.75/0.22 0.76/0.96 CanESM5 r4i1p2f1 0.50/0.81 0.53/1.69 0.88/0.30 0.82/0.30 0.30/1.21 0.69/0.11 0.85/0.84 0.88/0.68 0.96/0.53 0.48/0.16 0.77/0.20 0.76/0.91 CanESM5 r5i1p1f1 0.52/0.76 0.55/1.53 0.88/0.28 0.85/0.31 0.36/1.00 0.75/0.10 0.87/0.84 0.95/0.48 0.96/0.65 0.54/0.14 0.76/0.21 0.79/0.84 CanESM5 r5i1p2f1 0.59/0.83 0.63/1.59 0.76/0.41 0.73/0.39 0.18/1.73 0.74/0.11 0.85/0.87 0.92/0.60 0.96/0.57 0.56/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.76/1.06 CanESM5 r6i1p1f1 0.58/0.72 0.51/1.66 0.79/0.37 0.78/0.31 0.47/0.79 0.67/0.12 0.91/0.67 0.94/0.50 0.97/0.53 0.54/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.78/0.87 CanESM5 r6i1p2f1 0.55/0.70 0.41/1.70 0.83/0.33 0.81/0.33 0.27/1.32 0.59/0.13 0.87/0.92 0.90/0.85 0.95/0.58 0.53/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.74/0.96 CanESM5 r7i1p1f1 0.52/0.72 0.65/1.38 0.84/0.35 0.68/0.54 0.18/1.76 0.59/0.13 0.91/0.69 0.90/0.63 0.96/0.35 0.50/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.75/1.05 CanESM5 r7i1p2f1 0.58/0.71 0.66/1.48 0.82/0.35 0.82/0.30 0.14/1.40 0.74/0.11 0.93/0.58 0.94/0.57 0.93/0.64 0.57/0.14 0.75/0.22 0.78/0.92 CanESM5 r8i1p1f1 0.57/0.74 0.61/1.83 0.79/0.47 0.82/0.29 0.29/1.19 0.71/0.11 0.93/0.63 0.87/0.89 0.96/0.64 0.57/0.14 0.76/0.21 0.78/1.01 CanESM5 r8i1p2f1 0.49/0.80 0.62/1.51 0.86/0.31 0.76/0.42 0.19/1.59 0.80/0.10 0.91/0.83 0.92/0.66 0.95/0.77 0.53/0.16 0.75/0.22 0.77/1.01 CanESM5 r9i1p1f1 0.50/0.92 0.64/1.39 0.83/0.33 0.87/0.28 0.29/1.60 0.79/0.10 0.89/0.75 0.91/0.67 0.94/0.61 0.52/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.78/0.95 CanESM5 r9i1p2f1 0.46/1.05 0.62/1.71 0.93/0.24 0.75/0.36 0.30/1.35 0.81/0.10 0.89/0.77 0.92/0.59 0.96/0.83 0.55/0.16 0.77/0.21 0.79/0.95 CESM2-SF AAER #1 0.54/0.93 0.56/2.07 0.67/0.68 0.56/1.07 0.06/1.62 0.80/0.12 0.93/0.62 0.94/0.54 0.92/0.51 0.72/0.15 0.84/0.19 0.76/1.50 CESM2-SF AAER #2 0.65/0.89 0.72/1.94 0.65/0.89 0.76/0.98 -0.05/2.01 0.78/0.12 0.86/0.97 0.92/0.67 0.94/0.69 0.66/0.17 0.84/0.21 0.76/1.68 CESM2-SF AAER #3 0.76/0.72 0.78/1.80 0.63/0.73 0.68/0.90 0.07/1.83 0.81/0.10 0.89/1.01 0.89/0.98 0.93/0.62 0.66/0.17 0.83/0.21 0.77/1.51 CESM2-SF AAER #4 0.47/0.83 0.63/1.52 0.70/0.55 0.73/0.75 -0.15/2.52 0.77/0.11 0.90/0.90 0.94/0.59 0.91/0.70 0.66/0.14 0.83/0.20 0.75/1.39 CESM2-SF AAER #5 0.61/0.66 0.55/1.62 0.78/0.50 0.79/0.57 0.44/0.77 0.84/0.10 0.80/0.99 0.93/0.58 0.94/0.57 0.71/0.14 0.84/0.19 0.79/1.05 CESM2-SF AAER #6 0.74/0.65 0.76/1.61 0.64/0.76 0.74/0.74 -0.07/1.75 0.80/0.12 0.93/0.79 0.94/0.59 0.90/0.79 0.69/0.17 0.83/0.21 0.78/1.42 CESM2-SF AAER #7 0.68/0.76 0.70/1.77 0.65/0.78 0.69/0.87 0.42/1.11 0.79/0.11 0.88/1.03 0.91/0.71 0.95/0.75 0.68/0.18 0.83/0.20 0.78/1.44 CESM2-SF AAER #8 0.48/0.80 0.31/2.02 0.66/0.73 0.69/0.71 -0.11/2.20 0.75/0.12 0.88/1.04 0.94/0.62 0.95/0.53 0.70/0.14 0.84/0.19 0.74/1.47 CESM2-SF AAER #9 0.65/0.80 0.68/1.89 0.64/0.78 0.70/0.78 -0.00/1.43 0.77/0.13 0.90/1.00 0.93/0.57 0.94/0.61 0.69/0.15 0.83/0.20 0.77/1.44 CESM2-SF AAER #10 0.68/0.71 0.66/1.58 0.78/0.48 0.75/0.74 0.33/1.59 0.80/0.12 0.89/0.79 0.83/0.79 0.95/0.68 0.68/0.16 0.83/0.21 0.78/1.24 CESM2-SF AAER #11 0.73/0.71 0.77/1.64 0.63/0.69 0.70/0.97 0.37/0.88 0.81/0.13 0.92/0.67 0.90/0.65 0.94/1.05 0.69/0.15 0.84/0.19 0.80/1.38 CESM2-SF AAER #12 0.65/0.77 0.72/1.98 0.62/0.83 0.76/0.68 0.35/1.29 0.81/0.11 0.86/0.90 0.92/0.81 0.88/0.78 0.69/0.16 0.84/0.19 0.77/1.43 CESM2-SF AAER #13 0.46/0.88 0.56/1.75 0.66/0.78 0.80/0.54 -0.14/2.12 0.83/0.10 0.91/0.83 0.93/0.61 0.94/0.71 0.67/0.15 0.84/0.19 0.76/1.41 CESM2-SF AAER #14 0.70/0.80 0.77/1.93 0.62/1.12 0.62/1.01 0.11/1.79 0.82/0.14 0.94/0.70 0.93/0.67 0.91/0.57 0.68/0.20 0.83/0.22 0.78/1.79 CESM2-SF AAER #15 0.56/0.78 0.60/1.76 0.74/0.62 0.75/0.70 0.06/1.71 0.80/0.10 0.91/0.89 0.95/0.57 0.93/0.56 0.71/0.14 0.84/0.19 0.78/1.30 CNRM-CM6-1 r10i1p1f2 0.50/0.79 0.30/1.85 0.75/0.29 0.82/0.29 0.52/1.04 0.71/0.11 0.95/0.55 0.70/1.20 0.98/1.01 0.49/0.14 0.74/0.21 0.76/0.94 CNRM-CM6-1 r1i1p1f2 0.62/0.69 0.54/1.54 0.75/0.37 0.76/0.31 0.43/0.83 0.73/0.11 0.92/0.76 0.54/1.53 0.98/0.61 0.57/0.15 0.72/0.22 0.76/0.94 CNRM-CM6-1 r2i1p1f2 0.67/0.65 0.49/1.59 0.74/0.40 0.78/0.40 0.37/1.87 0.41/0.15 0.89/0.81 0.71/1.36 0.98/1.16 0.57/0.14 0.73/0.21 0.74/1.18 CNRM-CM6-1 r3i1p1f2 0.48/0.81 0.50/1.61 0.75/0.30 0.78/0.39 0.19/1.46 0.74/0.11 0.95/0.64 0.85/0.82 0.98/0.75 0.56/0.14 0.73/0.21 0.77/0.98 CNRM-CM6-1 r4i1p1f2 0.27/0.97 0.53/1.59 0.70/0.58 0.74/0.42 0.32/0.99 0.54/0.14 0.91/0.73 0.86/0.82 0.98/0.63 0.55/0.15 0.74/0.21 0.73/1.13 CNRM-CM6-1 r5i1p1f2 0.55/0.73 0.44/1.70 0.70/0.60 0.81/0.39 0.32/0.97 0.66/0.12 0.94/0.62 0.91/0.56 0.98/0.52 0.54/0.15 0.74/0.21 0.77/1.07 CNRM-CM6-1 r6i1p1f2 0.47/0.83 0.40/2.05 0.68/0.45 0.77/0.45 0.15/1.70 0.75/0.10 0.93/0.81 0.52/1.49 0.98/1.01 0.49/0.15 0.73/0.22 0.71/1.22 CNRM-CM6-1 r7i1p1f2 0.60/0.72 0.64/1.45 0.71/0.61 0.83/0.38 0.36/1.09 0.71/0.11 0.90/0.70 0.88/0.71 0.97/0.72 0.53/0.15 0.73/0.21 0.77/1.10 CNRM-CM6-1 r8i1p1f2 0.37/0.93 0.36/1.85 0.74/0.36 0.78/0.35 0.40/1.13 0.49/0.14 0.91/0.70 0.72/1.16 0.97/0.86 0.51/0.14 0.74/0.21 0.71/1.04 CNRM-CM6-1 r9i1p1f2 0.35/1.04 0.20/2.51 0.70/0.48 0.81/0.39 0.10/1.65 0.71/0.11 0.88/0.80 0.77/0.93 0.98/0.93 0.57/0.14 0.73/0.21 0.71/1.21 GISS-E2-1-G r1i1p1f1 0.66/0.98 0.66/1.82 0.74/1.01 0.73/0.77 0.26/1.25 0.77/0.12 0.82/0.98 0.83/0.98 0.95/0.64 0.61/0.22 0.73/0.25 0.74/1.62 GISS-E2-1-G r1i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r1i1p3f1 0.69/1.03 0.78/1.74 0.75/0.99 0.70/0.90 0.35/1.04 0.83/0.12 0.86/0.90 0.89/0.98 0.91/0.58 0.62/0.22 0.73/0.28 0.77/1.63 GISS-E2-1-G r2i1p1f1 0.68/1.07 0.77/1.76 0.73/0.80 0.68/0.80 0.34/1.39 0.81/0.11 0.84/0.99 0.95/0.68 0.90/0.91 0.62/0.20 0.73/0.25 0.77/1.52 GISS-E2-1-G r2i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r2i1p3f1 0.49/0.95 0.46/2.01 0.68/0.97 0.67/0.89 0.33/1.31 0.77/0.16 0.93/0.59 0.58/1.55 0.93/0.69 0.61/0.21 0.73/0.26 0.71/1.69 GISS-E2-1-G r3i1p1f1 0.69/0.91 0.72/1.80 0.75/1.06 0.65/1.03 0.15/1.60 0.74/0.15 0.94/0.64 0.92/0.74 0.93/0.79 0.60/0.20 0.72/0.25 0.77/1.77 GISS-E2-1-G r3i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r3i1p3f1 0.74/1.01 0.79/1.77 0.69/1.05 0.60/1.09 0.25/1.62 0.66/0.19 0.86/0.89 0.85/0.96 0.94/0.67 0.60/0.24 0.72/0.28 0.74/1.86 GISS-E2-1-G r4i1p1f1 0.64/0.88 0.63/1.80 0.79/1.16 0.77/0.89 0.16/1.90 0.80/0.11 0.93/1.07 0.88/1.43 0.90/0.71 0.64/0.19 0.71/0.26 0.76/1.85 GISS-E2-1-G r4i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r4i1p3f1 0.75/0.81 0.82/1.44 0.77/0.88 0.69/0.77 0.21/1.37 0.78/0.14 0.85/0.91 0.90/0.84 0.94/0.66 0.61/0.19 0.72/0.28 0.77/1.51 GISS-E2-1-G r5i1p1f1 0.65/0.82 0.69/1.64 0.75/0.76 0.77/0.76 0.39/1.11 0.71/0.15 0.92/0.73 0.91/0.72 0.92/0.67 0.61/0.19 0.73/0.25 0.77/1.40 GISS-E2-1-G r5i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r5i1p3f1 0.73/0.99 0.72/1.83 0.72/0.96 0.70/0.95 0.45/0.91 0.80/0.13 0.90/0.74 0.84/1.15 0.91/0.53 0.61/0.22 0.73/0.27 0.76/1.61 IPSL-CM6A-LR r10i1p1f1 0.43/0.98 -0.03/3.00 0.92/0.36 0.82/0.55 0.33/1.18 0.68/0.12 0.89/1.19 0.77/1.56 0.98/0.87 0.55/0.18 0.65/0.27 0.74/1.25 IPSL-CM6A-LR r1i1p1f1 0.51/0.74 0.57/1.61 0.83/0.44 0.86/0.40 0.29/1.03 0.72/0.11 0.93/0.63 0.86/0.83 0.97/0.52 0.54/0.19 0.66/0.28 0.77/1.01 IPSL-CM6A-LR r2i1p1f1 0.49/0.83 0.61/1.73 0.83/0.49 0.86/0.44 -0.01/1.59 0.70/0.12 0.89/0.79 0.83/0.97 0.97/0.94 0.56/0.19 0.66/0.27 0.75/1.20 IPSL-CM6A-LR r3i1p1f1 0.64/0.69 0.55/1.64 0.92/0.33 0.82/0.65 0.21/1.91 0.72/0.11 0.88/0.87 0.80/1.11 0.98/0.74 0.56/0.17 0.67/0.26 0.78/1.19 IPSL-CM6A-LR r4i1p1f1 0.47/0.85 0.33/1.93 0.91/0.62 0.86/0.60 0.49/0.92 0.70/0.12 0.91/0.79 0.88/0.92 0.97/1.21 0.58/0.19 0.65/0.29 0.78/1.29 IPSL-CM6A-LR r5i1p1f1 0.57/0.74 0.66/1.68 0.93/0.25 0.88/0.54 0.13/1.53 0.69/0.12 0.89/0.79 0.82/0.98 0.97/1.01 0.50/0.18 0.66/0.26 0.78/1.07 IPSL-CM6A-LR r6i1p1f1 0.64/0.66 0.58/1.53 0.85/0.68 0.90/0.40 0.40/1.04 0.76/0.11 0.85/0.86 0.81/1.10 0.96/0.52 0.57/0.19 0.65/0.28 0.77/1.17 IPSL-CM6A-LR r7i1p1f1 0.55/0.70 0.57/1.74 0.79/0.45 0.80/0.43 0.36/1.42 0.70/0.12 0.87/1.03 0.85/1.13 0.97/0.83 0.54/0.18 0.67/0.26 0.75/1.15 IPSL-CM6A-LR r8i1p1f1 0.31/0.94 0.37/2.08 0.72/0.56 0.82/0.59 0.40/0.92 0.67/0.12 0.94/0.71 0.79/1.02 0.98/0.82 0.58/0.19 0.66/0.27 0.74/1.24 IPSL-CM6A-LR r9i1p1f1 0.62/0.75 0.52/1.66 0.95/0.48 0.90/0.37 0.08/1.52 0.75/0.11 0.89/0.92 0.86/1.03 0.97/0.87 0.58/0.19 0.67/0.27 0.80/1.14 MIROC6 r10i1p1f1 0.61/1.10 0.70/2.70 0.75/0.86 0.77/0.89 0.07/1.64 0.81/0.13 0.84/0.88 0.80/1.02 0.94/0.58 0.67/0.19 0.80/0.20 0.75/1.66 MIROC6 r1i1p1f1 0.55/0.93 0.76/1.78 0.80/0.67 0.67/0.68 0.29/1.52 0.82/0.12 0.91/0.67 0.87/0.76 0.97/0.39 0.68/0.16 0.81/0.19 0.79/1.33 MIROC6 r2i1p1f1 0.65/0.81 0.83/1.48 0.71/0.49 0.65/0.39 0.32/0.92 0.75/0.11 0.82/0.91 0.87/0.72 0.97/0.47 0.63/0.13 0.80/0.19 0.77/1.00 MIROC6 r3i1p1f1 0.52/0.95 0.62/1.82 0.73/0.68 0.71/0.93 0.17/1.61 0.79/0.14 0.90/0.72 0.88/0.70 0.98/0.40 0.63/0.18 0.80/0.20 0.78/1.46 MIROC6 r4i1p1f1 0.48/0.91 0.60/1.97 0.68/0.68 0.60/0.67 0.36/1.77 0.83/0.12 0.86/0.86 0.78/0.90 0.97/0.39 0.67/0.15 0.81/0.19 0.75/1.38 MIROC6 r5i1p1f1 0.63/0.75 0.71/1.55 0.71/0.65 0.73/0.52 0.23/1.42 0.79/0.11 0.92/0.67 0.90/0.61 0.98/0.52 0.67/0.14 0.81/0.18 0.80/1.19 MIROC6 r6i1p1f1 0.55/0.98 0.60/2.11 0.72/0.92 0.69/0.85 0.08/1.54 0.81/0.11 0.89/0.71 0.73/0.96 0.98/0.49 0.67/0.14 0.80/0.20 0.75/1.57 MIROC6 r7i1p1f1 0.62/0.68 0.74/1.34 0.73/0.49 0.69/0.50 0.14/1.74 0.85/0.09 0.87/0.83 0.86/0.71 0.97/0.49 0.67/0.14 0.80/0.19 0.78/1.10 MIROC6 r8i1p1f1 0.62/0.78 0.45/2.01 0.70/0.65 0.77/0.52 0.14/1.17 0.82/0.10 0.92/0.74 0.94/0.49 0.97/0.46 0.66/0.13 0.80/0.18 0.79/1.18 MIROC6 r9i1p1f1 0.55/0.84 0.71/1.45 0.69/0.57 0.75/0.79 -0.06/1.99 0.82/0.11 0.88/0.83 0.76/0.92 0.94/0.43 0.65/0.16 0.81/0.19 0.74/1.36