Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.34/0.72 0.37/1.39 0.62/0.47 0.69/0.29 0.07/0.93 0.58/0.10 0.79/0.69 0.79/0.66 0.93/0.45 0.49/0.14 0.74/0.21 0.71/0.99 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.52/0.83 0.54/1.72 0.78/0.58 0.81/0.37 0.20/1.55 0.70/0.12 0.87/0.87 0.87/0.85 0.95/0.58 0.53/0.15 0.75/0.22 0.74/1.08 CanESM5 (90%) 0.62/0.92 0.69/1.99 0.83/0.70 0.86/0.48 0.37/2.05 0.78/0.13 0.91/1.02 0.91/1.03 0.96/0.76 0.56/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.77/1.17 CESM2 (10%) 0.39/0.70 0.49/1.50 0.73/0.56 0.61/0.64 -0.04/1.04 0.74/0.11 0.85/0.67 0.85/0.60 0.88/0.60 0.65/0.13 0.82/0.19 0.74/1.17 CESM2 (Avg) 0.58/0.85 0.63/1.87 0.77/0.71 0.72/0.79 0.13/1.77 0.79/0.12 0.90/0.87 0.91/0.75 0.91/0.71 0.69/0.16 0.83/0.20 0.76/1.35 CESM2 (90%) 0.66/0.99 0.72/2.14 0.79/1.06 0.80/0.99 0.34/2.34 0.81/0.13 0.93/1.01 0.93/0.94 0.94/0.84 0.71/0.18 0.83/0.22 0.78/1.57 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.30/0.75 0.19/1.38 0.73/0.29 0.72/0.31 0.10/0.89 0.43/0.11 0.88/0.60 -0.37/0.66 0.95/0.49 0.47/0.14 0.72/0.21 0.68/0.93 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.46/0.86 0.45/1.83 0.79/0.41 0.79/0.39 0.26/1.61 0.65/0.13 0.92/0.71 0.61/1.31 0.97/0.79 0.53/0.15 0.72/0.22 0.72/1.06 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.54/0.95 0.62/2.19 0.83/0.51 0.82/0.44 0.37/2.63 0.73/0.14 0.95/0.81 0.84/1.75 0.98/1.00 0.56/0.15 0.73/0.22 0.76/1.15 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.50/0.90 0.56/1.66 0.62/0.82 0.62/0.66 0.12/1.08 0.66/0.11 0.81/0.63 0.53/0.75 0.90/0.56 0.60/0.17 0.70/0.25 0.70/1.38 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.59/1.02 0.62/1.96 0.68/0.99 0.70/0.87 0.24/1.63 0.76/0.14 0.90/0.82 0.81/1.17 0.93/0.70 0.61/0.20 0.72/0.26 0.73/1.57 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.64/1.14 0.70/2.21 0.75/1.17 0.76/1.06 0.36/2.52 0.81/0.16 0.94/1.01 0.90/1.60 0.95/0.89 0.63/0.23 0.73/0.28 0.75/1.68 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.34/0.76 0.09/1.84 0.72/0.38 0.77/0.26 0.03/0.91 0.61/0.11 0.85/0.66 0.16/1.06 0.95/0.46 0.47/0.17 0.65/0.26 0.71/1.09 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.44/0.90 0.37/2.15 0.84/0.54 0.85/0.48 0.22/1.50 0.68/0.12 0.90/0.86 0.72/1.32 0.97/0.80 0.54/0.18 0.66/0.27 0.73/1.20 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.52/1.03 0.43/2.34 0.89/0.63 0.90/0.70 0.37/1.74 0.72/0.13 0.92/0.98 0.82/1.68 0.97/1.01 0.58/0.19 0.66/0.28 0.75/1.30 MIROC6 (10%) 0.52/0.76 0.59/1.24 0.65/0.49 0.58/0.33 -0.03/1.39 0.76/0.09 0.82/0.61 0.75/0.51 0.93/0.32 0.63/0.12 0.79/0.19 0.73/0.95 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.56/0.90 0.71/1.77 0.71/0.75 0.70/0.69 0.15/1.81 0.80/0.12 0.89/0.80 0.87/0.71 0.96/0.45 0.67/0.15 0.80/0.19 0.77/1.30 MIROC6 (90%) 0.61/0.97 0.76/1.95 0.77/0.87 0.77/0.93 0.23/2.17 0.82/0.14 0.92/0.94 0.92/0.92 0.98/0.49 0.69/0.18 0.80/0.20 0.79/1.43