Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.46/0.56 0.60/1.18 0.74/0.44 0.59/0.38 0.08/0.82 0.68/0.10 0.87/0.57 0.82/0.59 0.95/0.42 0.54/0.14 0.76/0.21 0.76/0.87 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.60/0.68 0.71/1.39 0.82/0.51 0.71/0.45 0.29/1.14 0.75/0.11 0.91/0.72 0.88/0.78 0.96/0.50 0.57/0.15 0.77/0.21 0.78/0.93 CanESM5 (90%) 0.68/0.78 0.80/1.59 0.87/0.58 0.78/0.52 0.44/1.42 0.79/0.12 0.94/0.86 0.91/0.97 0.97/0.58 0.60/0.17 0.77/0.21 0.80/0.98 CESM2 (10%) 0.62/0.59 0.68/1.20 0.75/0.56 0.64/0.53 0.33/0.76 0.80/0.09 0.90/0.52 0.93/0.54 0.93/0.49 0.73/0.12 0.85/0.18 0.81/0.93 CESM2 (Avg) 0.70/0.68 0.78/1.43 0.78/0.65 0.70/0.67 0.46/0.99 0.83/0.11 0.93/0.71 0.95/0.62 0.95/0.55 0.74/0.14 0.85/0.18 0.83/1.03 CESM2 (90%) 0.76/0.75 0.84/1.60 0.81/0.76 0.74/0.90 0.60/1.37 0.85/0.13 0.95/0.90 0.96/0.73 0.96/0.65 0.75/0.16 0.86/0.19 0.84/1.15 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.45/0.59 0.29/1.16 0.77/0.31 0.74/0.31 0.35/0.67 0.60/0.10 0.85/0.58 -0.06/0.79 0.97/0.54 0.55/0.13 0.73/0.21 0.71/0.79 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.58/0.69 0.58/1.62 0.81/0.36 0.78/0.38 0.48/0.89 0.68/0.12 0.92/0.70 0.59/1.28 0.97/0.60 0.62/0.14 0.74/0.22 0.76/0.87 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.69/0.79 0.66/1.96 0.84/0.38 0.80/0.44 0.61/1.01 0.73/0.13 0.94/0.87 0.75/1.73 0.98/0.68 0.64/0.15 0.74/0.22 0.78/0.90 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.59/0.79 0.63/1.47 0.74/0.70 0.52/0.64 0.10/0.88 0.69/0.10 0.83/0.62 0.67/0.79 0.94/0.48 0.66/0.16 0.73/0.24 0.73/1.20 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.63/0.92 0.71/1.68 0.79/0.80 0.63/0.78 0.30/1.22 0.79/0.13 0.90/0.76 0.82/1.12 0.95/0.54 0.67/0.18 0.74/0.25 0.76/1.28 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.65/1.06 0.78/1.90 0.81/0.94 0.74/0.92 0.59/1.65 0.83/0.16 0.93/0.94 0.90/1.43 0.96/0.64 0.69/0.20 0.75/0.27 0.80/1.38 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.50/0.54 0.15/1.32 0.83/0.31 0.65/0.36 0.19/0.60 0.62/0.10 0.92/0.59 0.63/0.88 0.97/0.40 0.59/0.15 0.68/0.26 0.77/0.87 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.62/0.65 0.58/1.69 0.88/0.42 0.78/0.54 0.46/0.88 0.71/0.12 0.93/0.70 0.75/1.21 0.98/0.60 0.64/0.17 0.68/0.27 0.78/0.95 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.65/0.70 0.67/1.87 0.92/0.49 0.86/0.65 0.55/1.07 0.75/0.12 0.94/0.79 0.80/1.55 0.98/0.73 0.66/0.18 0.69/0.27 0.80/1.00 MIROC6 (10%) 0.60/0.62 0.78/1.13 0.76/0.54 0.68/0.37 0.32/0.75 0.82/0.08 0.89/0.65 0.88/0.44 0.97/0.26 0.68/0.12 0.81/0.18 0.83/0.85 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.68/0.73 0.83/1.30 0.81/0.62 0.74/0.53 0.44/1.06 0.85/0.10 0.91/0.74 0.92/0.54 0.98/0.30 0.72/0.13 0.81/0.19 0.84/0.96 MIROC6 (90%) 0.70/0.77 0.86/1.39 0.83/0.71 0.76/0.72 0.52/1.47 0.88/0.11 0.94/0.80 0.94/0.58 0.98/0.35 0.74/0.15 0.82/0.19 0.84/1.09