Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Model(s) ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- OBS 2 0.96/0.25 0.99/0.31 0.98/0.16 0.97/0.12 0.79/0.60 0.94/0.06 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 1.00/0.00 0.88/0.07 1.00/0.00 ----/0.25 CanESM5 r10i1p1f1 0.31/0.90 0.44/2.03 0.71/0.65 0.84/0.42 -0.02/2.05 0.59/0.14 0.88/0.98 0.79/0.87 0.94/0.49 0.49/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.69/1.09 CanESM5 r10i1p2f1 0.46/0.88 0.74/1.43 0.75/0.60 0.79/0.42 0.21/1.26 0.72/0.12 0.60/1.36 0.85/0.71 0.97/0.43 0.51/0.17 0.76/0.22 0.73/0.96 CanESM5 r11i1p1f1 0.48/0.77 0.70/1.52 0.81/0.58 0.84/0.43 0.05/2.03 0.73/0.11 0.84/0.94 0.72/1.02 0.97/0.42 0.53/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.74/1.02 CanESM5 r11i1p2f1 0.37/0.87 0.62/1.65 0.82/0.51 0.80/0.37 0.09/1.29 0.66/0.13 0.89/0.90 0.77/0.92 0.97/0.38 0.54/0.16 0.75/0.22 0.74/0.91 CanESM5 r12i1p1f1 0.41/0.94 0.58/2.00 0.78/0.56 0.84/0.32 0.14/1.51 0.63/0.13 0.87/0.90 0.79/1.15 0.98/0.36 0.58/0.14 0.77/0.21 0.74/0.97 CanESM5 r12i1p2f1 0.41/1.00 0.72/1.63 0.85/0.46 0.82/0.34 0.15/1.78 0.71/0.12 0.83/1.00 0.77/1.06 0.97/0.46 0.58/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.76/0.96 CanESM5 r13i1p1f1 0.52/0.85 0.54/1.83 0.76/0.57 0.76/0.42 0.16/1.29 0.71/0.12 0.88/0.83 0.75/1.03 0.97/0.63 0.62/0.14 0.77/0.21 0.74/0.97 CanESM5 r13i1p2f1 0.28/1.05 0.15/2.40 0.80/0.54 0.86/0.43 0.20/1.78 0.58/0.15 0.92/0.65 0.66/1.18 0.97/0.49 0.52/0.16 0.76/0.21 0.71/1.06 CanESM5 r14i1p1f1 0.42/0.93 0.55/1.78 0.74/0.61 0.85/0.38 0.09/1.84 0.62/0.14 0.83/1.00 0.72/1.02 0.96/0.53 0.55/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.71/1.05 CanESM5 r14i1p2f1 0.46/0.82 0.67/1.59 0.78/0.62 0.81/0.44 0.27/1.16 0.70/0.12 0.91/0.72 0.82/0.81 0.95/0.45 0.54/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.75/0.94 CanESM5 r15i1p1f1 0.45/1.00 0.62/2.00 0.76/0.57 0.73/0.62 0.08/1.56 0.72/0.12 0.90/0.74 0.80/0.94 0.97/0.57 0.60/0.14 0.76/0.22 0.74/1.06 CanESM5 r15i1p2f1 0.53/0.89 0.74/1.44 0.79/0.59 0.75/0.44 0.29/1.12 0.73/0.11 0.86/1.01 0.59/1.50 0.95/0.49 0.51/0.17 0.76/0.22 0.73/0.99 CanESM5 r1i1p1f1 0.51/0.80 0.74/1.40 0.78/0.62 0.83/0.42 0.06/1.56 0.63/0.13 0.87/0.91 0.67/1.07 0.96/0.52 0.54/0.14 0.76/0.22 0.73/1.00 CanESM5 r1i1p2f1 0.53/0.78 0.66/1.60 0.73/0.62 0.81/0.38 0.22/1.36 0.74/0.11 0.80/1.09 0.74/0.99 0.95/0.45 0.59/0.14 0.76/0.22 0.73/0.96 CanESM5 r2i1p1f1 0.45/0.83 0.60/1.71 0.86/0.51 0.87/0.37 0.10/2.16 0.67/0.13 0.85/0.95 0.80/1.03 0.97/0.47 0.51/0.15 0.76/0.22 0.75/1.01 CanESM5 r2i1p2f1 0.50/0.81 0.74/1.39 0.83/0.52 0.81/0.36 0.05/1.83 0.75/0.11 0.87/0.86 0.91/0.60 0.96/0.61 0.53/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.77/0.92 CanESM5 r3i1p1f1 0.59/0.70 0.66/1.54 0.79/0.54 0.71/0.48 0.28/1.32 0.71/0.12 0.84/0.92 0.87/0.70 0.95/0.53 0.57/0.14 0.75/0.22 0.75/0.92 CanESM5 r3i1p2f1 0.41/0.91 0.60/1.98 0.86/0.44 0.84/0.37 0.26/1.15 0.71/0.12 0.85/1.17 0.83/1.18 0.97/0.68 0.56/0.15 0.75/0.22 0.76/0.93 CanESM5 r4i1p1f1 0.56/0.76 0.72/1.52 0.80/0.52 0.70/0.59 0.22/1.17 0.53/0.15 0.89/0.85 0.73/1.07 0.96/0.37 0.57/0.14 0.76/0.22 0.73/0.97 CanESM5 r4i1p2f1 0.45/0.88 0.49/2.12 0.83/0.60 0.84/0.40 0.13/1.32 0.61/0.14 0.82/0.97 0.85/0.77 0.96/0.53 0.52/0.15 0.77/0.21 0.73/0.99 CanESM5 r5i1p1f1 0.48/0.74 0.62/1.61 0.89/0.50 0.82/0.42 0.06/1.42 0.59/0.14 0.85/0.91 0.71/1.21 0.96/0.44 0.52/0.15 0.76/0.22 0.73/0.95 CanESM5 r5i1p2f1 0.43/0.93 0.63/1.65 0.84/0.51 0.78/0.48 0.18/1.77 0.59/0.14 0.87/0.83 0.80/0.89 0.97/0.50 0.54/0.15 0.76/0.21 0.74/1.00 CanESM5 r6i1p1f1 0.37/0.88 0.13/2.41 0.76/0.60 0.86/0.34 0.28/1.42 0.60/0.14 0.82/0.98 0.60/1.26 0.97/0.47 0.54/0.14 0.75/0.22 0.69/1.02 CanESM5 r6i1p2f1 0.43/0.88 0.55/1.78 0.91/0.45 0.82/0.38 0.20/1.62 0.65/0.13 0.94/0.59 0.88/0.70 0.97/0.49 0.57/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.78/0.90 CanESM5 r7i1p1f1 0.29/0.96 0.50/1.86 0.86/0.58 0.79/0.48 0.18/1.55 0.52/0.15 0.76/1.14 0.84/0.87 0.95/0.43 0.55/0.15 0.76/0.22 0.71/1.04 CanESM5 r7i1p2f1 0.50/0.77 0.64/1.67 0.88/0.51 0.89/0.37 0.16/1.95 0.46/0.15 0.92/0.70 0.81/0.86 0.96/0.52 0.53/0.14 0.75/0.22 0.76/0.97 CanESM5 r8i1p1f1 0.52/0.70 0.56/1.86 0.75/0.68 0.82/0.35 0.21/1.21 0.67/0.13 0.85/0.89 0.77/0.99 0.96/0.51 0.57/0.14 0.75/0.22 0.73/0.97 CanESM5 r8i1p2f1 0.48/0.94 0.75/1.43 0.68/0.64 0.76/0.38 0.12/1.88 0.70/0.13 0.93/0.72 0.79/1.02 0.94/0.69 0.55/0.16 0.75/0.22 0.74/1.04 CanESM5 r9i1p1f1 0.24/1.08 0.59/1.96 0.85/0.51 0.89/0.38 0.22/1.44 0.68/0.12 0.86/0.96 0.76/1.05 0.96/0.50 0.55/0.15 0.75/0.22 0.74/0.98 CanESM5 r9i1p2f1 0.43/1.03 0.68/1.59 0.90/0.46 0.81/0.46 0.21/1.78 0.68/0.12 0.88/0.83 0.93/0.49 0.96/0.60 0.48/0.18 0.76/0.22 0.78/0.96 CESM2-SF AAER #1 0.46/1.07 0.59/2.03 0.67/0.76 0.55/1.13 0.16/1.36 0.76/0.13 0.94/0.69 0.78/1.06 0.94/0.47 0.74/0.15 0.84/0.19 0.74/1.29 CESM2-SF AAER #2 0.61/0.87 0.78/1.68 0.75/0.67 0.79/0.53 0.31/1.37 0.75/0.12 0.92/0.76 0.96/0.61 0.93/0.49 0.73/0.13 0.85/0.18 0.81/0.99 CESM2-SF AAER #3 0.54/0.95 0.78/1.51 0.73/0.78 0.71/0.56 0.04/2.89 0.78/0.11 0.90/0.87 0.84/0.92 0.96/0.57 0.73/0.13 0.85/0.19 0.77/1.23 CESM2-SF AAER #4 0.47/0.84 0.73/1.44 0.70/0.58 0.66/0.59 0.09/2.37 0.73/0.12 0.90/0.85 0.90/0.92 0.94/0.53 0.68/0.12 0.84/0.19 0.76/1.09 CESM2-SF AAER #5 0.61/0.69 0.79/1.29 0.72/0.61 0.76/0.54 0.38/0.95 0.81/0.12 0.89/0.81 0.92/0.75 0.96/0.41 0.76/0.12 0.85/0.18 0.81/0.90 CESM2-SF AAER #6 0.66/0.84 0.80/1.64 0.74/0.84 0.62/0.66 0.25/1.38 0.81/0.13 0.90/0.86 0.86/0.92 0.94/0.56 0.74/0.17 0.84/0.20 0.78/1.15 CESM2-SF AAER #7 0.55/0.89 0.63/1.90 0.78/0.57 0.64/0.73 0.14/1.57 0.78/0.12 0.93/0.67 0.91/0.68 0.95/0.50 0.74/0.16 0.85/0.19 0.78/1.05 CESM2-SF AAER #8 0.68/0.66 0.75/1.55 0.67/0.65 0.68/0.54 0.05/1.79 0.79/0.13 0.90/1.04 0.88/0.90 0.95/0.47 0.74/0.15 0.85/0.19 0.78/1.04 CESM2-SF AAER #9 0.57/0.80 0.69/1.67 0.68/0.70 0.66/0.71 0.12/1.42 0.72/0.14 0.88/0.97 0.92/0.71 0.97/0.41 0.70/0.14 0.84/0.20 0.77/1.08 CESM2-SF AAER #10 0.42/1.06 0.61/1.94 0.68/0.60 0.76/0.72 -0.08/2.29 0.75/0.15 0.78/1.12 0.91/0.69 0.97/0.53 0.72/0.16 0.85/0.19 0.75/1.20 CESM2-SF AAER #11 0.50/0.98 0.64/1.92 0.66/0.79 0.57/0.74 0.49/0.94 0.77/0.13 0.94/0.60 0.95/0.60 0.96/0.56 0.72/0.13 0.84/0.19 0.80/1.09 CESM2-SF AAER #12 0.56/0.96 0.76/1.81 0.68/0.72 0.73/0.67 0.22/1.73 0.79/0.12 0.91/0.76 0.86/0.99 0.95/0.77 0.70/0.16 0.84/0.20 0.78/1.16 CESM2-SF AAER #13 0.43/0.91 0.60/2.01 0.69/0.76 0.73/0.57 0.25/1.57 0.79/0.12 0.88/1.00 0.86/0.83 0.94/0.61 0.73/0.14 0.85/0.19 0.75/1.12 CESM2-SF AAER #14 0.57/0.88 0.75/1.71 0.73/0.86 0.57/1.01 0.21/1.54 0.81/0.14 0.92/0.76 0.91/0.80 0.90/0.63 0.71/0.17 0.84/0.20 0.77/1.28 CESM2-SF AAER #15 0.49/0.88 0.64/1.82 0.71/0.73 0.78/0.56 0.35/1.10 0.71/0.13 0.90/0.86 0.86/0.85 0.95/0.41 0.73/0.13 0.84/0.19 0.77/1.03 CNRM-CM6-1 r10i1p1f2 0.50/0.76 0.55/1.72 0.74/0.37 0.71/0.49 0.22/1.32 0.63/0.13 0.91/0.75 0.25/1.97 0.96/0.70 0.53/0.14 0.72/0.22 0.69/0.97 CNRM-CM6-1 r1i1p1f2 0.46/0.90 0.65/1.65 0.77/0.39 0.80/0.29 0.37/1.24 0.71/0.12 0.88/0.78 0.32/1.37 0.97/0.68 0.60/0.13 0.73/0.22 0.72/0.87 CNRM-CM6-1 r2i1p1f2 0.47/0.90 0.63/1.66 0.77/0.36 0.79/0.46 0.11/1.89 0.74/0.11 0.89/0.79 0.57/1.32 0.96/0.94 0.62/0.14 0.73/0.22 0.73/0.98 CNRM-CM6-1 r3i1p1f2 0.44/0.85 0.61/1.66 0.76/0.34 0.83/0.31 0.30/1.09 0.66/0.13 0.93/0.85 0.53/1.49 0.95/0.80 0.62/0.13 0.74/0.22 0.73/0.86 CNRM-CM6-1 r4i1p1f2 0.54/0.76 0.66/1.63 0.76/0.40 0.68/0.52 0.21/1.47 0.53/0.15 0.90/0.73 0.28/1.71 0.97/0.66 0.57/0.15 0.74/0.22 0.70/0.99 CNRM-CM6-1 r5i1p1f2 0.45/0.84 0.53/1.79 0.78/0.51 0.78/0.41 0.39/1.12 0.66/0.13 0.95/0.50 0.74/0.83 0.96/0.45 0.62/0.13 0.74/0.22 0.76/0.87 CNRM-CM6-1 r6i1p1f2 0.64/0.65 0.71/1.44 0.73/0.41 0.87/0.23 0.00/1.93 0.67/0.13 0.90/0.87 0.38/1.72 0.96/0.58 0.57/0.14 0.73/0.22 0.72/0.92 CNRM-CM6-1 r7i1p1f2 0.40/0.87 0.59/1.68 0.78/0.32 0.84/0.30 0.15/1.61 0.70/0.12 0.92/0.68 0.55/1.24 0.95/0.74 0.59/0.14 0.73/0.22 0.72/0.87 CNRM-CM6-1 r8i1p1f2 0.38/0.97 0.52/2.04 0.71/0.33 0.83/0.45 0.15/1.70 0.69/0.12 0.84/0.92 0.47/1.34 0.96/0.63 0.59/0.13 0.74/0.22 0.69/0.97 CNRM-CM6-1 r9i1p1f2 0.65/0.69 0.56/1.81 0.76/0.35 0.80/0.40 0.20/1.33 0.72/0.12 0.81/1.04 0.80/0.79 0.98/0.77 0.63/0.13 0.74/0.22 0.75/0.85 GISS-E2-1-G r1i1p1f1 0.52/1.05 0.83/1.26 0.77/0.76 0.81/0.59 0.23/1.47 0.69/0.15 0.85/0.98 0.71/1.40 0.95/0.48 0.69/0.18 0.74/0.24 0.75/1.16 GISS-E2-1-G r1i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r1i1p3f1 0.52/1.03 0.78/1.62 0.78/0.91 0.79/0.79 0.19/1.81 0.79/0.16 0.81/1.09 0.76/1.30 0.92/0.63 0.67/0.21 0.75/0.27 0.74/1.37 GISS-E2-1-G r2i1p1f1 0.44/1.28 0.73/1.86 0.82/0.73 0.76/0.61 0.12/2.00 0.77/0.11 0.86/0.94 0.68/1.39 0.93/0.61 0.69/0.18 0.74/0.25 0.73/1.25 GISS-E2-1-G r2i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r2i1p3f1 0.51/0.97 0.74/1.64 0.67/1.01 0.75/0.77 -0.04/2.10 0.77/0.15 0.87/0.87 0.66/1.26 0.94/0.57 0.71/0.19 0.74/0.26 0.72/1.39 GISS-E2-1-G r3i1p1f1 0.58/0.98 0.67/1.83 0.81/0.80 0.68/0.82 0.30/1.66 0.74/0.15 0.88/0.82 0.74/1.19 0.96/0.64 0.67/0.18 0.73/0.25 0.75/1.28 GISS-E2-1-G r3i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r3i1p3f1 0.44/1.25 0.71/1.96 0.71/0.94 0.70/0.96 0.09/1.97 0.67/0.19 0.90/0.78 0.43/1.62 0.96/0.42 0.67/0.21 0.73/0.26 0.71/1.49 GISS-E2-1-G r4i1p1f1 0.65/0.83 0.76/1.53 0.77/0.85 0.78/0.75 0.03/1.97 0.79/0.11 0.94/0.60 0.67/1.49 0.97/0.66 0.69/0.19 0.73/0.25 0.77/1.27 GISS-E2-1-G r4i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r4i1p3f1 0.44/1.22 0.68/2.03 0.78/0.88 0.73/0.82 0.36/1.37 0.76/0.14 0.86/0.88 0.64/1.44 0.96/0.83 0.67/0.20 0.74/0.27 0.74/1.36 GISS-E2-1-G r5i1p1f1 0.50/1.05 0.66/1.85 0.74/0.84 0.79/0.65 0.09/1.56 0.63/0.17 0.89/0.78 0.76/1.11 0.96/0.46 0.66/0.17 0.75/0.24 0.74/1.23 GISS-E2-1-G r5i1p1f2 ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- ----/---- GISS-E2-1-G r5i1p3f1 0.56/1.00 0.70/1.86 0.69/0.95 0.72/0.90 0.30/1.14 0.77/0.13 0.79/1.09 0.62/1.55 0.93/0.50 0.68/0.20 0.73/0.27 0.71/1.35 IPSL-CM6A-LR r10i1p1f1 0.58/0.74 0.43/2.14 0.93/0.31 0.92/0.40 0.32/1.04 0.53/0.15 0.93/0.73 0.41/1.83 0.97/0.92 0.61/0.15 0.68/0.26 0.76/0.93 IPSL-CM6A-LR r1i1p1f1 0.49/0.79 0.42/2.16 0.85/0.49 0.86/0.38 0.06/1.55 0.62/0.13 0.93/0.67 0.70/1.18 0.98/0.39 0.63/0.16 0.66/0.28 0.75/0.97 IPSL-CM6A-LR r2i1p1f1 0.34/0.89 0.38/2.16 0.77/0.54 0.75/0.62 0.38/1.25 0.33/0.17 0.94/0.65 0.61/1.40 0.97/0.62 0.66/0.16 0.68/0.27 0.71/1.08 IPSL-CM6A-LR r3i1p1f1 0.48/0.79 0.44/2.02 0.90/0.47 0.92/0.53 0.34/1.14 0.70/0.12 0.92/0.68 0.70/1.03 0.95/0.80 0.61/0.16 0.67/0.27 0.77/0.97 IPSL-CM6A-LR r4i1p1f1 0.42/1.02 0.63/1.68 0.91/0.37 0.87/0.39 0.16/1.27 0.71/0.13 0.93/0.78 0.62/1.51 0.96/1.19 0.64/0.18 0.67/0.28 0.76/0.98 IPSL-CM6A-LR r5i1p1f1 0.33/1.12 0.48/2.29 0.91/0.39 0.85/0.74 0.39/1.24 0.64/0.14 0.89/0.83 0.62/1.53 0.97/0.76 0.58/0.15 0.67/0.28 0.75/1.10 IPSL-CM6A-LR r6i1p1f1 0.43/0.81 0.50/1.82 0.84/0.60 0.93/0.35 0.30/1.39 0.68/0.13 0.91/0.75 0.61/1.47 0.96/0.55 0.61/0.16 0.67/0.28 0.75/1.00 IPSL-CM6A-LR r7i1p1f1 0.38/0.88 0.46/2.01 0.70/0.63 0.80/0.47 0.14/1.28 0.75/0.12 0.90/0.75 0.86/0.71 0.97/0.39 0.66/0.16 0.66/0.27 0.74/0.98 IPSL-CM6A-LR r8i1p1f1 0.42/0.95 0.41/2.29 0.88/0.47 0.90/0.43 0.43/1.28 0.76/0.12 0.92/0.71 0.64/1.24 0.97/0.62 0.66/0.16 0.68/0.27 0.77/0.98 IPSL-CM6A-LR r9i1p1f1 0.20/1.26 0.33/2.41 0.93/0.46 0.93/0.32 0.26/1.16 0.60/0.15 0.90/1.00 0.62/1.45 0.97/0.92 0.62/0.18 0.68/0.28 0.75/1.04 MIROC6 r10i1p1f1 0.54/1.01 0.79/1.71 0.76/0.72 0.78/0.70 0.37/1.23 0.81/0.12 0.83/0.97 0.93/0.63 0.98/0.42 0.74/0.14 0.81/0.19 0.81/1.08 MIROC6 r1i1p1f1 0.55/0.86 0.80/1.48 0.71/0.74 0.58/0.55 0.18/1.38 0.83/0.10 0.85/0.92 0.90/0.62 0.98/0.35 0.71/0.12 0.81/0.19 0.79/1.01 MIROC6 r2i1p1f1 0.36/1.12 0.70/1.69 0.75/0.59 0.78/0.34 0.33/1.30 0.80/0.11 0.88/0.80 0.84/0.69 0.98/0.37 0.67/0.13 0.81/0.19 0.78/0.92 MIROC6 r3i1p1f1 0.53/1.06 0.74/1.72 0.79/0.78 0.81/0.88 0.12/1.86 0.80/0.14 0.90/0.75 0.91/0.71 0.97/0.46 0.72/0.17 0.81/0.20 0.80/1.24 MIROC6 r4i1p1f1 0.63/0.78 0.68/1.68 0.68/0.58 0.59/0.41 0.29/1.45 0.84/0.11 0.86/0.86 0.93/0.48 0.97/0.38 0.73/0.12 0.81/0.19 0.79/0.90 MIROC6 r5i1p1f1 0.47/0.86 0.66/1.69 0.68/0.57 0.64/0.52 0.34/1.16 0.81/0.11 0.88/0.82 0.88/0.62 0.96/0.41 0.70/0.12 0.81/0.19 0.76/0.92 MIROC6 r6i1p1f1 0.56/0.83 0.80/1.33 0.79/0.62 0.68/0.69 0.33/1.05 0.77/0.11 0.90/0.77 0.91/0.53 0.97/0.39 0.66/0.13 0.80/0.19 0.80/0.96 MIROC6 r7i1p1f1 0.65/0.74 0.73/1.67 0.73/0.59 0.68/0.42 0.01/1.87 0.82/0.10 0.85/0.88 0.90/0.63 0.97/0.44 0.72/0.12 0.80/0.19 0.78/0.95 MIROC6 r8i1p1f1 0.62/0.86 0.83/1.23 0.82/0.59 0.71/0.40 0.13/1.40 0.77/0.11 0.89/0.85 0.87/0.61 0.98/0.51 0.68/0.12 0.81/0.19 0.80/0.91 MIROC6 r9i1p1f1 0.59/0.86 0.77/1.59 0.76/0.58 0.76/0.89 0.24/2.75 0.82/0.12 0.97/0.55 0.91/0.55 0.96/0.43 0.70/0.15 0.81/0.20 0.81/1.19