Pattern Correlations/RMS Differences Observations vs. Ensemble Means ENSO TAS ENSO PSL El Nino La Nina AMV' LP PDV' NAO PNA SAM SST sigma PR sigma Mean (DJF+1) (DJF+1) Hov Hov (Monthly) (Monthly) (JFM) (DJF) (DJF) (Ann) (Ann) Score --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- --------- CanESM5 (10%) 0.29/0.74 0.44/1.43 0.73/0.46 0.73/0.34 0.05/1.16 0.53/0.11 0.80/0.70 0.66/0.70 0.95/0.38 0.51/0.14 0.75/0.21 0.71/0.92 CanESM5 (Avg) 0.45/0.88 0.61/1.75 0.81/0.56 0.82/0.41 0.16/1.55 0.66/0.13 0.86/0.91 0.79/0.96 0.96/0.50 0.55/0.15 0.76/0.22 0.74/0.98 CanESM5 (90%) 0.53/1.00 0.74/2.03 0.88/0.62 0.86/0.48 0.27/1.95 0.73/0.15 0.92/1.09 0.87/1.18 0.97/0.61 0.58/0.16 0.76/0.22 0.76/1.05 CESM2 (10%) 0.43/0.69 0.60/1.44 0.67/0.58 0.57/0.54 0.04/0.95 0.72/0.12 0.88/0.67 0.84/0.61 0.93/0.41 0.70/0.12 0.84/0.18 0.75/0.99 CESM2 (Avg) 0.55/0.88 0.71/1.73 0.71/0.71 0.69/0.68 0.20/1.62 0.77/0.13 0.90/0.84 0.90/0.82 0.95/0.53 0.72/0.14 0.84/0.19 0.78/1.11 CESM2 (90%) 0.66/1.06 0.79/2.01 0.75/0.84 0.78/1.01 0.38/2.37 0.81/0.14 0.94/1.04 0.95/0.99 0.97/0.63 0.74/0.17 0.85/0.20 0.81/1.28 CNRM-CM6-1 (10%) 0.38/0.65 0.52/1.44 0.71/0.32 0.68/0.23 0.00/1.09 0.53/0.11 0.81/0.50 0.25/0.79 0.95/0.45 0.53/0.13 0.72/0.22 0.69/0.85 CNRM-CM6-1 (Avg) 0.50/0.82 0.60/1.71 0.76/0.38 0.80/0.38 0.21/1.47 0.67/0.13 0.90/0.79 0.52/1.38 0.96/0.70 0.60/0.14 0.73/0.22 0.72/0.91 CNRM-CM6-1 (90%) 0.64/0.90 0.66/1.81 0.78/0.41 0.84/0.49 0.37/1.89 0.72/0.13 0.93/0.92 0.74/1.72 0.97/0.80 0.62/0.14 0.74/0.22 0.75/0.98 GISS-E2-1-G (10%) 0.44/0.83 0.66/1.26 0.67/0.73 0.68/0.59 -0.04/1.14 0.63/0.11 0.79/0.60 0.43/1.11 0.92/0.42 0.66/0.17 0.73/0.24 0.71/1.16 GISS-E2-1-G (Avg) 0.52/1.07 0.73/1.74 0.76/0.87 0.76/0.77 0.17/1.71 0.74/0.15 0.87/0.88 0.68/1.38 0.95/0.58 0.68/0.19 0.74/0.26 0.74/1.31 GISS-E2-1-G (90%) 0.58/1.25 0.78/1.96 0.81/0.95 0.79/0.90 0.30/2.00 0.79/0.17 0.90/1.09 0.76/1.55 0.96/0.66 0.69/0.21 0.75/0.27 0.75/1.39 IPSL-CM6A-LR (10%) 0.20/0.74 0.33/1.68 0.70/0.31 0.75/0.32 0.06/1.04 0.33/0.12 0.89/0.65 0.41/0.71 0.95/0.39 0.58/0.15 0.66/0.26 0.71/0.93 IPSL-CM6A-LR (Avg) 0.41/0.93 0.45/2.10 0.88/0.47 0.88/0.46 0.28/1.26 0.64/0.14 0.92/0.76 0.65/1.33 0.97/0.72 0.63/0.16 0.67/0.27 0.75/1.00 IPSL-CM6A-LR (90%) 0.49/1.12 0.50/2.29 0.93/0.60 0.93/0.62 0.39/1.39 0.75/0.15 0.93/0.83 0.70/1.53 0.97/0.92 0.66/0.18 0.68/0.28 0.77/1.08 MIROC6 (10%) 0.36/0.74 0.66/1.23 0.68/0.57 0.58/0.34 0.01/1.05 0.77/0.10 0.83/0.55 0.84/0.48 0.96/0.35 0.66/0.12 0.80/0.19 0.76/0.90 MIROC6 (Avg) 0.56/0.90 0.76/1.58 0.75/0.64 0.71/0.58 0.24/1.55 0.81/0.11 0.89/0.82 0.90/0.61 0.97/0.42 0.70/0.13 0.81/0.19 0.79/1.01 MIROC6 (90%) 0.63/1.06 0.80/1.71 0.79/0.74 0.78/0.88 0.34/1.87 0.83/0.12 0.90/0.92 0.93/0.69 0.98/0.46 0.73/0.15 0.81/0.20 0.81/1.19